PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

South East Melbourne vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 85-110
23-34 17-34 20-19 25-23
Position#10
Record9-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game93.3
South East Melbourne
Australia
vs
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
Position#9
Record7-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game93.3
AustraliaNBLRound 16· State Basketball Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · South East Melbourne v Adelaide
21 Jan 2027
SOUT v ADEL
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
SOUT108
ADEL94
14 Mar 2026
SOUT101
ADEL92
22 Nov 2025
SOUT81
ADEL94
16 Feb 2025
SOUT85
ADEL75
02 Feb 2025
SOUT105
ADEL99
21 Dec 2024
SOUT106
ADEL86
17 Jan 2024
SOUT85
ADEL110
11 Dec 2022
SOUT102
ADEL84
30 Oct 2022
SOUT103
ADEL98
22 Apr 2022
SOUT94
ADEL91
17 Apr 2021
SOUT81
ADEL90
20 Mar 2021
SOUT96
ADEL89
18 Nov 2019
SOUT91
ADEL103
27 Oct 2019
SOUT101
ADEL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
76avg 75
A17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
90-79
90
79
+11
84avg 75
H02/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
104-94
104
94
+10
94avg 75
A10/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
78-106
78
106
-28
61avg 75
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
72-100
72
100
-28
61avg 75
H16/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
75-94
75
94
-19
62avg 75
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
73avg 75
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 75
A30/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
78-116
78
116
-38
58avg 75
A05/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
79-100
79
100
-21
69avg 75
A13/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-18
18-17
14-31
26-30
16-19
25-26
25-20
24-14
32-30
26-19
24-22
22-23
18-35
28-31
18-11
14-29
27-22
12-26
19-25
14-27
18-30
26-16
15-20
16-28
19-12
20-28
22-22
24-15
23-32
19-25
25-15
16-23
15-24
21-29
23-33
19-30
19-28
20-28
22-14
18-30
179.4Avg total
83.7Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.293.3181.5-5.043%
Season at home (9)89.990.2180.1-0.367%
Season away (12)87.095.6182.6-8.625%
Last 10 (10)83.795.7179.4-12.030%
Last 5 (5)80.096.4176.4-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)89.695.1184.7-5.539%
vs Similar (6)90.290.8181.0-0.750%
vs Weaker (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 78
A30/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
59-94
59
94
-35
44avg 78
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-116
101
116
-15
85avg 78
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
96-107
96
107
-11
83avg 78
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 78
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 78
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 78
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 78
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 78
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
no box
A13/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-37
24-16
19-24
23-19
15-25
8-20
20-28
16-21
26-35
31-26
27-24
17-31
23-28
19-27
30-25
24-27
27-23
25-19
18-21
25-25
29-34
19-20
9-28
25-18
12-19
29-21
12-31
31-20
27-23
19-19
31-24
23-30
20-19
22-8
28-27
25-28
28-27
28-26
26-19
12-22
187.7Avg total
89.6Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.293.3180.5-6.033%
Season at home (11)88.990.8179.7-1.955%
Season away (10)85.496.0181.4-10.610%
Last 10 (10)89.698.1187.7-8.530%
Last 5 (5)92.496.0188.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)87.992.6180.5-4.638%
vs Similar (10)91.499.2190.6-7.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)96.299.0195.2-2.850%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
South East MelbourneAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H02/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A10/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
46-66
46
66
-20
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H16/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A30/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A05/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A13/01
NBL
93.2Avg total
43.7Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.148.694.7-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.647.193.7-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)45.749.795.4-4.024%-
Last 10 (10)43.749.593.2-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.050.490.4-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)45.648.694.2-3.026%-
vs Similar (6)49.048.597.5+0.567%-
vs Weaker (1)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/01
NBL
92.0Avg total
44.8Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.347.991.2-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.145.589.6-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)42.550.392.8-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)44.847.292.0-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.289.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.847.088.8-5.219%-
vs Similar (10)46.448.594.9-2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.250.291.5-9.025%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.622.3
43.2%
50.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.1
30.2%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.916.4
71.6%
73.8%16.4
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.025.4
49.8%
50.9%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.5
29.7%
33.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.418.3
75.0%
73.8%18.3
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South East Melbourne
LLLWLLLWWL
Adelaide
LWWLLWLLLL
#10
League position
#9
-15.8
Net rating
-7.8
99.4
Offensive rating
107.0
115.2
Defensive rating
114.8
43.9%
Effective FG%
48.2%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.2%
3-point %
29.7%
51.0%
Assist %
52.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 107.0Defence115.2 · 114.8Shooting43.9% · 48.2%3-point %30.2% · 29.7%Ball care15.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds32.0% · 30.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ South East Melbourne   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
South East Melbourne wins
4
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Adelaide v South East Melbourne96-93
19/10/23Adelaide v South East Melbourne85-102
24/12/22Adelaide v South East Melbourne94-88
11/12/22South East Melbourne v Adelaide102-84
30/10/22South East Melbourne v Adelaide103-98 OT
22/04/22South East Melbourne v Adelaide94-91
27/03/22Adelaide v South East Melbourne100-92
04/03/22Adelaide v South East Melbourne76-83
17/04/21South East Melbourne v Adelaide81-90
20/03/21South East Melbourne v Adelaide96-89 OT
South East Melbournelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24APerth79-100
05/01/24AIllawarra Hawks78-116
30/12/23ABrisbane Bullets83-95
25/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers85-77
22/12/23ACairns Taipans75-94
16/12/23HIllawarra Hawks72-100
14/12/23HMelbourne United78-106
10/12/23ASydney104-94
02/12/23HNew Zealand Breakers90-79
17/11/23AAdelaide93-96
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ACairns Taipans101-111 OT
11/01/24HSydney95-82
06/01/24HMelbourne United100-96
31/12/23AIllawarra Hawks84-91
28/12/23HPerth82-100
24/12/23HBrisbane Bullets95-88
16/12/23AMelbourne United96-107
09/12/23HCairns Taipans101-116
02/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers59-94
30/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers83-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South East Melbourne
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game88.289.987.0
Allowed / game93.390.295.6
Point differential-5.0-0.3-8.6
Avg total181.5180.1182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLWLWW55%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%55%10%
Points / game87.288.985.4
Allowed / game93.390.896.0
Point differential-6.0-1.9-10.6
Avg total180.5179.7181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2116576%94.186.9+7.3
2 Perth2013765%93.591.1+2.4
3 Tasmania JackJumpers22111150%90.385.8+4.5
4 Sydney22111150%94.793.2+1.5
5 Brisbane Bullets22111150%87.689.2-1.6
6 Illawarra Hawks1991047%89.890.7-0.9
7 Cairns Taipans22101245%90.391.3-1.0
8 South East Melbourne2191243%88.293.3-5.0
9 New Zealand Breakers2081240%89.190.4-1.3
10 Adelaide2171433%87.293.3-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South East Melbourne2317202585
Adelaide34341923110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.