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South Florida vs Stetson Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 25 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 90-67
Projected total 156.5
Scheduled
Position#206
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game74.8
Vs
97%
■ SOUT 97%■ STET 3%
Pythia win probability
Position#388
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.5
Allowed / game83.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · South Florida v Stetson
24 Nov 2026
SOUT v STET
upcoming
03 Dec 2024
SOUT74
STET72
14 Nov 2022
SOUT67
STET68
08 Dec 2020
SOUT73
STET62
Sections
Game preview & prediction
South Florida host Stetson in the NCAA. Pythia makes South Florida the favourite at 97% and projects 90-67, about 156 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. South Florida are 2-2 this season (82.8 scored, 74.8 allowed a game), form LWLLW; Stetson are 0-4 this season (60.5 scored, 83.0 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida win
97.3%fair 1.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stetson win
2.7%fair 36.64
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#173
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H01/03
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H14/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H15/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A19/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#215
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H03/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-38
41-24
51-46
45-43
44-29
39-31
40-33
46-31
33-26
37-29
27-37
52-46
43-33
55-38
35-50
45-32
34-39
46-44
30-31
43-32
154.7Avg total
83.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.874.8157.5+8.050%
Season at home (3)83.772.3156.0+11.367%
Season away (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)83.571.2154.7+12.370%
Last 5 (5)82.076.4158.4+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
vs Similar (8)86.477.9164.2+8.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.673.0157.6+11.685%
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StetsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#83
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H20/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A04/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A06/03
NCAA
Clemson
#131
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A03/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#40
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A04/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
53-91
53
91
-38
A07/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-52
50-36
29-40
47-31
34-42
51-47
34-27
44-36
54-41
38-35
37-32
23-37
24-49
48-36
25-42
30-39
30-43
23-48
37-40
25-35
149.7Avg total
70.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.583.0143.5-22.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)60.583.0143.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)70.978.8149.7-7.930%
Last 5 (5)60.480.2140.6-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)69.681.8151.3-12.217%
vs Similar (6)76.573.2149.7+3.367%
vs Weaker (1)95.076.0171.0+19.0100%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
83.7%
Under 141
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
74.7%
Under 146
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
63.5%
Under 151
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

South Florida total 75.5
Over 75.5
92.5%
Under 75.5
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
South Florida total 79.5
Over 79.5
85.0%
Under 79.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
South Florida total 83.5
Over 83.5
73.6%
Under 83.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stetson total 62.5
Over 62.5
66.3%
Under 62.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stetson total 66.5
Over 66.5
50.7%
Under 66.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stetson total 70.5
Over 70.5
35.0%
Under 70.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread South Florida -3
SOUT -3
96.0%
STET +3
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
STET
No market prices yet.
Spread South Florida 0
SOUT 0
97.3%
STET 0
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
STET
No market prices yet.
Spread South Florida +3
SOUT +3
98.3%
STET -3
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
No market prices yet.
STET
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -7.8-7.82nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: -0.1-0.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -7.8-7.82nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: -0.1-0.1
South FloridaStetson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#173
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A19/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#215
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/11
NCAA
DePaul
#57
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
38.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.676.1+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.733.875.5+7.972%-
Last 30 away (12)38.738.276.9+0.442%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.274.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.071.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.050.085.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.934.474.2+5.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.035.575.5+4.560%-
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StetsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#83
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H20/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A04/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Clemson
#131
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A03/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#40
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A04/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Howard
#180
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/11
NCAA
73.8Avg total
33.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.938.872.6-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.337.472.7-2.150%-
Last 30 away (20)33.139.572.6-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)33.040.873.8-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)30.641.271.8-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)33.139.772.8-6.626%-
vs Similar (6)34.735.269.8-0.550%-
vs Weaker (1)46.039.085.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
South Florida wins
1
Stetson wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24South Florida v Stetson74-72
15/11/22South Florida v Stetson67-68
08/12/20South Florida v Stetson73-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCoppin State73-63
11/11/26HSaint Josephs Hawks80-83
06/11/26ADePaul80-82
03/11/26HCharleston Southern98-71
19/03/26ALouisville79-83
15/03/26HWichita State70-55
14/03/26HCharlotte86-64
08/03/26HCharlotte83-60
06/03/26AMemphis96-89
01/03/26HTulane90-62
Stetsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AHoward62-75
07/11/26AWest Virginia53-91
04/11/26ASouth Carolina55-81
03/11/26AClemson72-85
06/03/26AAustin Peay60-69
04/03/26AEastern Kentucky92-76
28/02/26HFlorida Gulf Coast78-63
27/02/26AJacksonville Dolphins85-89
21/02/26HNorth Florida76-71
20/02/26HCentral Arkansas76-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game82.883.780.0
Allowed / game74.872.382.0
Point differential+8.0+11.3-2.0
Avg total157.5156.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stetson
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %0%-0%
Points / game60.5-60.5
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential-22.5--22.5
Avg total143.5-143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
7 Memphis32167%83.389.7-6.3
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple31233%67.375.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky43175%97.066.5+30.5
2 Lipscomb53260%74.876.4-1.6
3 Queens Royals53260%89.2100.2-11.0
4 Central Arkansas42250%84.570.0+14.5
5 Austin Peay42250%80.068.2+11.8
6 North Alabama42250%69.879.0-9.2
7 Florida Gulf Coast41325%84.083.0+1.0
8 North Florida41325%64.885.8-21.0
9 Bellarmine51420%70.483.8-13.4
10 West Georgia4040%62.279.0-16.8
11 Stetson4040%60.583.0-22.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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