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South Florida vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-72
38-33 47-39
Position#249
Record8-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#148
Record13-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · South Florida v UCF Knights
21 Jan 2023
SOUT85
UCF 72
15 Jan 2022
SOUT75
UCF 51
02 Jan 2021
SOUT68
UCF 61
01 Feb 2020
SOUT64
UCF 48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A13/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H20/12
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H23/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A30/12
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H05/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A12/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-41
30-28
34-30
25-25
39-39
38-31
49-40
43-33
46-46
40-47
24-30
40-38
34-28
32-42
36-37
41-46
34-31
47-39
29-47
40-38
147.9Avg total
74.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.170.1141.2+1.142%
Season at home (13)69.368.2137.5+1.138%
Season away (6)75.074.0149.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)74.373.6147.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)71.475.2146.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.970.7133.6-7.818%
vs Similar (11)69.665.3134.9+4.455%
vs Weaker (2)76.067.5143.5+8.550%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#183
W
75-49
75
49
+26
H11/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A15/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Stetson
#146
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H22/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A31/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A05/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H08/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
45-22
36-26
36-35
36-35
30-33
38-32
35-26
26-23
26-22
31-39
34-32
25-27
39-34
34-25
51-28
42-40
36-38
23-38
46-39
137.5Avg total
72.8Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.163.4135.5+8.772%
Season at home (13)74.562.7137.2+11.877%
Season away (5)66.065.2131.2+0.860%
Last 10 (10)72.864.7137.5+8.170%
Last 5 (5)78.073.2151.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.075.4134.4-16.40%
vs Similar (15)72.068.2140.2+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)71.156.9128.0+14.290%
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +6.9+6.9
South FloridaUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A13/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/12
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/01
NCAA
73.6Avg total
36.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.933.765.6-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.033.864.8-2.832%-
Last 30 away (11)33.533.567.0+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.973.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.434.666.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.434.364.6-3.912%-
vs Similar (11)33.032.365.3+0.764%-
vs Weaker (2)39.536.075.5+3.550%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#183
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A15/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Stetson
#146
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H22/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A31/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A05/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H08/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H12/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A14/01
NCAA
63.3Avg total
32.1Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.530.161.6+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.828.862.5+5.080%-
Last 30 away (10)26.932.759.6-5.820%-
Last 10 (10)32.131.263.3+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)31.033.864.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.436.263.6-8.80%-
vs Similar (15)30.730.461.1+0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.826.561.3+8.380%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
South Florida wins
4
UCF Knights wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HCincinnati69-85
15/01/23AEast Carolina81-70
12/01/23AHouston77-83
08/01/23HWichita State66-70
05/01/23HTemple64-68
30/12/22AMemphis86-93
23/12/22HNJIT92-73
20/12/22HHofstra77-70
17/12/22HDartmouth59-55
13/12/22ANorthern Iowa72-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23ATulane69-77
12/01/23HMemphis107-104 OT
08/01/23HSMU Mustangs85-53
05/01/23AEast Carolina64-61
31/12/22AHouston65-71
29/12/22HWichita State52-45
22/12/22HStetson73-58
17/12/22HMissouri66-68
15/12/22AOle Miss72-61
11/12/22HTarleton75-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %42%38%50%
Points / game71.169.375.0
Allowed / game70.168.274.0
Point differential+1.1+1.1+1.0
Avg total141.2137.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%23%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)17% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %72%77%60%
Points / game72.174.566.0
Allowed / game63.462.765.2
Point differential+8.7+11.8+0.8
Avg total135.5137.2131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%46%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %22%23%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic1918195%78.063.6+14.4
2 North Texas2015575%62.155.3+6.8
3 Rice1914574%81.573.6+7.9
4 Memphis1914574%79.172.0+7.1
5 UAB1913668%85.172.4+12.7
6 Tulane1812667%80.774.2+6.5
7 Charlotte1912763%67.960.9+7.0
8 Temple2011955%69.268.2+1.0
9 Wichita State189950%66.163.8+2.3
10 East Carolina20101050%69.069.5-0.4
11 South Florida1981142%71.170.1+1.1
12 UTSA Roadrunners2071335%68.074.9-7.0
13 Tulsa1741324%68.875.9-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1918195%76.253.3+22.9
2 Kansas1816289%77.266.2+11.0
3 Kansas State1816289%78.468.1+10.4
4 Arizona1916384%84.673.0+11.6
5 Iowa State1714382%71.258.5+12.8
6 Arizona State1915479%72.766.0+6.7
7 TCU1814478%77.365.2+12.2
8 Baylor1813572%80.669.8+10.8
9 UCF Knights1813572%72.163.4+8.7
10 Cincinnati2014670%77.267.3+9.9
11 Utah Utes2013765%71.262.4+8.8
12 Brigham Young2214864%75.368.5+6.8
13 West Virginia1811761%77.969.2+8.7
14 Texas Tech1810856%76.166.4+9.7
15 Oklahoma State1810856%68.262.1+6.1
16 Colorado2011955%73.067.2+5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida384785
UCF Knights333972
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