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Valparaiso vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-79
34-29 41-50
Position#248
Record10-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#270
Record9-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valparaiso v Southern Illinois
02 Jan 2027
VALP v SOUT
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
VALP69
SOUT63
28 Jan 2025
VALP75
SOUT79
10 Jan 2024
VALP68
SOUT77
14 Feb 2023
VALP62
SOUT66
08 Jan 2022
VALP60
SOUT63
22 Feb 2021
VALP64
SOUT67
12 Feb 2020
VALP55
SOUT38
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Calumet College
#539
W
107-57
107
57
+50
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-29
60-28
30-36
33-27
35-34
38-38
43-36
37-37
45-40
41-46
21-26
26-32
30-40
34-31
38-38
36-43
29-43
42-38
26-44
42-34
150.4Avg total
75.7Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.973.8150.7+3.148%
Season at home (12)83.670.6154.2+13.067%
Season away (9)68.078.1146.1-10.122%
Last 10 (10)75.774.7150.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)64.873.8138.6-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)68.281.8149.9-13.612%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.273.3148.6+1.956%
vs Weaker (4)84.572.5157.0+12.075%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#13
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A29/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H01/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
54-85
54
85
-31
A05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
88-78 OT
88
78
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
73-51
73
51
+22
A16/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
73-49
73
49
+24
H19/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-51
44-43
34-38
33-40
31-42
22-26
23-44
31-41
31-43
55-47
35-27
37-45
35-18
38-33
33-15
40-34
32-34
32-40
46-46
43-39
148.0Avg total
72.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.374.1147.4-0.943%
Season at home (11)72.671.9144.5+0.745%
Season away (10)74.076.6150.6-2.640%
Last 10 (10)72.875.2148.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)77.467.4144.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.679.2152.8-5.627%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.673.6144.1-3.044%
vs Weaker (5)73.865.0138.8+8.880%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -1.3-1.3
ValparaisoSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Calumet College
#539
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A23/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H25/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.337.471.8-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.835.473.2+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)30.439.770.1-9.321%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.671.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)28.838.267.0-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.439.972.4-7.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.234.768.9-0.456%-
vs Weaker (4)35.038.573.5-3.550%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#13
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H21/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H01/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H12/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-18
35
18
+17
A16/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
33-15
33
15
+18
H19/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A25/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
33.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.335.268.5-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.335.569.8-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)32.134.967.0-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.869.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.228.064.2+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.739.071.7-6.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.732.466.1+1.244%-
vs Weaker (5)33.429.262.6+4.260%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
7
Southern Illinois wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HEvansville68-78
23/01/25ADrake71-81
18/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)74-81
15/01/25ABelmont64-71
11/01/25AMurray State47-58
09/01/25HIndiana State98-95 OT
04/01/25HNorthern Iowa80-73
02/01/25AMissouri State73-72
29/12/24ABradley75-81 OT
22/12/24HCalumet College107-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)89-85
23/01/25HMurray State64-74
19/01/25HNorthern Iowa73-49
16/01/25AMissouri State73-51
12/01/25HMissouri State88-78 OT
09/01/25ABelmont86-90
05/01/25AIllinois State54-85
01/01/25HEvansville53-68
29/12/24ANorthern Iowa67-78
21/12/24HHigh Point81-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %48%67%22%
Points / game76.983.668.0
Allowed / game73.870.678.1
Point differential+3.1+13.0-10.1
Avg total150.7154.2146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %10%8%11%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW43%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%45%40%
Points / game73.372.674.0
Allowed / game74.171.976.6
Point differential-0.9+0.7-2.6
Avg total147.4144.5150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2018290%71.458.0+13.4
2 Bradley2118386%80.267.1+13.0
3 Belmont2115671%81.978.7+3.2
4 Illinois (Chi.)2114767%80.674.2+6.4
5 Northern Iowa2113862%75.867.7+8.1
6 Illinois State2112957%76.271.0+5.1
7 Murray State21111052%74.670.3+4.3
8 Valparaiso21101148%76.973.8+3.1
9 Indiana State2191243%80.080.0+0.0
10 Southern Illinois2191243%73.374.1-0.9
11 Evansville2171433%65.070.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso344175
Southern Illinois295079
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