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Southern Miss vs James Madison Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#230
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#232
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Southern Miss v James Madison
19 Dec 2026
SOUT v JAME
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
SOUT86
JAME80
31 Jan 2026
SOUT73
JAME65
06 Jan 2024
SOUT81
JAME71
21 Jan 2023
SOUT83
JAME70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
James Madison win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Tougaloo
#481
W
82-35
82
35
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#100
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#276
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H12/11
NCAA
Texas State
#24
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-53
40-36
35-29
33-26
35-33
51-47
37-33
44-44
44-28
42-45
28-41
42-37
45-12
37-23
29-46
28-37
32-40
37-29
37-44
28-41
149.8Avg total
76.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.070.8142.8+1.250%
Season at home (2)83.057.5140.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.373.5149.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)71.672.2143.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.179.2150.3-8.130%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.874.8148.7-1.054%
vs Weaker (6)73.267.2140.3+6.083%
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A21/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#71
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H03/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#136
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Delaware
#200
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A12/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#337
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
35-33
40-26
40-39
38-37
44-29
33-31
35-38
37-27
50-45
33-35
47-51
41-35
36-51
39-39
41-50
35-26
36-35
–
–
150.2Avg total
77.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.076.8153.8+0.250%
Season at home (2)78.578.5157.0+0.050%
Season away (2)75.575.0150.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)77.273.0150.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)77.678.6156.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.677.4150.0-4.944%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.873.7148.5+1.147%
vs Weaker (6)76.068.8144.8+7.283%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -0.8-0.8
Southern MissJames Madison
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A08/03
NCAA
Tougaloo
#481
W
45-12
45
12
+33
H03/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#100
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#276
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/11
NCAA
Texas State
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
36.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.566.5-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.130.262.3+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)33.836.470.2-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.972.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.670.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.737.870.5-5.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.333.565.8-1.254%-
vs Weaker (6)32.830.062.8+2.883%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#127
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A19/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A21/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#71
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#136
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Delaware
#200
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.232.967.1+1.362%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.032.068.0+4.080%-
Last 30 away (14)32.433.966.2-1.543%-
Last 10 (9)36.432.068.4+4.467%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.833.867.6+0.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.634.167.7-0.547%-
vs Weaker (5)37.027.864.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Southern Miss wins
1
James Madison wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATexas State65-85
12/11/26HJackson State84-80 OT
07/11/26AIowa State57-83
03/11/26HTougaloo82-35
08/03/26ATroy70-78
07/03/26AAppalachian State86-73
06/03/26ATexas State81-77
05/03/26HJames Madison86-80
28/02/26ASouth Alabama68-55
25/02/26AArkansas State84-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers80-71
12/11/26ADelaware71-61
07/11/26AKentucky80-89
03/11/26HMiami (Ohio)77-86
05/03/26ASouthern Miss80-86
04/03/26HLouisiana Lafayette87-72
28/02/26HCoastal Carolina68-69
26/02/26HGeorgia Southern82-66
21/02/26AGeorgia State80-65
19/02/26ACoastal Carolina67-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.083.061.0
Allowed / game70.857.584.0
Point differential+1.2+25.5-23.0
Avg total142.8140.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
James Madison
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.078.575.5
Allowed / game76.878.575.0
Point differential+0.2+0.0+0.5
Avg total153.8157.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 James Madison42250%77.076.8+0.2
7 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
8 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
9 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
10 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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