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Southern Miss vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 69-65
26-26 43-39
Position#174
Record13-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#84
Record17-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southern Miss v Troy
13 Jan 2027
SOUT v TROY
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
SOUT69
TROY65
28 Feb 2025
SOUT58
TROY70
20 Jan 2024
SOUT64
TROY63
29 Dec 2022
SOUT64
TROY60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A24/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H30/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
39-32
26-42
39-49
28-27
39-47
32-30
30-39
25-39
42-46
27-29
36-41
29-21
44-44
38-34
39-47
34-30
32-35
36-42
42-42
143.2Avg total
68.8Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.573.6147.1-0.148%
Season at home (13)75.667.7143.3+7.977%
Season away (14)71.679.1150.6-7.521%
Last 10 (10)68.874.4143.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)71.473.0144.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.476.7144.1-9.329%
vs Similar (15)71.975.9147.9-4.033%
vs Weaker (8)77.865.2143.0+12.588%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
44-66
44
66
-22
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
53-35
37-35
42-26
49-39
44-35
55-39
35-35
29-29
47-38
36-40
28-31
36-42
24-36
20-30
28-28
46-35
35-29
44-40
29-36
33-38
147.8Avg total
76.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.374.9157.2+7.465%
Season at home (12)82.167.5149.6+14.667%
Season away (14)82.581.2163.7+1.364%
Last 10 (10)76.970.9147.8+6.070%
Last 5 (5)64.669.0133.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.069.0148.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (15)76.776.5153.3+0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.273.1157.2+11.169%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +1.8+1.8
Southern MissTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A24/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H30/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
30.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.664.9-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.830.563.3+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)31.834.766.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)30.632.262.8-1.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.264.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.432.664.0-1.129%-
vs Similar (15)30.633.464.0-2.840%-
vs Weaker (8)36.231.167.4+5.188%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A12/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.231.969.0+5.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.729.167.8+9.679%-
Last 30 away (16)35.834.370.1+1.531%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.969.4+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)28.832.060.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.029.064.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (15)34.733.968.6+0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.730.168.8+8.654%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Southern Miss wins
4
Troy wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Troy v Southern Miss91-65
01/03/25Southern Miss v Troy58-70
27/01/25Troy v Southern Miss70-61
20/01/24Southern Miss v Troy64-63
13/01/24Troy v Southern Miss82-56
03/02/23Troy v Southern Miss65-74
30/12/22Southern Miss v Troy64-60
Southern Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HSouth Alabama78-84
07/02/26HKent State66-65
05/02/26AMarshall77-81
31/01/26HJames Madison73-65
30/01/26HAppalachian State63-70
24/01/26ACoastal Carolina67-85
23/01/26AGeorgia State62-69
17/01/26ATexas State67-74
15/01/26ATroy65-91
10/01/26HLouisiana Monroe70-60
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26ATexas State62-74
07/02/26HAkron79-69
05/02/26AGeorgia State74-63
31/01/26HAppalachian State44-66
30/01/26HJames Madison64-73
24/01/26AGeorgia Southern83-78
22/01/26AOld Dominion83-77 OT
17/01/26HArkansas State99-74
15/01/26HSouthern Miss91-65
10/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette90-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeWLWWL77%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%77%21%
Points / game73.575.671.6
Allowed / game73.667.779.1
Point differential-0.1+7.9-7.5
Avg total147.1143.3150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL65%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game82.382.182.5
Allowed / game74.967.581.2
Point differential+7.4+14.6+1.3
Avg total157.2149.6163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%58%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %19%8%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2617965%82.374.9+7.4
2 South Alabama2617965%73.869.3+4.5
3 Appalachian State28181064%71.264.3+6.9
4 Marshall2516964%80.075.0+5.0
5 Texas State28171161%74.470.9+3.6
6 Arkansas State27161159%82.577.5+5.0
7 Coastal Carolina27161159%73.572.1+1.4
8 Georgia Southern26141254%80.379.6+0.7
9 James Madison27141352%73.974.6-0.7
10 Southern Miss27131448%73.573.6-0.1
11 Louisiana Lafayette2691735%62.669.0-6.5
12 Old Dominion2791833%74.476.8-2.4
13 Georgia State2791833%70.574.3-3.8
14 Louisiana Monroe2742315%72.283.3-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss264369
Troy263965
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