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Southern Tigers vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-89
25-18 21-22 18-29 15-20
Position#9
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game93.4
vs
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game83.7
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2024
Meetings · Southern Tigers v Sturt Sabres
03 May 2025
SOUT92
STUR99
27 Apr 2024
SOUT79
STUR89
13 May 2023
SOUT80
STUR90
30 Apr 2022
SOUT79
STUR93
10 Apr 2021
SOUT62
STUR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
H24/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
L
54-110
54
110
-56
A02/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
H06/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A08/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
81-105
81
105
-24
H15/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/03
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
81-108
81
108
-27
H06/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A13/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
107-112 OT
107
112
-5
A20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
17-28
27-25
20-20
19-27
7-32
7-26
21-25
26-20
18-28
16-28
14-19
13-26
23-24
26-18
21-24
22-19
24-26
18-32
17-28
22-32
21-16
16-13
18-20
15-28
31-28
16-30
19-22
30-13
20-38
18-19
25-29
24-26
25-17
23-23
24-30
20-20
18-14
11-27
21-6
177.0Avg total
80.2Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.693.4179.0-7.820%
Season at home (1)81.0108.0189.0-27.00%
Season away (4)86.889.8176.5-3.025%
Last 10 (10)80.296.8177.0-16.610%
Last 5 (5)85.693.4179.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)76.695.6172.2-19.04%
vs Similar (2)75.589.0164.5-13.550%
vs Weaker (1)88.0101.0189.0-13.00%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
123-73
123
73
+50
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H30/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A05/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H23/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
104-62
104
62
+42
A30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A06/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H14/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
101-89
101
89
+12
A20/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
22-18
41-12
31-20
20-27
27-21
12-22
30-20
22-19
29-25
22-19
25-8
12-25
25-29
12-21
24-21
21-25
26-20
28-20
25-19
27-16
17-14
27-10
33-22
11-19
31-32
26-16
24-10
25-21
28-31
30-20
14-22
22-31
21-19
26-25
32-14
25-21
20-26
20-29
17-20
179.1Avg total
95.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)96.083.7179.7+12.383%
Season at home (3)93.091.3184.3+1.767%
Season away (3)99.076.0175.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.983.2179.1+12.770%
Last 5 (5)95.283.6178.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.591.3171.8-10.833%
vs Similar (5)86.687.0173.6-0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.075.3169.3+18.779%
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +7.9+7.9
Southern TigersSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#6
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H24/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A02/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H06/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A23/03
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H06/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A13/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/04
NBL1 Central
90.1Avg total
41.3Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.847.986.7-9.123%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.948.687.6-9.721%-
Last 30 away (16)38.847.286.0-8.525%-
Last 10 (10)41.348.890.1-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.491.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.448.086.5-9.619%-
vs Similar (2)40.048.088.0-8.050%-
vs Weaker (1)47.044.091.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H30/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A05/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H23/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A06/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H14/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A20/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/04
NBL1 Central
92.2Avg total
46.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.486.8-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.943.988.7+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)42.143.085.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)46.046.292.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.091.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.847.884.7-11.033%-
vs Similar (5)45.846.492.2-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.841.286.0+3.658%-
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Tigers wins
5
Sturt Sabres wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/24AEastern Mavericks70-67
20/04/24AWest Adelaide Bearcats107-112 OT
13/04/24ACentral Districts Lions93-99
06/04/24HForestville Eagles81-108
23/03/24ASouth Adelaide Panthers77-81
15/07/23HWest Adelaide Bearcats81-105
08/07/23ANorth Adelaide Rockets83-92
06/07/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers74-95
02/07/23ASturt Sabres54-110
24/06/23HNorwood Flames82-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/24HWoodville Warriors82-96
20/04/24ACentral Districts Lions101-89
14/04/24HSouth Adelaide Panthers97-94
06/04/24ANorwood Flames92-77
30/03/24ANorth Adelaide Rockets104-62
23/03/24HForestville Eagles100-84
05/08/23AWest Adelaide Bearcats73-96
30/07/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers98-71
22/07/23AForestville Eagles89-90
15/07/23AEastern Mavericks123-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Tigers
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%0%25%
Points / game85.681.086.8
Allowed / game93.4108.089.8
Point differential-7.8-27.0-3.0
Avg total179.0189.0176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %20%0%25%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game96.093.099.0
Allowed / game83.791.376.0
Point differential+12.3+1.7+23.0
Avg total179.7184.3175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forestville Eagles76186%101.784.4+17.3
2 Sturt Sabres65183%96.083.7+12.3
3 South Adelaide Panthers75271%92.689.3+3.3
4 West Adelaide Bearcats74357%96.991.1+5.7
5 Eastern Mavericks74357%80.683.1-2.6
6 Woodville Warriors63350%89.590.2-0.7
7 Norwood Flames72529%90.494.7-4.3
8 Central Districts Lions72529%93.1101.3-8.1
9 Southern Tigers51420%85.693.4-7.8
10 North Adelaide Rockets71614%84.199.9-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern Tigers2521181579
Sturt Sabres1822292089
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