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Southern Tigers vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 92-99
22-31 20-27 28-22 22-19
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#6
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game94.3
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2025
Meetings · Southern Tigers v Sturt Sabres
03 May 2025
SOUT92
STUR99
27 Apr 2024
SOUT79
STUR89
13 May 2023
SOUT80
STUR90
30 Apr 2022
SOUT79
STUR93
10 Apr 2021
SOUT62
STUR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
62-96
62
96
-34
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H07/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H13/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
61-86
61
86
-25
H30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
W
97-84
97
84
+13
A05/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A12/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
W
111-75
111
75
+36
H19/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H27/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
15-26
12-30
14-24
27-23
14-23
26-22
22-30
14-18
22-31
17-19
14-16
27-15
13-22
32-29
19-14
16-26
17-16
19-26
9-18
24-20
19-22
25-16
29-26
19-19
26-22
15-23
19-19
25-21
31-18
29-22
26-14
17-18
21-20
25-20
26-19
26-21
15-21
10-25
22-21
167.0Avg total
81.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.082.2167.2+2.850%
Season at home (3)81.783.0164.7-1.333%
Season away (3)88.381.3169.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)81.985.1167.0-3.240%
Last 5 (5)89.881.4171.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.995.9174.8-17.05%
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.079.6151.6-7.620%
vs Weaker (4)95.577.5173.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
104-75
104
75
+29
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H05/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A12/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
L
76-99
76
99
-23
H17/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A27/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
32-23
29-17
27-18
20-30
31-28
16-16
18-32
33-21
22-18
29-23
16-19
18-21
16-33
26-9
24-28
20-23
27-24
15-23
21-31
20-22
27-26
21-19
19-26
15-21
22-19
16-27
29-26
27-21
16-26
15-27
18-25
21-20
22-24
27-15
20-18
24-21
17-27
24-23
22-32
179.7Avg total
87.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.294.3178.5-10.217%
Season at home (3)84.389.7174.0-5.333%
Season away (3)84.099.0183.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)87.891.9179.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)84.493.0177.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.195.2183.4-7.125%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.791.3180.0-2.643%
vs Weaker (15)97.183.7180.7+13.487%
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.1-4.1
Southern TigersSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H19/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H27/04
NBL1 Central
82.7Avg total
40.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.845.486.2-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.045.286.2-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.686.3-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.882.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.485.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)40.447.888.2-7.419%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.840.679.4-1.860%-
vs Weaker (4)45.538.884.2+6.8100%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A12/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H17/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/04
NBL1 Central
91.1Avg total
44.6Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.446.291.7-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.046.594.5+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)42.946.088.9-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.646.591.1-1.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.487.6-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.249.493.6-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.447.793.1-2.343%-
vs Weaker (15)46.143.989.9+2.247%-
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Tigers wins
7
Sturt Sabres wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HForestville Eagles73-88
25/04/25AWest Adelaide Bearcats89-77
19/04/25HNorth Adelaide Rockets111-75
12/04/25AEastern Mavericks79-83
05/04/25ANorwood Flames97-84
30/03/25HSouth Adelaide Panthers61-86
13/07/24HNorth Adelaide Rockets91-80
07/07/24HEastern Mavericks67-84
06/07/24ASturt Sabres89-98
29/06/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats62-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25AWoodville Warriors87-103
25/04/25HNorth Adelaide Rockets90-77
17/04/25HNorwood Flames76-99
12/04/25ASouth Adelaide Panthers82-93
05/04/25HCentral Districts Lions87-93
29/03/25AForestville Eagles83-101
03/08/24AForestville Eagles84-91
27/07/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats100-81
20/07/24HForestville Eagles85-106
13/07/24AEastern Mavericks104-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Tigers
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game85.081.788.3
Allowed / game82.283.081.3
Point differential+2.8-1.3+7.0
Avg total167.2164.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game84.284.384.0
Allowed / game94.389.799.0
Point differential-10.2-5.3-15.0
Avg total178.5174.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forestville Eagles76186%98.179.0+19.1
2 Central Districts Lions76186%91.486.0+5.4
3 South Adelaide Panthers64267%83.277.3+5.8
4 Woodville Warriors74357%82.785.1-2.4
5 Southern Tigers63350%85.082.2+2.8
6 West Adelaide Bearcats73443%82.179.9+2.3
7 Eastern Mavericks73443%87.790.3-2.6
8 Norwood Flames62433%80.784.2-3.5
9 Sturt Sabres61517%84.294.3-10.2
10 North Adelaide Rockets71614%72.490.0-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern Tigers2220282292
Sturt Sabres3127221999
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