PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Spain vs Montenegro Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 01 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#27
Record5-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#51
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game79.1
EuropeWorld CupRound 6
Other2027
Meetings · Spain v Montenegro
01 Mar 2027
SPAI v MONT
upcoming
26 Feb 2018
SPAI79
MONT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Montenegro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#7
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H30/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H02/03
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
109-81
109
81
+28
H02/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A05/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H28/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
18-20
11-19
16-18
20-31
15-19
28-18
23-22
25-23
20-10
15-14
14-17
19-22
28-11
23-13
20-15
17-21
15-12
33-14
21-19
16-9
12-12
24-22
26-21
24-19
27-22
31-14
27-26
32-14
20-24
19-19
12-26
14-21
27-26
30-24
18-24
20-19
22-24
16-24
28-19
165.7Avg total
87.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.178.8168.9+11.462%
Season at home (4)91.575.2166.8+16.275%
Season away (4)88.882.2171.0+6.550%
Last 10 (10)87.078.7165.7+8.350%
Last 5 (5)94.287.8182.0+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.672.0139.6-4.420%
vs Similar (6)79.075.3154.3+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.974.3161.3+12.674%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#21
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A27/02
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H02/03
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A02/07
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H05/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
74-101
74
101
-27
A28/08
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
22-19
24-31
23-16
26-25
16-23
21-20
20-21
21-14
11-25
11-25
19-19
26-17
23-17
16-22
15-19
19-17
21-21
15-14
12-13
18-22
17-22
18-13
12-22
23-13
13-8
13-20
23-27
17-14
11-15
27-21
10-14
17-27
25-21
25-29
7-24
18-19
22-27
22-26
27-26
154.7Avg total
74.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.879.1150.9-7.450%
Season at home (4)70.281.0151.2-10.825%
Season away (4)73.277.2150.5-4.075%
Last 10 (10)74.480.3154.7-5.950%
Last 5 (5)73.082.0155.0-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.984.1156.0-12.231%
vs Similar (7)77.974.3152.1+3.671%
vs Weaker (7)81.673.7155.3+7.957%
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
SpainMontenegro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H30/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H02/03
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H02/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H28/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A31/08
World Cup
77.8Avg total
40.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.774.8+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.334.474.7+5.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.935.175.0+4.764%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.977.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.080.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
vs Similar (6)39.734.774.3+5.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.035.377.3+6.763%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#21
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A27/02
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H02/03
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A02/07
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H05/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A28/08
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H31/08
World Cup
76.5Avg total
38.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.177.4-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.440.980.3-1.527%-
Last 30 away (15)37.237.374.5-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.176.5+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.673.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.841.977.8-6.125%-
vs Similar (7)40.437.477.9+3.057%-
vs Weaker (7)41.934.176.0+7.786%-
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.7
49.0%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.3
29.9%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.0
66.4%
-14.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
-39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
-16.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain
LLLWWWWWLL
Montenegro
LLWWLWWLLW
#27
League position
#51
+5.9
Net rating
-6.0
99.0
Offensive rating
106.5
93.1
Defensive rating
112.5
47.1%
Effective FG%
52.3%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.9%
3-point %
33.9%
74.0%
Assist %
58.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Spain   ■ Montenegro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Spain wins
0
Montenegro wins
DateGameScore
06/09/22Montenegro v Spain65-82
26/02/18Spain v Montenegro79-67
24/11/17Montenegro v Spain66-79
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26AGreece106-108 OT
28/08/26HPortugal89-95
05/07/26AGeorgia89-91 OT
02/07/26HDenmark109-81
02/03/26HUkraine78-64
27/02/26AUkraine86-66
30/11/25HGeorgia90-61
27/11/25ADenmark74-64
04/09/25HGreece86-90
02/09/25AItaly63-67
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26HUkraine89-98
28/08/26AGeorgia74-101
05/07/26HRomania65-64
02/07/26APortugal72-68
02/03/26HGreece65-79
27/02/26AGreece67-65
30/11/25ARomania80-75
27/11/25HPortugal62-83
03/09/25HGreat Britain83-89
01/09/25ASweden87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game90.191.588.8
Allowed / game78.875.282.2
Point differential+11.4+16.2+6.5
Avg total168.9166.8171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Montenegro
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game71.870.273.2
Allowed / game79.181.077.2
Point differential-7.4-10.8-4.0
Avg total150.9151.2150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.