PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Spain vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Sep 2019
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 90-78
22-18 24-23 21-17 23-20
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game68.6
Spain 🏆
vs
Position#19
Record12-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game74.1
EuropeWorld CupWorld Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2019
Meetings · Spain v Poland
23 Feb 2020
SPAI69
POLA80
10 Sep 2019
SPAI90
POLA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#27
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H17/09
World Cup
Turkey
#21
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A29/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#41
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H02/12
World Cup
Latvia
#27
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A22/02
World Cup
Turkey
#21
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H25/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#9
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H31/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A02/09
World Cup
Iran
#23
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H04/09
World Cup
Italy
#14
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H08/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
25-17
16-19
18-26
15-15
19-21
14-20
19-15
20-14
19-17
15-17
18-20
25-14
13-11
13-16
16-21
25-16
22-20
12-6
15-16
16-17
26-22
30-8
29-15
17-21
19-14
21-10
16-18
18-21
15-10
19-22
21-12
18-18
12-13
20-17
17-12
13-20
32-17
22-19
14-13
142.0Avg total
76.0Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.868.6146.4+9.188%
Season at home (10)80.467.5147.9+12.9100%
Season away (7)74.070.3144.3+3.771%
Last 10 (10)76.066.0142.0+10.090%
Last 5 (5)79.063.8142.8+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.065.5156.5+25.5100%
vs Similar (2)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.368.3148.6+12.081%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#52
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H17/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A29/11
World Cup
Italy
#14
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H02/12
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A22/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H25/02
World Cup
Venezuela
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H31/08
World Cup
China
#29
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A02/09
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#45
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A04/09
World Cup
Russia
#15
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H06/09
World Cup
Argentina
#3
L
65-91
65
91
-26
H08/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
10-15
23-22
25-16
27-18
26-19
26-24
26-17
31-18
21-23
21-24
21-13
8-16
24-20
29-23
16-10
26-16
20-20
20-14
19-26
22-24
22-12
16-15
20-18
15-25
24-10
18-19
15-18
20-24
16-8
19-17
25-14
16-22
18-18
19-17
26-17
14-20
13-22
14-28
24-21
157.1Avg total
82.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.974.1152.9+4.871%
Season at home (9)78.173.7151.8+4.478%
Season away (8)79.874.5154.2+5.262%
Last 10 (10)82.374.8157.1+7.590%
Last 5 (5)76.674.6151.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.182.4155.5-9.429%
vs Similar (6)85.573.3158.8+12.283%
vs Weaker (8)79.669.0148.6+10.688%
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +4.7+4.7
SpainPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#27
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H17/09
World Cup
Turkey
#21
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#41
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H02/12
World Cup
Latvia
#27
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A22/02
World Cup
Turkey
#21
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/02
World Cup
Tunisia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H31/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/09
World Cup
Iran
#23
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H04/09
World Cup
Italy
#14
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/09
World Cup
73.3Avg total
39.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.833.574.4+7.383%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.933.074.9+8.988%-
Last 30 away (13)39.534.273.7+5.277%-
Last 10 (10)39.533.873.3+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.671.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.538.081.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar (2)35.034.569.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.133.174.2+8.085%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#52
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H17/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A29/11
World Cup
Italy
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H02/12
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H25/02
World Cup
Venezuela
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H31/08
World Cup
China
#29
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/09
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#45
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A04/09
World Cup
Russia
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/09
World Cup
Argentina
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H08/09
World Cup
76.5Avg total
39.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.637.675.2-0.139%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.236.172.2+0.146%-
Last 30 away (15)38.839.077.8-0.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.176.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.073.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.141.577.6-5.421%-
vs Similar (6)42.535.578.0+7.083%-
vs Weaker (8)36.432.568.9+3.938%-
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Spain wins
0
Poland wins
No previous meetings.
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/19HSerbia81-69
06/09/19HItaly67-60
04/09/19HIran73-65
02/09/19APuerto Rico73-63
31/08/19HTunisia101-62
25/02/19HTurkey74-58
22/02/19ALatvia67-62
02/12/18HUkraine72-68
29/11/18ATurkey67-71
17/09/18HLatvia85-82
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/19HArgentina65-91
06/09/19HRussia79-74
04/09/19AIvory Coast80-63
02/09/19AChina79-76 OT
31/08/19HVenezuela80-69
25/02/19HNetherlands85-76
22/02/19ACroatia77-69
02/12/18HItaly94-78
29/11/18ANetherlands105-78
17/09/18HCroatia79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain
World Cup 2019
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %88%100%71%
Points / game77.880.474.0
Allowed / game68.667.570.3
Point differential+9.1+12.9+3.7
Avg total146.4147.9144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
World Cup 2019
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game78.978.179.8
Allowed / game74.173.774.5
Point differential+4.8+4.4+5.2
Avg total152.9151.8154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia1715288%89.067.2+21.8
2 Spain1715288%77.868.6+9.1
3 Argentina1614288%87.971.1+16.9
4 Greece1614288%82.674.6+8.1
5 Lithuania1714382%83.766.9+16.8
6 France1714382%81.467.5+13.9
7 Nigeria1713476%88.769.8+18.9
8 New Zealand1713476%93.478.3+15.1
9 Tunisia1713476%77.162.1+15.0
10 Brazil1612475%78.470.3+8.1
11 Canada1712571%91.873.3+18.5
12 Germany1712571%83.972.4+11.5
13 Poland1712571%78.974.1+4.8
14 Czech Republic1611569%77.574.8+2.8
15 Puerto Rico1510567%77.578.2-0.7
16 Italy1711665%80.671.0+9.6
17 Russia1711665%78.871.2+7.5
18 South Korea1711665%83.780.3+3.4
19 Venezuela1711665%73.070.8+2.2
20 Turkey1610662%76.071.2+4.8
21 Serbia1811761%86.872.4+14.4
22 Uruguay106460%69.771.7-2.0
23 Iran1710759%74.669.6+5.1
24 Senegal1710759%71.771.4+0.4
25 Angola1710759%69.469.6-0.2
26 Cameroon127558%72.766.2+6.5
27 Latvia127558%78.676.2+2.4
28 Egypt127558%66.866.6+0.2
29 China179853%79.970.5+9.4
30 Dominican Republic179853%77.477.1+0.3
31 Lebanon126650%78.871.5+7.2
32 Japan168850%79.875.6+4.2
33 Hungary126650%69.770.8-1.1
34 Finland126650%76.177.2-1.2
35 Bulgaria168850%76.177.8-1.8
36 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
37 Central African Republic126650%68.070.3-2.3
38 Montenegro178947%75.876.9-1.1
39 Jordan178947%81.784.3-2.6
40 Estonia167944%70.076.0-6.0
41 Ukraine125742%75.774.3+1.3
42 Sweden125742%72.875.6-2.8
43 Georgia125742%77.280.7-3.4
44 Israel125742%77.181.2-4.1
45 Ivory Coast1771041%66.665.9+0.7
46 Philippines1771041%77.884.4-6.6
47 Mexico104640%74.274.2+0.0
48 Panama104640%71.674.1-2.5
49 Bosnia & Herzegovina1871139%76.379.0-2.7
50 Netherlands1661038%77.975.5+2.4
51 D.R. Congo62433%67.867.7+0.2
52 Croatia124833%71.574.2-2.8
53 Morocco124833%61.665.8-4.2
54 Mozambique62433%58.062.8-4.8
55 Iraq62433%68.773.7-5.0
56 Iceland62433%77.282.7-5.5
57 Kazakhstan124833%69.080.2-11.2
58 Romania62433%61.377.8-16.5
59 Austria103730%72.078.2-6.2
60 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
61 Slovenia123925%75.882.3-6.6
62 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
63 Mali123925%64.075.8-11.8
64 United States Virgin Islands123925%72.184.7-12.6
65 Chad123925%60.174.8-14.8
66 Rwanda123925%67.283.1-15.8
67 Belarus102820%73.983.0-9.1
68 Kosovo102820%65.586.3-20.8
69 Great Britain61517%73.376.2-2.8
70 Belgium61517%65.373.8-8.5
71 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
72 Uganda61517%77.790.0-12.3
73 Chile1221017%61.474.8-13.3
74 Colombia61517%65.580.2-14.7
75 Bahamas61517%73.593.5-20.0
76 Chinese Taipei61517%71.092.0-21.0
77 Qatar1221017%61.085.6-24.6
78 Syria1221017%66.190.7-24.6
79 Cuba4040%67.581.5-14.0
80 Paraguay6060%58.576.7-18.2
81 India6060%68.894.7-25.8
82 Guinea6060%56.089.3-33.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong6060%67.3110.2-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain2224212390
Poland1823172078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.