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Leiden vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-84
21-26 17-19 23-22 21-17
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#3
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game86.7
NetherlandsDBLDBL - Semi-finals· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v LWD Basket
18 Oct 2025
LEI108
LWD 89
26 May 2025
LEI82
LWD 84
22 May 2025
LEI89
LWD 67
30 Apr 2025
LEI83
LWD 88
11 Nov 2023
LEI72
LWD 67
14 May 2023
LEI98
LWD 94
10 May 2023
LEI99
LWD 93
21 Dec 2022
LEI100
LWD 66
05 Nov 2022
LEI87
LWD 70
22 Dec 2021
LEI114
LWD 68
30 Jan 2021
LEI75
LWD 63
11 Apr 2020
LEI v LWD
upcoming
04 Dec 2019
LEI73
LWD 62
09 Feb 2019
LEI91
LWD 64
16 Jan 2019
LEI96
LWD 75
05 May 2018
LEI66
LWD 55
01 May 2018
LEI85
LWD 77
12 Apr 2018
LEI72
LWD 59
13 Jan 2018
LEI77
LWD 55
18 Mar 2017
LEI82
LWD 68
01 Dec 2016
LEI72
LWD 65
04 Feb 2016
LEI84
LWD 54
17 Oct 2015
LEI91
LWD 60
17 Jan 2015
LEI94
LWD 83
04 Oct 2014
LEI113
LWD 81
01 Feb 2014
LEI80
LWD 68
09 Nov 2013
LEI86
LWD 66
21 May 2013
LEI74
LWD 64
15 May 2013
LEI74
LWD 73
06 Mar 2013
LEI70
LWD 59
22 Dec 2012
LEI72
LWD 58
01 May 2012
LEI82
LWD 72
07 Apr 2012
LEI81
LWD 71
21 Jan 2012
LEI88
LWD 65
07 Apr 2011
LEI88
LWD 49
11 Dec 2010
LEI87
LWD 61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
59avg 71
A25/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 71
H30/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
81avg 71
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
55avg 71
A07/05
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
50-80
50
80
-30
38avg 71
A10/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#6
W
103-71
103
71
+32
no box
H13/05
DBL
Zwolle
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 71
A15/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
90-80
90
80
+10
87avg 71
A20/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
89-67
89
67
+22
87avg 71
H22/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
71avg 71
A24/05
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-25
17-15
15-18
25-29
17-29
23-10
18-20
20-33
18-25
20-21
24-20
17-17
24-21
16-16
11-16
14-22
13-18
12-21
11-19
22-23
31-16
21-15
29-17
25-20
19-24
14-17
25-20
30-20
22-22
15-22
23-16
27-17
23-22
21-18
18-10
17-28
15-27
32-20
17-14
159.9Avg total
80.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Season at home (2)96.069.0165.0+27.0100%
Season away (3)84.783.3168.0+1.367%
Last 10 (10)80.079.9159.9+0.140%
Last 5 (5)89.277.6166.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.680.5154.1-6.936%
vs Similar (6)76.777.2153.8-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.076.4161.4+8.678%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketNetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
74-62
74
62
+12
71avg 79
A13/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
100-89
100
89
+11
102avg 79
H18/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
82-66
82
66
+16
76avg 79
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
105-80
105
80
+25
108avg 79
H27/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
88-83
88
83
+5
88avg 79
A30/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
81avg 79
A03/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
99-88
99
88
+11
102avg 79
H10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 79
H20/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
L
67-89
67
89
-22
64avg 79
A22/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
98avg 79
H24/05
DBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-20
22-13
17-10
25-17
20-26
22-27
33-19
29-13
20-21
19-9
14-23
16-20
28-21
30-17
31-22
29-25
29-17
10-23
20-18
24-18
19-17
24-27
15-15
31-18
26-16
25-25
17-29
20-30
22-22
22-15
16-23
17-27
22-23
18-21
10-18
28-17
27-15
20-32
14-17
167.1Avg total
86.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.786.7165.3-8.033%
Season at home (2)84.585.5170.0-1.050%
Season away (1)67.089.0156.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)86.680.5167.1+6.180%
Last 5 (5)83.485.0168.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.286.6163.8-9.531%
vs Similar (10)86.684.5171.1+2.160%
vs Weaker (6)85.083.7168.7+1.350%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
LeidenLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H30/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/05
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A07/05
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/05
DBL
Zwolle
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A20/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#3
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/05
DBL
87.2Avg total
41.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.181.5+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.841.183.9+1.764%-
Last 30 away (19)40.539.680.1+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.487.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.890.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.341.478.7-4.150%-
vs Similar (6)41.239.380.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.240.285.4+5.067%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H27/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A30/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/05
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H10/05
BNXT League
Leiden
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H20/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/05
DBL
Leiden
#2
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/05
DBL
86.9Avg total
46.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.184.1-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.443.689.0+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.940.879.8-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)46.740.286.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.240.687.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.545.484.8-5.931%-
vs Similar (10)44.238.983.1+5.370%-
vs Weaker (6)43.742.586.2+1.250%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
51.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.3
31.3%
34.4%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.213.7
71.4%
73.9%13.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.3
57.5%
51.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.7
40.4%
34.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.316.1
79.3%
73.9%16.1
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LWWWWLLLLL
LWD Basket
WLLWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
-5.3
Net rating
+8.3
103.8
Offensive rating
112.9
109.1
Defensive rating
104.6
50.4%
Effective FG%
58.8%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.3%
3-point %
40.4%
58.2%
Assist %
70.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 112.9Defence109.1 · 104.6Shooting50.4% · 58.8%3-point %31.3% · 40.4%Ball care17.4% · 18.9%Off. rebounds27.6% · 21.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Leiden   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Leiden wins
3
LWD Basket wins
DateGameScore
24/05/25LWD Basket v Leiden89-81
22/05/25Leiden v LWD Basket89-67
20/05/25LWD Basket v Leiden80-90
30/04/25Leiden v LWD Basket83-88
01/12/24LWD Basket v Leiden92-95 OT
17/02/24LWD Basket v Leiden101-82
11/11/23Leiden v LWD Basket72-67
14/05/23Leiden v LWD Basket98-94 OT
12/05/23LWD Basket v Leiden64-72
10/05/23Leiden v LWD Basket99-93 OT
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25ALWD Basket81-89
22/05/25HLWD Basket89-67
20/05/25ALWD Basket90-80
15/05/25AZwolle83-81
13/05/25HZwolle103-71
10/05/25ACircus Brussels50-80
07/05/25AMechelen68-70
03/05/25HAntwerp Giants82-99
30/04/25HLWD Basket83-88
25/04/25ALimburg71-74
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HLeiden89-81
22/05/25ALeiden67-89
20/05/25HLeiden80-90
10/05/25HOkapi Aalst99-88
03/05/25AOostende82-77
30/04/25ALeiden88-83
27/04/25HKortrijk105-80
21/04/25AQSTA Utd82-66
18/04/25HZwolle100-89
13/04/25ASpirou Charleroi74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
DBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game89.296.084.7
Allowed / game77.669.083.3
Point differential+11.6+27.0+1.3
Avg total166.8165.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LWD Basket
DBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.784.567.0
Allowed / game86.785.589.0
Point differential-8.0-1.0-22.0
Avg total165.3170.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch330100%99.070.7+28.3
2 Leiden54180%89.277.6+11.6
3 Donar Groningen52340%75.088.8-13.8
4 LWD Basket31233%78.786.7-8.0
5 Den Helder2020%73.581.5-8.0
6 Zwolle2020%76.093.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2117232182
LWD Basket2619221784
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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