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Split vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-81
19-17 20-21 24-19 12-24
Position#8
Record9-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#2
Record14-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2023
Meetings · Split v Buducnost
18 Jan 2025
SPL48
BUD83
10 Feb 2024
SPL75
BUD81
05 Jan 2023
SPL87
BUD85
23 Apr 2022
SPL61
BUD72
09 Jan 2021
SPL78
BUD77
01 Dec 2012
SPL71
BUD69
10 Jan 2009
SPL64
BUD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 78
H12/01
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
104avg 78
H14/01
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
72avg 78
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
85-72
85
72
+13
83avg 78
A22/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 78
H26/01
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
73avg 78
H29/01
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
89avg 78
A31/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
105-92
105
92
+13
105avg 78
H02/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
W
74-67
74
67
+7
67avg 78
A05/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
A08/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
30-27
19-17
19-21
26-8
21-30
29-12
22-29
28-29
19-19
19-18
17-27
29-10
30-20
19-18
7-24
17-19
23-20
13-22
14-4
18-18
12-9
18-26
30-13
21-15
20-26
26-19
24-26
23-27
28-23
26-16
28-26
17-19
27-11
15-15
15-22
24-21
12-30
20-19
26-18
164.9Avg total
85.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.679.7156.4-3.147%
Season at home (9)78.076.4154.4+1.656%
Season away (10)75.482.7158.1-7.340%
Last 10 (10)85.679.3164.9+6.380%
Last 5 (5)86.079.8165.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.877.4150.2-4.744%
vs Similar (5)81.281.6162.8-0.460%
vs Weaker (15)90.874.7165.5+16.193%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
98avg 74
H05/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 74
H10/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 74
A14/01
ABA League
Aris
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 74
A17/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
98-66
98
66
+32
103avg 74
A19/01
ABA League
Ulm
#9
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
75avg 74
H23/01
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
92-72
92
72
+20
90avg 74
A28/01
ABA League
Trento
#16
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 74
A31/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
84-62
84
62
+22
84avg 74
H05/02
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#6
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 74
H07/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
25-26
20-22
18-18
15-14
15-25
21-15
27-20
25-23
31-15
21-18
9-19
18-17
21-17
24-20
12-22
21-16
25-13
25-18
27-19
16-17
14-21
18-21
24-13
19-20
31-14
18-18
24-20
22-14
23-25
34-17
18-22
22-18
24-18
13-15
25-11
22-16
25-22
23-17
20-22
164.7Avg total
88.3Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.976.2161.1+8.874%
Season at home (10)85.577.0162.5+8.580%
Season away (9)84.375.2159.6+9.167%
Last 10 (10)88.376.4164.7+11.980%
Last 5 (5)88.674.6163.2+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.483.0162.4-3.633%
vs Similar (8)79.582.5162.0-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.875.8158.5+7.077%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
SplitBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H12/01
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H14/01
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
59-30
59
30
+29
A22/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/01
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H29/01
ABA League
Alkar
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A31/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H02/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A08/02
Premijer liga
85.1Avg total
45.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.282.8+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.138.583.6+6.585%-
Last 30 away (17)42.639.682.2+2.941%-
Last 10 (10)45.040.185.1+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.880.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.741.181.8-0.444%-
vs Similar (5)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
vs Weaker (15)47.638.185.7+9.573%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H10/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A14/01
ABA League
Aris
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/01
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/01
ABA League
Ulm
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H23/01
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A28/01
ABA League
Trento
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A31/01
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H05/02
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H07/02
Eurocup
80.8Avg total
43.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.980.4+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.279.6+3.271%-
Last 30 away (16)41.639.481.1+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.180.8+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.080.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.342.484.8-0.144%-
vs Similar (8)38.837.976.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.737.079.7+5.792%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.2
54.0%
54.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.3
36.6%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.215.4
80.2%
73.8%15.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.7
57.1%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.8
35.5%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.5
79.2%
73.8%17.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWWWWWWLWW
Buducnost
WWWWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#2
+8.2
Net rating
+15.6
111.8
Offensive rating
114.3
103.6
Defensive rating
98.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
55.6%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.7%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.6%
3-point %
35.5%
63.9%
Assist %
61.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 114.3Defence103.6 · 98.7Shooting54.3% · 55.6%3-point %36.6% · 35.5%Ball care17.7% · 19.7%Off. rebounds30.6% · 36.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Split   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Split wins
7
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Buducnost v Split72-58
05/01/23Split v Buducnost87-85
02/10/22Buducnost v Split94-59
23/04/22Split v Buducnost61-72
10/10/21Buducnost v Split75-66
09/01/21Split v Buducnost78-77
03/10/20Buducnost v Split84-59
09/03/13Buducnost v Split66-47
01/12/12Split v Buducnost71-69
10/01/09Split v Buducnost64-75
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24AZabok82-88
05/02/24APartizan74-67
02/02/24HSkrljevo105-92
31/01/24AAlkar91-86
29/01/24HFMP Beograd78-66
26/01/24HZadar67-65
22/01/24ACibona85-72
19/01/24ABorac Mozzart83-93
14/01/24HDubrava98-79
12/01/24HCedevita Olimpija93-85
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HGran Canaria90-77
05/02/24HCrvena zvezda84-62
31/01/24ATrento97-78
28/01/24AMega Basket92-72
23/01/24HUlm80-84 OT
19/01/24ACibona98-66
17/01/24AAris75-76
14/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto86-75
10/01/24HJL Bourg78-74
05/01/24HMornar Bar103-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game76.678.075.4
Allowed / game79.776.482.7
Point differential-3.1+1.6-7.3
Avg total156.4154.4158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Buducnost
ABA League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%80%67%
Points / game84.985.584.3
Allowed / game76.277.075.2
Point differential+8.8+8.5+9.1
Avg total161.1162.5159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1916384%87.173.8+13.2
2 Buducnost1914574%84.976.2+8.8
3 Cedevita Olimpija2014670%85.882.7+3.1
4 Partizan1913668%92.575.9+16.5
5 Zadar1911858%80.576.5+4.1
6 Igokea1911858%80.280.7-0.5
7 Mega Basket1991047%84.182.5+1.6
8 Studentski Centar1991047%85.885.2+0.6
9 Split1991047%76.679.7-3.1
10 Borac Mozzart1981142%78.183.2-5.1
11 Cibona1961332%78.385.9-7.6
12 FMP Beograd2061430%76.785.0-8.2
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1941521%74.485.2-10.7
14 Mornar Bar1941521%76.188.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1920241275
Buducnost1721192481
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