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Split vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-85
26-21 11-20 28-29 22-15
Position#10
Record4-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game84.5
Split 🏆
vs
Position#3
Record9-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14
Domestic2022
Meetings · Split v Buducnost
18 Jan 2025
SPL48
BUD83
10 Feb 2024
SPL75
BUD81
05 Jan 2023
SPL87
BUD85
23 Apr 2022
SPL61
BUD72
09 Jan 2021
SPL78
BUD77
01 Dec 2012
SPL71
BUD69
10 Jan 2009
SPL64
BUD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
74avg 63
H28/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
70-55
70
55
+15
no box
H02/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
88-104
88
104
-16
78avg 63
A05/12
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
no box
A07/12
Croatian Cup
Mega Basket
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 63
H11/12
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
104-67
104
67
+37
no box
H13/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
89-90
89
90
-1
80avg 63
A16/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
84-102
84
102
-18
no box
A19/12
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A22/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
63-72
63
72
-9
48avg 63
H02/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
29-20
14-22
17-29
24-13
15-16
16-10
15-16
22-24
26-28
19-25
21-27
23-25
20-22
25-26
20-17
25-19
26-20
15-14
13-22
37-16
26-22
18-18
23-11
27-24
24-23
21-16
17-27
20-25
18-30
28-22
18-25
18-16
22-25
19-22
26-17
17-19
13-13
14-26
19-14
165.2Avg total
83.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.284.5160.8-8.331%
Season at home (6)75.279.7154.8-4.533%
Season away (7)77.188.7165.9-11.629%
Last 10 (10)83.282.0165.2+1.240%
Last 5 (5)85.082.2167.2+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)68.488.0156.4-19.60%
vs Similar (11)77.580.6158.2-3.136%
vs Weaker (13)85.977.8163.8+8.185%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
93avg 75
H26/11
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
67avg 75
A29/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#1
L
77-106
77
106
-29
65avg 75
A04/12
ABA League
Trento
#18
W
73-58
73
58
+15
64avg 75
H07/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 75
H10/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#1
L
71-79 OT
71
79
-8
no box
A13/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
104-87
104
87
+17
110avg 75
A18/12
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
64avg 75
H21/12
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#6
W
79-66
79
66
+13
75avg 75
H25/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
108-79
108
79
+29
107avg 75
A30/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
24-25
23-12
26-14
26-14
14-18
15-19
15-13
23-25
11-28
18-26
25-27
14-18
28-11
12-17
19-12
31-15
14-20
20-23
23-18
17-17
19-19
15-12
13-16
37-13
18-23
29-23
20-28
24-19
14-23
16-16
17-26
19-16
21-18
21-17
18-15
27-16
28-21
24-26
29-16
161.3Avg total
83.8Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.581.5172.1+9.069%
Season at home (6)87.869.5157.3+18.3100%
Season away (7)92.991.9184.7+1.043%
Last 10 (10)83.877.5161.3+6.370%
Last 5 (5)86.679.0165.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.083.8155.8-11.820%
vs Similar (13)80.877.3158.1+3.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.875.3167.1+16.483%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
SplitBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H28/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A05/12
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A07/12
Croatian Cup
Mega Basket
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H11/12
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H13/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A16/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A19/12
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A22/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H02/01
ABA League
86.8Avg total
45.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.382.5+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.136.579.7+6.667%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.085.3-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.486.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.843.281.0-5.40%-
vs Similar (11)39.938.778.6+1.255%-
vs Weaker (13)45.839.985.7+5.862%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H26/11
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A29/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A04/12
ABA League
Trento
#18
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A13/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A18/12
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H21/12
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A30/12
ABA League
81.7Avg total
43.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.783.7+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.438.580.9+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.742.986.5+0.840%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.481.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.081.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.043.879.8-7.820%-
vs Similar (13)42.739.582.2+3.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.340.787.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.2
53.9%
55.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.75.7
25.1%
35.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
75.8%16.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
55.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.2
38.9%
35.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.215.7
81.8%
75.8%15.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWLLWWLLWL
Buducnost
WWLWLWWLWW
#10
League position
#3
-9.1
Net rating
+10.1
103.1
Offensive rating
116.5
112.2
Defensive rating
106.4
48.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
25.1%
3-point %
38.9%
54.6%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 116.5Defence112.2 · 106.4Shooting48.0% · 55.0%3-point %25.1% · 38.9%Ball care15.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 34.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Split   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Split wins
7
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
02/10/22Buducnost v Split94-59
23/04/22Split v Buducnost61-72
10/10/21Buducnost v Split75-66
09/01/21Split v Buducnost78-77
03/10/20Buducnost v Split84-59
09/03/13Buducnost v Split66-47
01/12/12Split v Buducnost71-69
10/01/09Split v Buducnost64-75
11/10/08Buducnost v Split85-68
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23HCrvena zvezda63-72
22/12/22AMZT Skopje85-80
19/12/22ACibona84-102
16/12/22ABorac Mozzart89-90
13/12/22HBosco104-67
11/12/22HMega Basket79-75
07/12/22ACibona88-90
05/12/22AMornar Bar88-104
02/12/22HGKK Sibenka70-55
28/11/22HStudentski Centar82-85
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22ABorac Mozzart108-79
25/12/22HMega Basket79-66
21/12/22HTurk Telekom71-84
18/12/22AMornar Bar104-87
13/12/22AGran Canaria71-79 OT
10/12/22HStudentski Centar88-76
07/12/22HTrento73-58
04/12/22APartizan77-106
29/11/22AHapoel Tel-Aviv70-64
26/11/22HCibona97-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL31%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game76.275.277.1
Allowed / game84.579.788.7
Point differential-8.3-4.5-11.6
Avg total160.8154.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Buducnost
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%100%43%
Points / game90.587.892.9
Allowed / game81.569.591.9
Point differential+9.0+18.3+1.0
Avg total172.1157.3184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%83%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1211192%85.769.6+16.1
2 Partizan1311285%90.876.8+14.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija1210283%91.278.2+13.0
4 FMP Beograd1310377%93.585.3+8.2
5 Buducnost139469%90.581.5+9.0
6 Zadar137654%89.289.8-0.5
7 Cibona136746%79.889.9-10.1
8 Igokea135838%83.485.8-2.4
9 Studentski Centar135838%81.889.5-7.8
10 Mornar Bar134931%87.092.3-5.3
11 Split134931%76.284.5-8.3
12 Mega Basket1331023%81.787.1-5.4
13 Borac Mozzart1331023%79.788.9-9.2
14 MZT Skopje1321115%80.589.5-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2611282287
Buducnost2120291585
← all games of the day
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