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Split vs Samobor Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.9
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 18· Dvorana KK Split
Other2026-27
Meetings · Split v Samobor
29 Jan 2027
SPL v SAMO
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SPL94
SAMO81
26 Sep 2025
SPL75
SAMO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Trepca
#29
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 79
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
62avg 79
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
70avg 79
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
W
76-75
76
75
+1
71avg 79
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
87avg 79
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#2
L
81-93 OT
81
93
-12
69avg 79
H31/10
Premijer liga
Batumi
#50
W
97-77
97
77
+20
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Samobor
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
A07/11
Premijer liga
Opava
#44
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Skrljevo
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
no box
H14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
6-19
23-18
18-22
24-16
19-18
14-23
16-27
32-22
10-31
16-26
22-21
20-24
16-23
21-16
19-12
19-22
19-18
31-21
19-21
19-20
19-19
17-22
20-14
35-17
24-16
17-28
21-16
24-24
23-15
18-17
17-21
21-29
17-16
19-15
24-17
25-20
19-17
19-19
19-23
163.1Avg total
80.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.976.1158.0+5.875%
Season at home (4)82.582.2164.8+0.250%
Season away (4)81.270.0151.2+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)80.982.2163.1-1.360%
Last 5 (5)84.680.6165.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.189.6168.7-10.429%
vs Similar (6)82.378.7161.0+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.376.2163.5+11.194%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 76
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 76
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
65-98
65
98
-33
59avg 76
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
74avg 76
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
56avg 76
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 76
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 76
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 76
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
14-24
20-13
15-26
10-18
16-18
19-20
11-29
19-31
17-21
22-16
16-26
29-21
21-23
11-22
21-13
11-15
16-21
14-14
21-13
21-31
27-25
23-16
16-21
12-27
31-20
21-14
20-27
25-28
24-24
15-23
17-18
21-17
21-26
13-28
18-17
23-12
163.3Avg total
76.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.683.9160.5-7.212%
Season at home (4)77.584.8162.2-7.20%
Season away (4)75.883.0158.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)76.187.2163.3-11.110%
Last 5 (5)79.884.4164.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.589.3166.8-11.70%
vs Similar (9)82.681.0163.6+1.644%
vs Weaker (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
SplitSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trepca
#29
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/10
Premijer liga
Batumi
#50
W
59-33
59
33
+26
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Samobor
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A07/11
Premijer liga
Opava
#44
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Skrljevo
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/11
Premijer liga
81.8Avg total
41.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.182.0+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.279.5+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)43.641.084.6+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.581.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.683.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.942.382.1-2.429%-
vs Similar (6)43.540.884.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.037.281.2+6.871%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.443.488.8+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)37.441.278.6-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.081.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.243.684.8-2.527%-
vs Similar (9)41.142.283.3-1.122%-
vs Weaker (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.6
53.5%
54.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.8
33.8%
34.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.6
77.6%
71.7%15.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.6
48.7%
54.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
34.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
71.7%15.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WWWWLWWLLL
Samobor
LLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#12
+3.0
Net rating
-12.7
95.6
Offensive rating
86.4
92.6
Defensive rating
99.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
47.8%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.8%
3-point %
31.0%
69.7%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 86.4Defence92.6 · 99.1Shooting52.2% · 47.8%3-point %33.8% · 31.0%Ball care15.1% · 18.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Split   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Split wins
0
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Samobor v Split77-82
12/04/26Split v Samobor94-81
19/12/25Samobor v Split86-122
26/09/25Split v Samobor75-71
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSkrljevo82-79
11/11/26HOpava81-77
07/11/26ASamobor82-77
04/11/26ABatumi97-77
31/10/26HCibona81-93 OT
28/10/26HPromitheas88-82
25/10/26AAlkar76-75
21/10/26ATrier80-100
18/10/26HZadar73-84
14/10/26HTrepca69-78
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADinamo Zagreb75-83
07/11/26HSplit77-82
31/10/26ACedevita Junior97-89
23/10/26HSkrljevo78-89
17/10/26AZabok72-79
09/10/26HCibona64-73
04/10/26HAlkar91-95 OT
30/09/26ABC Prievidza65-98
27/09/26AZadar59-81
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game81.982.581.2
Allowed / game76.182.270.0
Point differential+5.8+0.2+11.2
Avg total158.0164.8151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game76.677.575.8
Allowed / game83.984.883.0
Point differential-7.2-7.2-7.2
Avg total160.5162.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner74357%88.983.9+5.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar72529%80.782.7-2.0
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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