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Samobor vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-122
27-29 25-26 18-26 16-41
Position#4
Record6-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Split 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game81.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 12· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v Split
07 Nov 2026
SAMO77
SPL82
19 Dec 2025
SAMO86
SPL122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
96-90
96
90
+6
99avg 85
H05/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 85
A10/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
80-99
80
99
-19
68avg 85
H17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
88avg 85
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
103-63
103
63
+40
107avg 85
H02/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
77avg 85
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
77avg 85
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 85
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
112avg 85
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
85-88
85
88
-3
75avg 85
A13/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
30-15
18-24
24-26
14-22
20-20
25-20
21-21
11-22
15-27
28-26
26-24
22-25
21-18
24-27
23-19
26-19
23-16
17-16
37-12
16-18
27-14
14-19
22-25
24-16
17-28
18-22
28-19
26-19
25-26
19-21
12-31
29-18
29-27
14-31
25-21
22-26
23-21
23-21
17-20
176.8Avg total
89.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.586.5174.0+1.155%
Season at home (4)91.584.2175.8+7.275%
Season away (7)85.387.7173.0-2.443%
Last 10 (10)89.287.6176.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)88.690.4179.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.790.3168.0-12.70%
vs Similar (9)89.078.6167.6+10.478%
vs Weaker (18)89.683.7173.3+5.978%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Igokea
#14
L
85-93
85
93
-8
78avg 76
A07/11
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
80avg 76
A09/11
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
89-80
89
80
+9
89avg 76
H14/11
ABA League
Zadar
#1
W
88-82 OT
88
82
+6
75avg 76
H16/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
80-91
80
91
-11
73avg 76
H21/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
104-84
104
84
+20
103avg 76
A23/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
110-72
110
72
+38
109avg 76
H04/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
L
80-96
80
96
-16
71avg 76
A07/12
ABA League
Igokea
#14
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
78avg 76
H12/12
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
116-103
116
103
+13
118avg 76
A13/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
18-25
24-26
20-20
22-24
12-25
28-16
21-14
31-15
20-21
22-20
16-24
23-22
15-14
19-14
13-20
21-23
25-26
11-27
23-15
32-26
26-20
24-17
22-21
31-17
31-22
22-17
26-16
25-22
19-25
23-22
13-27
18-27
15-11
20-17
28-26
26-20
29-25
31-30
30-28
180.6Avg total
93.3Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.681.1172.7+10.591%
Season at home (6)89.773.8163.5+15.8100%
Season away (5)94.089.8183.8+4.280%
Last 10 (10)93.387.3180.6+6.070%
Last 5 (5)101.689.6191.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.086.5166.5-6.538%
vs Similar (7)74.479.3153.7-4.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.478.0168.4+12.480%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
SamoborSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H05/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H02/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/12
Premijer liga
86.6Avg total
44.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.542.287.7+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.041.686.6+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)45.942.888.8+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.286.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.690.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.046.083.0-9.033%-
vs Similar (9)45.739.084.7+6.756%-
vs Weaker (18)46.843.290.1+3.650%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#14
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/11
ABA League
Zabok
#7
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A09/11
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H14/11
ABA League
Zadar
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H16/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H21/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A23/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H04/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A07/12
ABA League
Igokea
#14
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H12/12
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A13/12
Premijer liga
89.4Avg total
46.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.783.5+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.537.982.5+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)40.744.284.9-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)46.243.289.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)50.443.093.4+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.042.883.8-1.825%-
vs Similar (7)35.938.774.6-2.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.140.587.6+6.773%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.9
52.2%
53.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.7
39.0%
34.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.720.1
81.4%
74.3%20.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.2
57.1%
53.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.8
39.4%
34.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.615.7
80.1%
74.3%15.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LWLWWWWLLW
Split
WWLWWLWWWL
#4
League position
#2
+1.5
Net rating
+8.1
109.8
Offensive rating
120.2
108.3
Defensive rating
112.1
54.5%
Effective FG%
57.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
20.8%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.0%
3-point %
39.4%
66.2%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 120.2Defence108.3 · 112.1Shooting54.5% · 57.9%3-point %39.0% · 39.4%Ball care20.8% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.0% · 31.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
1
Split wins
DateGameScore
26/09/25Split v Samobor75-71
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AKvarner85-88
07/12/25ADinamo Zagreb110-106 OT
23/11/25ACibona82-97
16/11/25HGKK Sibenka87-85
09/11/25AAlkar79-76
02/11/25HDubrava103-63
26/10/25ACedevita Junior90-89
17/10/25HZadar80-99
10/10/25ADubrovnik80-83
05/10/25HZabok96-90
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ADinamo Zagreb116-103
12/12/25HIgokea98-93 OT
07/12/25AFMP Beograd80-96
04/12/25HGKK Sibenka110-72
23/11/25ADubrava104-84
21/11/25HKK Krka Novo mesto80-91
16/11/25HZadar88-82 OT
14/11/25HBorac Mozzart89-80
09/11/25AZabok83-79
07/11/25AIgokea85-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%75%43%
Points / game87.591.585.3
Allowed / game86.584.287.7
Point differential+1.1+7.2-2.4
Avg total174.0175.8173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Split
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game91.689.794.0
Allowed / game81.173.889.8
Point differential+10.5+15.8+4.2
Avg total172.7163.5183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1110191%89.072.0+17.0
2 Split1110191%91.681.1+10.5
3 Zabok117464%82.379.5+2.7
4 Cibona116555%84.880.7+4.1
5 Samobor116555%87.586.5+1.1
6 Kvarner115645%75.577.7-2.3
7 Dubrovnik115645%76.378.6-2.4
8 Alkar115645%71.177.2-6.1
9 Dinamo Zagreb114736%86.487.5-1.1
10 Cedevita Junior113827%80.283.0-2.8
11 Dubrava113827%78.488.6-10.3
12 GKK Sibenka112918%75.285.7-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2725181686
Split29262641122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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