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Split vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-71
16-24 28-10 14-14 17-23
Position#2
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Split 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#4
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 1· Dvorana KK Split
Other2025-26
Meetings · Split v Samobor
29 Jan 2027
SPL v SAMO
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SPL94
SAMO81
26 Sep 2025
SPL75
SAMO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 77
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
68avg 77
A18/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 77
H21/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
80avg 77
H25/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
88-55
88
55
+33
82avg 77
A28/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
89-69
89
69
+20
94avg 77
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
46-65
46
65
-19
28avg 77
A05/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
53avg 77
A08/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 77
H11/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
65-67 OT
65
67
-2
57avg 77
H14/06
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
27-22
22-16
26-18
14-19
18-26
22-21
18-17
28-30
28-14
19-13
21-24
17-29
26-14
18-17
21-26
26-16
18-13
19-13
25-13
23-10
28-22
13-17
25-20
8-14
11-19
12-17
15-15
17-23
17-23
15-15
16-18
24-19
21-21
18-20
11-13
10-16
20-8
20-19
10-17
150.3Avg total
77.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.472.9150.3+4.550%
Last 5 (5)67.870.6138.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.282.8159.0-6.50%
vs Similar (8)68.680.0148.6-11.412%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.774.8165.5+15.883%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 84
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 84
A22/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
109-82
109
82
+27
109avg 84
A02/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 84
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 84
H13/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
73avg 84
A17/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
66avg 84
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
94-65
94
65
+29
100avg 84
A27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 84
H07/05
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
95avg 84
A10/05
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
35-25
16-23
19-21
25-18
18-27
22-20
22-15
26-21
34-24
30-19
19-18
15-19
20-28
25-20
13-13
22-19
17-28
32-17
15-17
21-32
19-22
21-22
16-22
14-22
16-16
20-11
14-15
30-10
22-17
25-27
17-11
31-20
25-29
16-22
24-15
32-18
20-19
14-17
20-20
168.4Avg total
88.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.180.3168.4+7.880%
Last 5 (5)86.279.4165.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (8)86.883.4170.1+3.475%
vs Weaker (21)88.579.8168.2+8.786%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
SplitSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A18/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H25/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A28/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A05/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H11/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H14/06
Premijer liga
77.6Avg total
40.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.781.9+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.437.984.3+8.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.579.5-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.377.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.070.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.240.875.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (8)34.040.674.6-6.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.739.186.7+8.672%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A02/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H13/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A17/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H07/05
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A10/05
Prva Liga
89.5Avg total
46.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.341.387.5+5.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.840.386.1+5.556%-
Last 30 away (14)46.842.489.1+4.457%-
Last 10 (10)46.742.889.5+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.087.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (8)45.640.185.8+5.550%-
vs Weaker (21)46.841.588.2+5.362%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.8
47.7%
53.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.0
40.2%
34.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.813.0
77.4%
74.3%13.0
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.125.0
58.0%
53.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.7
33.7%
34.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.311.0
67.5%
74.3%11.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWLLWWLWLW
Samobor
WWWWLWLWWW
#2
League position
#4
+6.8
Net rating
+9.2
110.5
Offensive rating
111.5
103.7
Defensive rating
102.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
55.2%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
40.2%
3-point %
33.7%
68.3%
Assist %
60.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 111.5Defence103.7 · 102.3Shooting52.9% · 55.2%3-point %40.2% · 33.7%Ball care17.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 28.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Split   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Split wins
0
Samobor wins
No previous meetings.
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25HZadar65-67 OT
11/06/25HZadar74-73
08/06/25AZadar65-79
05/06/25AZadar46-65
31/05/25HDinamo Zagreb89-69
28/05/25ADinamo Zagreb88-55
25/05/25HDinamo Zagreb82-86
21/05/25HAlkar96-81
18/05/25AAlkar72-83
15/05/25HAlkar97-71
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25AMladost86-74
07/05/25HMladost96-86
27/04/25AJazine94-65
24/04/25HJazine78-74 OT
17/04/25AMarsonia77-98
13/04/25HJazine86-81
06/04/25ASkrljevo73-80
02/04/25AGorica109-82
22/03/25ABosco87-80
16/03/25HKastela95-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1628141775
Samobor2410142371
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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