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Split vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-85
16-24 30-18 13-16 17-27
Position#2
Record30-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record30-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game73.4
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Final
Other2022-23
Meetings · Split v Zadar
18 Oct 2026
SPL73
ZAD84
27 Mar 2026
SPL59
ZAD79
16 Nov 2025
SPL88
ZAD82
14 Jun 2025
SPL65
ZAD67
11 Jun 2025
SPL74
ZAD73
12 Feb 2025
SPL71
ZAD70
03 Jan 2025
SPL73
ZAD77
30 Oct 2024
SPL61
ZAD78
31 May 2024
SPL55
ZAD84
29 May 2024
SPL87
ZAD77
26 Jan 2024
SPL67
ZAD65
17 Nov 2023
SPL75
ZAD82
01 Jun 2023
SPL84
ZAD94
30 May 2023
SPL76
ZAD85
15 Apr 2023
SPL85
ZAD76
03 Feb 2023
SPL89
ZAD85
21 Oct 2022
SPL83
ZAD89
27 May 2022
SPL77
ZAD84
20 May 2022
SPL74
ZAD64
08 Apr 2022
SPL80
ZAD92
29 Mar 2022
SPL77
ZAD78
14 Mar 2022
SPL81
ZAD95
02 Jun 2021
SPL81
ZAD68
31 May 2021
SPL83
ZAD75
13 Feb 2021
SPL70
ZAD79
07 Feb 2021
SPL76
ZAD89
06 Feb 2021
SPL82
ZAD62
27 Oct 2019
SPL67
ZAD80
12 Nov 2018
SPL75
ZAD76
18 Mar 2018
SPL88
ZAD120
16 Feb 2017
SPL64
ZAD80
12 Feb 2017
SPL91
ZAD94
12 Apr 2016
SPL78
ZAD90
09 Apr 2013
SPL61
ZAD75
15 Dec 2012
SPL75
ZAD78
24 Mar 2012
SPL79
ZAD73
25 Nov 2011
SPL86
ZAD74
14 May 2011
SPL74
ZAD85
29 Apr 2009
SPL76
ZAD82
23 Dec 2008
SPL83
ZAD91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H15/04
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 72
A17/04
ABA League
Dubrava
#8
W
92-68
92
68
+24
no box
H22/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
85-53
85
53
+32
no box
A26/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H29/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A05/05
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
104-55
104
55
+49
no box
H10/05
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
92-91
92
91
+1
no box
A13/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
86-68
86
68
+18
no box
H20/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
90-67
90
67
+23
no box
A23/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
25-23
27-13
12-15
21-23
15-16
25-24
13-20
28-20
20-10
20-18
24-20
15-25
23-10
15-10
32-8
22-21
23-25
32-24
16-12
21-23
23-19
16-20
21-14
27-13
26-14
22-10
29-18
20-23
18-21
21-25
33-22
21-10
14-22
23-19
28-17
23-16
23-23
19-11
25-17
160.1Avg total
88.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)88.775.6164.3+13.283%
Season at home (18)88.971.0159.9+17.983%
Season away (18)88.680.1168.7+8.483%
Last 10 (10)88.271.9160.1+16.390%
Last 5 (5)90.671.4162.0+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.589.5174.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.685.6173.1+2.067%
vs Weaker (19)93.072.6165.6+20.489%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
A26/04
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
73-100
73
100
-27
68avg 77
A28/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
96-75
96
75
+21
no box
A30/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
no box
A06/05
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
48avg 77
H08/05
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
80-62
80
62
+18
no box
H10/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A13/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
H17/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
H21/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A24/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
29-27
19-23
17-13
20-25
16-33
17-20
20-22
27-21
21-15
25-21
23-18
22-17
14-19
14-20
26-10
12-19
21-16
11-18
19-21
20-11
23-13
19-17
18-21
24-19
17-15
12-24
23-19
20-17
29-20
22-15
19-13
22-20
30-20
14-19
19-23
23-23
26-16
21-17
15-14
156.7Avg total
81.8Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)85.873.4159.2+12.381%
Season at home (19)86.971.1158.0+15.989%
Season away (18)84.575.9160.4+8.672%
Last 10 (10)81.874.9156.7+6.970%
Last 5 (5)83.271.2154.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.282.0155.2-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.579.1161.6+3.450%
vs Weaker (14)86.568.8155.3+17.786%
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
SplitZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H15/04
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A17/04
ABA League
Dubrava
#8
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H22/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H29/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/05
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H10/05
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A13/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/05
Premijer liga
81.1Avg total
42.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.383.8+5.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.139.284.4+5.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.839.483.2+4.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.281.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.880.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.543.585.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.145.388.4-2.222%-
vs Weaker (19)45.436.181.4+9.374%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A26/04
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A28/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A30/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/05
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H08/05
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H10/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A13/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H17/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H21/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A24/05
Premijer liga
82.6Avg total
44.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.983.1+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.237.481.6+6.869%-
Last 30 away (14)44.140.684.7+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)44.538.182.6+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.834.881.6+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.542.377.8-6.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.841.486.2+3.460%-
vs Weaker (14)47.435.783.1+11.686%-
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.123.1
57.6%
53.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.116.6
78.7%
74.0%16.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.315.3
52.2%
53.6%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.1
28.3%
34.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.320.3
77.2%
74.0%20.3
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WWWWWWWWLW
Zadar
WWWLWLWWLW
#2
League position
#1
+2.8
Net rating
-7.9
115.1
Offensive rating
101.1
112.3
Defensive rating
109.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.45
32.9%
3-point %
28.3%
64.3%
Assist %
72.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 101.1Defence112.3 · 109.1Shooting54.4% · 47.4%3-point %32.9% · 28.3%Ball care14.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 26.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Split   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Split wins
3
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Split v Zadar85-76
20/03/23Zadar v Split83-84
03/02/23Split v Zadar89-85
17/01/23Zadar v Split81-84
28/10/22Zadar v Split74-76
21/10/22Split v Zadar83-89
27/05/22Split v Zadar77-84
23/05/22Zadar v Split76-57
20/05/22Split v Zadar74-64
26/04/22Zadar v Split91-101 OT
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/23ACedevita Junior90-67
20/05/23HCedevita Junior86-68
13/05/23ABosco92-91
10/05/23HBosco104-55
05/05/23ACibona81-76
29/04/23HCedevita Junior93-82
26/04/23AGKK Sibenka85-53
22/04/23HDubrava92-68
17/04/23ACrvena zvezda74-83
15/04/23HZadar85-76
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/23ACibona85-70
21/05/23HCibona85-82
17/05/23HDinamo Zagreb90-65
13/05/23ADinamo Zagreb76-77
10/05/23HDinamo Zagreb80-62
08/05/23HCrvena zvezda63-74
06/05/23ADubrava76-66
30/04/23ACibona96-75
28/04/23ACrvena zvezda73-100
26/04/23ACedevita Junior94-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game88.788.988.6
Allowed / game75.671.080.1
Point differential+13.2+17.9+8.4
Avg total164.3159.9168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%72%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)50% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %81%89%72%
Points / game85.886.984.5
Allowed / game73.471.175.9
Point differential+12.3+15.9+8.6
Avg total159.2158.0160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%74%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Split3630683%88.775.6+13.2
2 Zadar3730781%85.873.4+12.3
3 Cibona3627975%87.976.1+11.8
4 Cedevita Junior36241267%82.678.0+4.6
5 Kastela21150%80.584.5-4.0
6 Dinamo Zagreb35161946%79.382.2-2.9
7 GKK Sibenka34142041%72.577.6-5.1
8 Dubrava34132138%76.882.7-5.9
9 Skrljevo32112134%78.482.7-4.3
10 Zabok34112332%78.484.9-6.5
11 Bosco34112332%79.689.5-9.9
12 Alkar32102231%80.785.4-4.8
13 Gorica3292328%80.086.0-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1630131776
Zadar2418162785
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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