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Crvena zvezda vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-74
23-21 16-15 24-25 20-13
Position#2
Record20-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#10
Record10-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game86.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 26
Domestic2022
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Split
26 Jan 2025
CZV96
SPL66
24 Dec 2023
CZV89
SPL67
17 Apr 2023
CZV83
SPL74
24 Sep 2021
CZV97
SPL61
15 Nov 2020
CZV78
SPL76
18 Dec 2012
CZV94
SPL67
25 Oct 2008
CZV83
SPL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A13/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 77
A17/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 77
H19/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 77
H23/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
92-73
92
73
+19
89avg 77
H29/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-60
76
60
+16
70avg 77
A31/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
89avg 77
A03/04
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
H06/04
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
80avg 77
A09/04
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
no box
H13/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
24-21
18-29
15-29
15-18
21-22
21-17
22-28
29-26
17-11
24-19
20-14
21-26
18-12
18-11
17-14
20-21
26-20
23-21
23-11
17-19
20-23
19-11
20-7
25-19
26-17
21-17
15-25
26-30
19-17
20-12
22-20
19-17
23-17
22-16
23-32
15-21
26-18
16-18
22-22
161.5Avg total
84.4Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.373.1160.4+14.287%
Season at home (12)90.271.8162.0+18.392%
Season away (11)84.274.5158.6+9.782%
Last 10 (10)84.477.1161.5+7.380%
Last 5 (5)85.677.6163.2+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.081.0156.0-6.033%
vs Similar (13)80.278.4158.6+1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.276.5164.7+11.685%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
91-80
91
80
+11
86avg 72
H17/03
ABA League
Zadar
#1
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A20/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A24/03
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#6
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 72
A26/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H28/03
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
113-99
113
99
+14
no box
H31/03
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A02/04
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
76avg 72
H07/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
H11/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H15/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
25-14
20-18
18-20
16-20
25-24
18-24
25-15
23-24
15-18
22-24
28-14
20-23
21-20
26-26
18-21
29-17
20-20
30-20
22-18
36-20
26-28
35-23
16-28
11-28
29-29
21-19
26-18
24-20
7-19
24-20
19-18
6-22
18-13
24-16
27-26
21-25
25-23
27-13
12-15
171.4Avg total
88.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.886.6169.4-3.840%
Season at home (13)83.984.2168.2-0.346%
Season away (12)81.689.1170.7-7.533%
Last 10 (10)88.383.1171.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)86.884.6171.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)84.890.0174.8-5.220%
vs Similar (9)87.986.1174.0+1.867%
vs Weaker (16)90.174.9165.0+15.181%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
Crvena zvezdaSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H19/03
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A31/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A03/04
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H06/04
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A09/04
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H13/04
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
43.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.781.5+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.539.985.4+5.679%-
Last 30 away (16)40.437.678.1+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.881.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.682.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.341.780.0-3.30%-
vs Similar (13)41.838.880.6+3.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.438.583.9+6.877%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H17/03
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A20/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A24/03
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/03
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H31/03
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A02/04
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#15
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H07/04
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H11/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H15/04
Premijer liga
86.0Avg total
42.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.984.6+2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.940.783.5+2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)44.541.285.7+3.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.586.0-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.486.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.643.083.6-2.40%-
vs Similar (9)43.246.489.7-3.211%-
vs Weaker (16)44.937.282.1+7.862%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.7
54.4%
55.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.8
34.2%
35.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
75.8%15.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.7
59.2%
55.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.2
33.3%
35.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.717.6
77.5%
75.8%17.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWWLL
Split
WLLLWWLWWW
#2
League position
#10
+8.1
Net rating
+3.9
112.5
Offensive rating
117.4
104.4
Defensive rating
113.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.2%
3-point %
33.3%
67.0%
Assist %
65.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 117.4Defence104.4 · 113.5Shooting53.2% · 55.7%3-point %34.2% · 33.3%Ball care16.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Split wins
DateGameScore
02/01/23Split v Crvena zvezda63-72
02/01/22Split v Crvena zvezda62-66
24/09/21Crvena zvezda v Split97-61
08/03/21Split v Crvena zvezda60-71
15/11/20Crvena zvezda v Split78-76
18/12/12Crvena zvezda v Split94-67
29/09/12Split v Crvena zvezda87-81
20/01/09Split v Crvena zvezda62-67
25/10/08Crvena zvezda v Split83-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/23HFenerbahce91-89 OT
09/04/23ABorac Mozzart87-82
06/04/23HOlympiacos87-79
03/04/23AMega Basket87-78
31/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne76-60
29/03/23HValencia92-73
23/03/23HBaskonia74-63
19/03/23HStudentski Centar90-70
17/03/23ABarcelona79-85
13/03/23APartizan81-92
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HZadar85-76
11/04/23HCibona75-77
07/04/23HMZT Skopje74-77
02/04/23ACedevita Junior87-94
31/03/23HBorac Mozzart113-99
28/03/23HGKK Sibenka101-75
26/03/23AMega Basket85-90
24/03/23ADubrava88-80
20/03/23AZadar84-83
17/03/23HMornar Bar91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW87%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %87%92%82%
Points / game87.390.284.2
Allowed / game73.171.874.5
Point differential+14.2+18.3+9.7
Avg total160.4162.0158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Split
ABA League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWLWWL46%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%46%33%
Points / game82.883.981.6
Allowed / game86.684.289.1
Point differential-3.8-0.3-7.5
Avg total169.4168.2170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)43% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2523292%93.677.7+15.9
2 Crvena zvezda2320387%87.373.1+14.2
3 Buducnost2518772%87.277.8+9.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija2517868%85.479.4+6.0
5 FMP Beograd26141254%90.086.3+3.6
6 Mega Basket26121446%84.785.9-1.2
7 Studentski Centar25111444%84.689.0-4.4
8 Zadar26111542%85.885.9-0.2
9 Split25101540%82.886.6-3.8
10 Igokea2491538%80.585.0-4.5
11 Cibona2691735%79.789.9-10.2
12 Mornar Bar2481633%84.491.8-7.3
13 Borac Mozzart2671927%82.689.8-7.3
14 MZT Skopje2671927%80.389.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2316242083
Split2115251374
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