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Split vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 59-79
18-17 11-22 16-22 14-18
Position#18
Record5-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Zadar 🏆
Position#9
Record8-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 6· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2025
Meetings · Split v Zadar
18 Oct 2026
SPL73
ZAD84
27 Mar 2026
SPL59
ZAD79
16 Nov 2025
SPL88
ZAD82
14 Jun 2025
SPL65
ZAD67
11 Jun 2025
SPL74
ZAD73
12 Feb 2025
SPL71
ZAD70
03 Jan 2025
SPL73
ZAD77
30 Oct 2024
SPL61
ZAD78
31 May 2024
SPL55
ZAD84
29 May 2024
SPL87
ZAD77
26 Jan 2024
SPL67
ZAD65
17 Nov 2023
SPL75
ZAD82
01 Jun 2023
SPL84
ZAD94
30 May 2023
SPL76
ZAD85
15 Apr 2023
SPL85
ZAD76
03 Feb 2023
SPL89
ZAD85
21 Oct 2022
SPL83
ZAD89
27 May 2022
SPL77
ZAD84
20 May 2022
SPL74
ZAD64
08 Apr 2022
SPL80
ZAD92
29 Mar 2022
SPL77
ZAD78
14 Mar 2022
SPL81
ZAD95
02 Jun 2021
SPL81
ZAD68
31 May 2021
SPL83
ZAD75
13 Feb 2021
SPL70
ZAD79
07 Feb 2021
SPL76
ZAD89
06 Feb 2021
SPL82
ZAD62
27 Oct 2019
SPL67
ZAD80
12 Nov 2018
SPL75
ZAD76
18 Mar 2018
SPL88
ZAD120
16 Feb 2017
SPL64
ZAD80
12 Feb 2017
SPL91
ZAD94
12 Apr 2016
SPL78
ZAD90
09 Apr 2013
SPL61
ZAD75
15 Dec 2012
SPL75
ZAD78
24 Mar 2012
SPL79
ZAD73
25 Nov 2011
SPL86
ZAD74
14 May 2011
SPL74
ZAD85
29 Apr 2009
SPL76
ZAD82
23 Dec 2008
SPL83
ZAD91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
92-105
92
105
-13
78avg 78
A02/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
86avg 78
H07/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
93-55
93
55
+38
93avg 78
A12/02
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
107-112 OT
107
112
-5
93avg 78
H03/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
77-106
77
106
-29
65avg 78
A06/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
94-99
94
99
-5
91avg 78
H09/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
99-104
99
104
-5
97avg 78
A13/03
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
55avg 78
A15/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 78
H18/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
96-74
96
74
+22
99avg 78
H22/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
28-26
23-21
20-27
22-15
18-24
23-25
25-23
26-14
18-17
30-14
19-10
31-20
16-26
20-22
27-26
21-28
23-38
19-26
14-14
22-25
29-22
15-25
28-27
29-27
20-23
20-25
30-29
22-31
17-22
16-27
16-12
24-20
24-19
21-14
7-32
25-17
24-15
21-19
26-23
181.2Avg total
89.3Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.692.8176.3-9.224%
Season at home (11)88.288.4176.5-0.245%
Season away (10)78.597.6176.1-19.10%
Last 10 (10)89.391.9181.2-2.630%
Last 5 (5)87.290.8178.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)83.695.4179.1-11.814%
vs Similar (3)85.389.0174.3-3.733%
vs Weaker (13)99.183.4182.5+15.777%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
79-67
79
67
+12
81avg 80
A08/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
81-63
81
63
+18
80avg 80
H12/02
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
84-58
84
58
+26
88avg 80
H15/02
Premijer liga
Split
#18
W
106-77
106
77
+29
99avg 80
H06/03
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
77-54
77
54
+23
83avg 80
A09/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
56avg 80
H13/03
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
77avg 80
A14/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 80
H18/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
89avg 80
A20/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 80
H23/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
22-19
17-17
12-16
28-9
13-18
22-10
18-26
25-16
22-13
21-17
16-12
28-21
38-23
26-19
14-14
25-19
18-18
14-9
20-8
16-25
14-17
17-10
16-11
19-21
16-13
20-22
26-11
22-18
23-25
20-14
25-21
22-18
15-19
27-31
17-24
16-21
17-19
20-18
16-4
150.4Avg total
81.4Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.281.5162.8-0.340%
Season at home (12)80.278.0158.2+2.250%
Season away (8)82.886.9169.6-4.125%
Last 10 (10)81.469.0150.4+12.480%
Last 5 (5)77.474.2151.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
vs Similar (6)75.772.0147.7+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.270.2156.5+16.086%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
SplitZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A02/02
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A12/02
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
44-66
44
66
-22
A06/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A13/03
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H18/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H22/03
ABA League
92.0Avg total
46.0Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.544.490.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.140.685.8+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)47.847.795.4+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)46.046.092.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.291.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)44.147.791.8-3.636%-
vs Similar (3)38.340.779.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker (13)51.141.792.8+9.492%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A08/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H12/02
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H15/02
Premijer liga
Split
#18
W
66-44
66
44
+22
H06/03
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/03
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A14/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/03
ABA League
79.4Avg total
42.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.379.6+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.336.378.7+6.067%-
Last 30 away (12)42.138.880.9+3.258%-
Last 10 (10)42.736.779.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.275.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.740.777.3-4.033%-
vs Similar (6)37.838.376.2-0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.336.680.9+7.776%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.2
54.2%
54.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.1
33.4%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.117.7
80.1%
75.3%17.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.4
54.9%
54.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.5
39.3%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.112.7
74.3%
75.3%12.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WLLLLLLWWL
Zadar
WLWWLWWWWW
#18
League position
#9
-3.6
Net rating
+15.3
100.7
Offensive rating
100.0
104.3
Defensive rating
84.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
56.7%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
12.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.4%
3-point %
39.3%
64.4%
Assist %
69.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 100.0Defence104.3 · 84.7Shooting52.4% · 56.7%3-point %33.4% · 39.3%Ball care12.5% · 16.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Split   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Split wins
7
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26Zadar v Split106-77
30/01/26Zadar v Split82-67
16/11/25Split v Zadar88-82 OT
14/06/25Split v Zadar65-67 OT
11/06/25Split v Zadar74-73
08/06/25Zadar v Split79-65
05/06/25Zadar v Split65-46
04/05/25Zadar v Split87-65
02/05/25Zadar v Split81-80
12/02/25Split v Zadar71-70
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HMega Basket96-74
18/03/26HVienna Basket76-85
15/03/26ASpartak Subotica71-92
13/03/26AKvarner99-104
09/03/26HDinamo Zagreb94-99
06/03/26AZadar77-106
03/03/26HPerspektiva Ilirija107-112 OT
12/02/26AGKK Sibenka93-55
07/02/26HDubrava88-87
02/02/26AKK Krka Novo mesto92-105
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26HStudentski Centar69-62
20/03/26ADubrava81-92
18/03/26HKvarner90-78
14/03/26ACedevita Junior81-67
13/03/26HKK Krka Novo mesto66-72 OT
09/03/26AAlkar77-54
06/03/26HSplit106-77
15/02/26HCedevita Junior84-58
12/02/26HBorac Mozzart81-63
08/02/26ADubrovnik79-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW24%
HomeLWLLW45%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %24%45%0%
Points / game83.688.278.5
Allowed / game92.888.497.6
Point differential-9.2-0.2-19.1
Avg total176.3176.5176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %14%27%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW40%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game81.280.282.8
Allowed / game81.578.086.9
Point differential-0.3+2.2-4.1
Avg total162.8158.2169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %15%17%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai2018290%89.977.0+12.9
2 Partizan2018290%92.580.2+12.2
3 Crvena zvezda2015575%93.185.3+7.8
4 Buducnost2015575%88.580.9+7.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija2012860%88.382.8+5.5
6 Cluj-Napoca2012860%92.789.0+3.7
7 Spartak Subotica2112957%83.381.9+1.5
8 KK Bosna2091145%81.886.2-4.5
9 Igokea2091145%83.088.8-5.8
10 Mega Basket2191243%85.691.1-5.5
11 Zadar2081240%81.281.5-0.3
12 FMP Beograd2081240%85.087.2-2.2
13 Perspektiva Ilirija2181338%83.487.5-4.1
14 Vienna Basket2281436%84.788.9-4.2
15 KK Krka Novo mesto2171433%78.081.3-3.4
16 Borac Mozzart2271532%79.984.9-5.0
17 Studentski Centar2151624%77.882.6-4.8
18 Split2151624%83.692.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1811161459
Zadar1722221879
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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