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Split vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-73
24-19 21-21 18-20 11-13
Position#2
Record30-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game73.4
Split 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#1
Record36-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game65.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Final· Dvorana KK Split
Other2024-25
Meetings · Split v Zadar
18 Oct 2026
SPL73
ZAD84
27 Mar 2026
SPL59
ZAD79
16 Nov 2025
SPL88
ZAD82
14 Jun 2025
SPL65
ZAD67
11 Jun 2025
SPL74
ZAD73
12 Feb 2025
SPL71
ZAD70
03 Jan 2025
SPL73
ZAD77
30 Oct 2024
SPL61
ZAD78
31 May 2024
SPL55
ZAD84
29 May 2024
SPL87
ZAD77
26 Jan 2024
SPL67
ZAD65
17 Nov 2023
SPL75
ZAD82
01 Jun 2023
SPL84
ZAD94
30 May 2023
SPL76
ZAD85
15 Apr 2023
SPL85
ZAD76
03 Feb 2023
SPL89
ZAD85
21 Oct 2022
SPL83
ZAD89
27 May 2022
SPL77
ZAD84
20 May 2022
SPL74
ZAD64
08 Apr 2022
SPL80
ZAD92
29 Mar 2022
SPL77
ZAD78
14 Mar 2022
SPL81
ZAD95
02 Jun 2021
SPL81
ZAD68
31 May 2021
SPL83
ZAD75
13 Feb 2021
SPL70
ZAD79
07 Feb 2021
SPL76
ZAD89
06 Feb 2021
SPL82
ZAD62
27 Oct 2019
SPL67
ZAD80
12 Nov 2018
SPL75
ZAD76
18 Mar 2018
SPL88
ZAD120
16 Feb 2017
SPL64
ZAD80
12 Feb 2017
SPL91
ZAD94
12 Apr 2016
SPL78
ZAD90
09 Apr 2013
SPL61
ZAD75
15 Dec 2012
SPL75
ZAD78
24 Mar 2012
SPL79
ZAD73
25 Nov 2011
SPL86
ZAD74
14 May 2011
SPL74
ZAD85
29 Apr 2009
SPL76
ZAD82
23 Dec 2008
SPL83
ZAD91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 77
A04/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
118-49
118
49
+69
118avg 77
H10/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 77
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
68avg 77
A18/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 77
H21/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
80avg 77
H25/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
88-55
88
55
+33
82avg 77
A28/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
89-69
89
69
+20
94avg 77
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
46-65
46
65
-19
28avg 77
A05/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
53avg 77
A08/06
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-26
18-29
23-17
14-15
31-10
24-15
32-13
31-11
22-15
27-22
22-16
26-18
14-19
18-26
22-21
18-17
28-30
28-14
19-13
21-24
17-29
26-14
18-17
21-26
26-16
18-13
19-13
25-13
23-10
28-22
13-17
25-20
8-14
11-19
12-17
15-15
17-23
17-23
15-15
16-18
154.3Avg total
81.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)86.373.4159.7+12.873%
Season at home (21)91.872.1164.0+19.781%
Season away (20)80.574.8155.2+5.765%
Last 10 (10)81.872.5154.3+9.350%
Last 5 (5)74.070.8144.8+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.282.8159.0-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.679.9148.4-11.314%
vs Weaker (19)90.174.1164.2+15.984%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
71-87
71
87
-16
59avg 75
A28/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
83avg 75
H02/05
ABA League
Split
#2
W
87-65
87
65
+22
82avg 75
H04/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 75
H09/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
81-55
81
55
+26
79avg 75
H14/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
87-65
87
65
+22
87avg 75
A17/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
79avg 75
H23/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 75
A26/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
65-46
65
46
+19
60avg 75
H05/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
79-65
79
65
+14
77avg 75
H08/06
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
18-26
17-22
13-16
16-16
17-19
23-17
25-28
26-10
29-18
17-23
15-14
28-15
21-11
17-13
25-22
21-14
18-24
20-11
22-6
24-17
20-10
20-13
23-25
25-17
19-28
23-11
14-20
17-17
21-16
20-15
22-22
14-8
19-11
17-12
15-15
23-17
23-17
15-15
18-16
147.3Avg total
80.3Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)80.965.0145.9+15.992%
Season at home (21)83.964.1148.0+19.8100%
Season away (18)77.466.1143.4+11.383%
Last 10 (10)80.367.0147.3+13.390%
Last 5 (5)78.464.4142.8+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.093.0166.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.469.9144.3+4.643%
vs Weaker (20)84.868.9153.7+15.990%
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
SplitZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A04/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H10/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A18/05
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H25/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A28/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H31/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A05/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/06
Premijer liga
80.0Avg total
41.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.882.3+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.838.285.0+8.673%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.579.5-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.980.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.240.875.0-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.942.075.9-8.129%-
vs Weaker (19)47.338.886.2+8.574%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A28/04
ABA League
Split
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H02/05
ABA League
Split
#2
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H04/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H09/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H14/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A17/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A26/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H05/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/06
Premijer liga
75.6Avg total
42.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.877.4+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.032.375.3+10.779%-
Last 30 away (16)40.438.979.3+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)42.233.475.6+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.031.672.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.045.380.3-10.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.334.777.0+7.671%-
vs Weaker (20)42.434.877.2+7.675%-
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.9
50.1%
53.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.4
40.9%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.813.8
77.5%
73.3%13.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.2
58.7%
53.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.3
29.0%
34.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.615.4
71.3%
73.3%15.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LLWWLWLWWL
Zadar
WWWWWWWWWL
#2
League position
#1
+13.0
Net rating
+19.7
115.7
Offensive rating
111.3
102.6
Defensive rating
91.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
40.9%
3-point %
29.0%
65.7%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 111.3Defence102.6 · 91.6Shooting54.8% · 52.4%3-point %40.9% · 29.0%Ball care16.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds30.8% · 36.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Split   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Split wins
9
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
08/06/25Zadar v Split79-65
05/06/25Zadar v Split65-46
04/05/25Zadar v Split87-65
02/05/25Zadar v Split81-80
12/02/25Split v Zadar71-70
16/01/25Zadar v Split59-54
03/01/25Split v Zadar73-77
30/10/24Split v Zadar61-78
02/06/24Zadar v Split93-66
31/05/24Split v Zadar55-84
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/25AZadar65-79
05/06/25AZadar46-65
31/05/25HDinamo Zagreb89-69
28/05/25ADinamo Zagreb88-55
25/05/25HDinamo Zagreb82-86
21/05/25HAlkar96-81
18/05/25AAlkar72-83
15/05/25HAlkar97-71
10/05/25HOsijek118-49
04/05/25AZadar65-87
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/25HSplit79-65
05/06/25HSplit65-46
26/05/25ACibona80-70
23/05/25HCibona81-76
17/05/25AZabok87-65
14/05/25HZabok81-55
09/05/25HDubrovnik91-61
04/05/25HSplit87-65
02/05/25HSplit81-80
28/04/25ASpartak Subotica71-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL73%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayLLWLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %73%81%65%
Points / game86.391.880.5
Allowed / game73.472.174.8
Point differential+12.8+19.7+5.7
Avg total159.7164.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392118
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game80.983.977.4
Allowed / game65.064.166.1
Point differential+15.9+19.8+11.3
Avg total145.9148.0143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%90%61%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3936392%80.965.0+15.9
2 Split41301173%86.373.4+12.8
3 Cedevita Junior35221363%86.979.0+7.9
4 Kvarner36191753%81.581.6-0.1
5 Cibona38201853%85.379.9+5.5
6 Dinamo Zagreb38191950%84.184.2-0.1
7 Alkar36162044%72.277.2-5.1
8 Zabok35152043%80.786.0-5.3
9 Dubrava33112233%79.586.8-7.3
10 GKK Sibenka33112233%74.982.9-8.0
11 Dubrovnik35112431%79.083.7-4.8
12 Osijek3372621%72.890.0-17.2
13 Mladost2020%89.599.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2421181174
Zadar1921201373
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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