Sporting CP vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2021

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 97-68

22-16 26-16 25-24 24-12

Position#1

Record21-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game68.6

Sporting CP 🏆

Esgueira

Position#12

Record6-17

FormWLLLL

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game81.5

LPBRound 24

Other2020-21

Meetings · Sporting CP v Esgueira

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Esgueira winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CP Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Szolnoki Olaj

#15

67-78

-11

A29/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Imortal

79-67

+12

H06/02

Taca da Liga

FC Porto

68-72

-4

H07/02

Taca da Liga

Imortal

98-102

102

-4

A09/02

LPB

Academica

82-47

+35

H13/02

LPB

Vitoria

82-77

A27/02

LPB

FC Porto

78-81 OT

-3

A07/03

LPB

Barreirense

#14

101-50

101

+51

H10/03

LPB

Lusitania

89-84

H13/03

LPB

Benfica

87-75

+12

A19/03

LPB

23-19

16-23

18-20

10-16

20-11

14-18

17-22

28-16

23-9

16-20

13-20

16-23

26-24

22-29

17-29

33-20

29-10

21-9

15-20

17-8

20-15

17-17

23-19

22-26

17-18

24-17

9-22

21-14

34-5

22-18

24-17

21-10

24-24

21-19

28-24

16-17

21-14

16-20

21-21

29-20

156.4Avg total

83.1Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	88.7	68.6	157.2	+20.1	91%
Season at home (12)	90.7	64.7	155.3	+26.0	100%
Season away (11)	86.5	72.8	159.3	+13.6	82%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	73.3	156.4	+9.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	73.4	160.8	+14.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	82.0	85.5	167.5	-3.5	0%
vs Similar (4)	69.0	72.0	141.0	-3.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	90.2	69.0	159.2	+21.3	95%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

97-91 OT

A17/01

LPB

Illiabum

#13

94-79

+15

H23/01

Taca de Portugal

Academica

54-68

-14

A31/01

LPB

Vitoria

97-88 OT

H13/02

LPB

Imortal

54-76

-22

H20/02

LPB

Barreirense

#14

89-85

A27/02

LPB

FC Porto

72-73

-1

H05/03

LPB

Lusitania

75-79

-4

A07/03

LPB

Benfica

77-92

-15

H13/03

LPB

Ovarense

#10

73-85

-12

H18/03

LPB

25-32

19-23

20-14

22-17

22-25

30-18

24-19

18-17

17-19

12-19

13-12

12-18

20-17

14-23

10-17

27-14

15-20

15-18

9-24

15-14

26-15

18-25

21-29

24-16

24-20

11-24

21-12

16-17

18-20

24-22

16-20

17-17

14-23

17-18

24-26

22-25

20-22

16-16

21-23

16-24

159.8Avg total

78.2Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	75.9	81.5	157.3	-5.6	26%
Season at home (12)	74.7	78.2	152.9	-3.6	25%
Season away (11)	77.2	85.0	162.2	-7.8	27%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	81.6	159.8	-3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	82.8	160.0	-5.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	69.7	83.4	153.1	-13.8	0%
vs Similar (9)	79.0	79.1	158.1	-0.1	44%
vs Weaker (7)	87.6	79.1	166.7	+8.4	57%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sporting CPEsgueira

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	15.7	39.6	+8.1	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.9	13.8	38.6	+11.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	18.0	40.7	+4.7	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	14.9	38.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.2	38.4	+8.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	14.2	33.8	+5.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	25.0	15.4	40.4	+9.6	91%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.8	23.9	41.7	-6.2	8%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	28.6	17.4	46.0	+11.1	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.4	38.1	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.2	39.9	+3.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.1	18.3	39.5	+2.8	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.1	40.2	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.2	22.0	39.2	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.4	21.3	38.8	-3.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.1	29%	-

Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Szolnoki Olaj

#15

39-42

-3

A29/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Imortal

34-29

H06/02

Taca da Liga

FC Porto

39-29

+10

H07/02

Taca da Liga

Imortal

48-53

-5

A09/02

LPB

Academica

50-19

+31

H13/02

LPB

Vitoria

37-32

A27/02

LPB

FC Porto

41-35

A07/03

LPB

Barreirense

#14

56-23

+33

H10/03

LPB

Lusitania

45-43

H13/03

LPB

Benfica

37-34

A19/03

LPB

76.5Avg total

42.6Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	34.1	78.5	+10.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.5	32.2	76.7	+12.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.4	36.2	80.6	+8.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	33.9	76.5	+8.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	33.4	76.6	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	43.5	84.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.5	31.2	67.8	+5.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.1	33.7	79.9	+12.4	82%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

44-55

-11

A17/01

LPB

Illiabum

#13

52-43

H23/01

Taca de Portugal

Academica

29-38

-9

A31/01

LPB

Vitoria

34-40

-6

H13/02

LPB

Imortal

30-38

-8

H20/02

LPB

Barreirense

#14

44-40

A27/02

LPB

FC Porto

35-44

-9

H05/03

LPB

Lusitania

42-42

A07/03

LPB

Benfica

31-41

-10

H13/03

LPB

Ovarense

#10

36-38

-2

H18/03

LPB

79.6Avg total

37.7Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	42.3	81.8	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	40.2	80.0	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	44.7	83.9	-5.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	41.9	79.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	41.0	78.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	34.9	45.9	80.8	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.1	41.8	78.9	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	46.7	37.7	84.4	+9.0	86%	-

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.5	38.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	18.1	40.1	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.2	20.2	35.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.3	17.6	39.0	+3.7	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	16.4	34.1	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.9	18.7	35.6	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	17.7	36.2	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.4	19.4	39.9	+1.0	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.0	37.9	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.0	38.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.5	18.0	33.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.3	17.4	39.7	+4.9	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.8	18.8	36.7	-1.0	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	36.2	77.8	+5.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	35.1	78.0	+7.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	37.5	77.5	+2.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.0	80.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	30.8	38.2	69.0	-7.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	43.6	35.0	78.6	+8.5	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	36.7	74.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	34.4	70.8	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.0	39.3	78.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	37.5	74.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	41.8	81.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	34.8	37.5	72.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.8	34.9	72.7	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.1	40.1	80.3	+0.0	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 72.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	15.5	41.9%	52.5%	31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.5	36.5%	32.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	21.0	12.5	59.5%	70.5%	12.5

They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.5	53.2%	52.5%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	6.5	25.5%	32.3%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	13.5	62.8%	70.5%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.5	53.2%	52.5%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	6.5	25.5%	32.3%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	13.5	62.8%	70.5%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sporting CP wins

Esgueira wins

Date	Game	Score
19/12/20	Esgueira v Sporting CP	70-83
16/02/20	Sporting CP v Esgueira	86-68
16/11/19	Esgueira v Sporting CP	78-90

Sporting CPlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/03/21	A	Benfica	87-75
13/03/21	H	Lusitania	89-84
10/03/21	H	Barreirense	101-50
07/03/21	A	FC Porto	78-81 OT
27/02/21	A	Vitoria	82-77
13/02/21	H	Academica	82-47
09/02/21	A	Imortal	98-102
07/02/21	H	FC Porto	68-72
06/02/21	H	Imortal	79-67
29/01/21	A	Szolnoki Olaj	67-78

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/21	H	Ovarense	73-85
13/03/21	H	Benfica	77-92
07/03/21	A	Lusitania	75-79
05/03/21	H	FC Porto	72-73
27/02/21	A	Barreirense	89-85
20/02/21	H	Imortal	54-76
13/02/21	H	Vitoria	97-88 OT
31/01/21	A	Academica	54-68
23/01/21	H	Illiabum	94-79
17/01/21	A	CAB Madeira	97-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	91%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWLW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	91%	100%	82%
Points / game	88.7	90.7	86.5
Allowed / game	68.6	64.7	72.8
Point differential	+20.1	+26.0	+13.6
Avg total	157.2	155.3	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	67%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	9%	8%	9%

Esgueira

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	26%
Home	WLLLL	25%
Away	LWLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	26%	25%	27%
Points / game	75.9	74.7	77.2
Allowed / game	81.5	78.2	85.0
Point differential	-5.6	-3.6	-7.8
Avg total	157.3	152.9	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	17%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	12% (8)	0% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	13%	8%	18%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	23	21	2	91%	88.7	68.6	+20.1
2	FC Porto	22	19	3	86%	80.6	67.0	+13.6
3	Benfica	23	18	5	78%	90.0	75.6	+14.5
4	Imortal	23	17	6	74%	84.0	76.7	+7.3
5	Oliveirense	23	16	7	70%	84.4	75.4	+9.0
6	Lusitania	22	14	8	64%	82.4	79.7	+2.7
7	Vitoria	23	10	13	43%	78.3	81.3	-3.1
8	CAB Madeira	23	10	13	43%	82.1	85.8	-3.7
9	Ovarense	23	8	15	35%	78.0	83.2	-5.2
10	Academica	23	8	15	35%	74.6	81.6	-7.0
11	Galitos	23	8	15	35%	73.7	83.1	-9.3
12	Esgueira	23	6	17	26%	75.9	81.5	-5.6
13	Barreirense	21	2	19	10%	71.6	90.9	-19.3
14	Maia	23	2	21	9%	71.9	86.9	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sporting CP	22	26	25	24	97
Esgueira	16	16	24	12	68

← all games of the day

Sporting CP vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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