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Benfica vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-72
19-21 30-21 13-19 19-11
Position#1
Record8-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game71.0
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Esgueira
Portugal
Position#8
Record4-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game94.2
PortugalLPBRound 10· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2025-26
Meetings · Benfica v Esgueira
07 Nov 2026
BEN112
ESGU78
03 Jan 2026
BEN81
ESGU72
07 Mar 2025
BEN100
ESGU65
18 Dec 2024
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
14 Feb 2024
BEN77
ESGU53
07 Oct 2023
BEN110
ESGU70
30 Nov 2022
BEN95
ESGU82
09 Dec 2020
BEN78
ESGU73
11 Apr 2020
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
05 Jan 2019
BEN112
ESGU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#14
L
69-89
69
89
-20
63avg 85
A21/10
Champions League
Vitoria
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
77avg 85
A01/11
LPB
Le Mans
#14
W
93-90
93
90
+3
93avg 85
H05/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#9
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 85
A09/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
109-80
109
80
+29
103avg 85
H15/11
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
69-99
69
99
-30
59avg 85
A19/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#4
W
96-70
96
70
+26
85avg 85
A06/12
LPB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
63-87
63
87
-24
55avg 85
A16/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
91-65
91
65
+26
85avg 85
H21/12
Super Cup
Braga
#7
W
87-63
87
63
+24
95avg 85
A28/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
19-24
8-17
18-27
18-27
22-12
23-21
24-16
26-19
21-23
23-22
23-26
33-21
20-24
27-18
21-17
32-19
36-13
25-22
16-26
18-22
15-21
16-30
20-26
22-16
24-23
29-11
21-20
18-18
17-20
13-22
15-27
31-18
15-18
22-12
23-17
17-10
26-18
30-14
14-21
166.4Avg total
86.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)96.271.0167.2+25.2100%
Season at home (3)98.771.0169.7+27.7100%
Season away (5)94.871.0165.8+23.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.579.9166.4+6.670%
Last 5 (5)81.276.8158.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.592.2163.7-20.717%
vs Similar (1)95.0104.0199.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.676.6170.2+17.095%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
84-85
84
85
-1
67avg 71
H26/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
56avg 71
A04/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
102-92
102
92
+10
102avg 71
H11/10
LPB
Braga
#7
W
103-79
103
79
+24
99avg 71
A18/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
81-101
81
101
-20
70avg 71
H01/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
99avg 71
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
77-100
77
100
-23
61avg 71
A15/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
95-87
95
87
+8
91avg 71
H06/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
75avg 71
A20/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
80avg 71
H28/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
26-26
20-19
20-13
19-21
20-24
25-18
11-18
27-25
26-22
17-24
32-21
19-24
23-20
35-19
26-16
18-26
25-27
18-21
20-27
19-27
20-23
30-22
24-21
24-31
22-26
15-18
16-25
22-25
23-25
27-17
23-20
22-25
20-20
24-25
18-32
28-23
26-29
21-30
16-21
183.2Avg total
89.9Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.694.2184.8-3.744%
Season at home (5)95.297.2192.4-2.060%
Season away (4)84.890.5175.2-5.825%
Last 10 (10)89.993.3183.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)90.899.0189.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.093.6172.6-14.617%
vs Similar (15)85.687.5173.1-1.947%
vs Weaker (2)104.597.5202.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
BenficaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A21/10
Champions League
Vitoria
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A01/11
LPB
Le Mans
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H05/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A09/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H15/11
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A06/12
LPB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/12
Super Cup
Braga
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A28/12
LPB
84.1Avg total
45.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.183.1+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.940.886.8+5.175%-
Last 30 away (14)41.737.178.9+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)45.438.784.1+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.877.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.246.883.0-10.717%-
vs Similar (1)40.051.091.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.236.682.8+9.686%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H26/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A04/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/10
LPB
Braga
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H01/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A15/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H06/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A20/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H28/12
LPB
94.3Avg total
44.7Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.886.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.644.288.8+0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.243.484.6-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.749.694.3-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)45.250.896.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.843.685.3-1.842%-
vs Similar (15)44.142.786.8+1.353%-
vs Weaker (2)46.048.594.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.6
50.3%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.2
34.2%
32.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws28.421.3
75.0%
70.4%21.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.7
53.6%
52.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.8
32.6%
32.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws27.419.5
71.2%
70.4%19.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWLWLWWWWL
Esgueira
LLWLWLWWLL
#1
League position
#8
+7.5
Net rating
-4.3
109.4
Offensive rating
111.0
101.9
Defensive rating
115.3
50.6%
Effective FG%
51.7%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
19.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.42
34.2%
3-point %
32.6%
65.8%
Assist %
57.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 111.0Defence101.9 · 115.3Shooting50.6% · 51.7%3-point %34.2% · 32.6%Ball care19.8% · 14.7%Off. rebounds35.6% · 27.5%Free throws0.45 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Benfica   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Benfica wins
0
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25Benfica v Esgueira100-65
09/11/24Esgueira v Benfica85-93
14/02/24Benfica v Esgueira77-53
03/02/24Esgueira v Benfica64-100
07/10/23Benfica v Esgueira110-70
18/02/23Esgueira v Benfica61-93
30/11/22Benfica v Esgueira95-82
13/03/21Esgueira v Benfica77-92
09/12/20Benfica v Esgueira78-73
21/12/19Esgueira v Benfica76-84
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25ABraga87-63
21/12/25HFC Porto91-65
16/12/25AGran Canaria63-87
06/12/25AOvarense96-70
19/11/25ASpartak Subotica69-99
15/11/25HFC Porto109-80
09/11/25ACA Queluz101-80
05/11/25HLe Mans93-90
01/11/25AVitoria87-76
21/10/25ALe Mans69-89
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HVitoria91-103
20/12/25AImortal84-102
06/12/25HSporting CP95-87
15/11/25AOliveirense77-100
09/11/25HVasco Da Gama107-103 OT
01/11/25HCA Queluz81-101
18/10/25ABraga103-79
11/10/25HGalitos Barreiro102-92
04/10/25AOvarense75-81
26/04/25HOvarense84-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.298.794.8
Allowed / game71.071.071.0
Point differential+25.2+27.7+23.8
Avg total167.2169.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game90.695.284.8
Allowed / game94.297.290.5
Point differential-3.7-2.0-5.8
Avg total184.8192.4175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica880100%96.271.0+25.2
2 Sporting CP97278%88.978.8+10.1
3 Ovarense86275%79.479.5-0.1
4 FC Porto85362%93.590.0+3.5
5 Oliveirense95456%85.480.8+4.7
6 Imortal94544%86.883.4+3.3
7 CA Queluz94544%83.483.1+0.3
8 Esgueira94544%90.694.2-3.7
9 Braga94544%75.781.8-6.1
10 Vitoria93633%82.388.4-6.1
11 Galitos Barreiro81712%86.4103.8-17.4
12 Vasco Da Gama91811%81.093.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica1930131981
Esgueira2121191172
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