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Esgueira vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 93-88
21-25 17-24 26-25 29-14
Position#8
Record6-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#5
Record9-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.7
PortugalLPBRound 17· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2025-26
Meetings · Esgueira v Oliveirense
30 Jan 2027
ESGU v OLIV
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
ESGU93
OLIV88
15 Mar 2025
ESGU78
OLIV66
17 Dec 2024
ESGU88
OLIV96
27 Jan 2024
ESGU69
OLIV78
30 Sep 2023
ESGU62
OLIV74
17 Dec 2022
ESGU77
OLIV73
03 Apr 2021
ESGU68
OLIV82
01 Nov 2019
ESGU69
OLIV78
08 Mar 2019
ESGU74
OLIV86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
95-87
95
87
+8
91avg 70
H06/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
75avg 70
A20/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
80avg 70
H28/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 70
A03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
76-67
76
67
+9
63avg 70
H10/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 70
H24/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
75-88
75
88
-13
61avg 70
A31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
79avg 70
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
76-97
76
97
-21
58avg 70
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
69avg 70
A14/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
23-25
27-17
23-20
22-25
20-20
24-25
18-32
28-23
26-29
21-30
16-21
21-19
21-30
19-13
11-19
13-19
15-18
23-22
25-8
23-17
29-24
14-15
10-23
18-24
16-22
24-18
17-24
20-17
17-20
21-26
34-21
18-31
19-19
19-26
20-21
20-23
22-19
21-35
21-21
170.7Avg total
82.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.490.1175.5-4.838%
Season at home (8)88.091.1179.1-3.150%
Season away (8)82.889.1171.9-6.425%
Last 10 (10)82.188.6170.7-6.530%
Last 5 (5)80.689.2169.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.089.2166.2-12.223%
vs Similar (12)85.087.8172.8-2.842%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 77
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
84avg 77
H20/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 77
H28/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
97-90
97
90
+7
88avg 77
A03/01
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
73avg 77
H10/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 77
H24/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
62-85
62
85
-23
58avg 77
A01/02
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 77
H07/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
90-76
90
76
+14
77avg 77
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 77
H14/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
20-23
18-22
24-24
25-19
24-17
16-19
23-21
25-27
16-17
17-18
18-24
33-17
21-21
21-28
22-24
17-19
24-17
24-21
19-19
18-22
25-20
30-22
19-31
15-27
21-17
8-18
18-23
32-19
20-28
11-28
19-22
11-24
26-20
31-16
22-16
33-22
18-14
18-20
18-21
168.3Avg total
84.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.282.7167.9+2.556%
Season at home (9)89.683.3172.9+6.267%
Season away (7)79.681.9161.4-2.343%
Last 10 (10)84.583.8168.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)82.686.0168.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.089.6171.6-7.620%
vs Similar (8)81.982.8164.6-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.476.1159.5+7.471%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
EsgueiraOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H06/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A20/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H28/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H10/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H24/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/03
LPB
86.2Avg total
41.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.086.3-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.244.587.8-1.347%-
Last 30 away (13)41.043.384.3-2.323%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.986.2-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.243.684.8-2.438%-
vs Similar (12)44.042.886.8+1.242%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A03/01
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H24/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A01/02
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H07/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H14/03
LPB
85.0Avg total
44.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.381.0+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.939.584.4+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)37.539.176.6-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.185.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.686.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.441.483.8+1.040%-
vs Similar (8)43.941.084.9+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.537.978.4+2.659%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.6
51.9%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.9
31.0%
32.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.515.6
63.7%
70.4%15.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.6
53.4%
52.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.7
32.7%
32.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.016.8
73.0%
70.4%16.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLWLLWLLLW
Oliveirense
WWLLLWWLWW
#8
League position
#5
-7.7
Net rating
+0.8
94.0
Offensive rating
98.3
101.7
Defensive rating
97.5
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.0%
3-point %
32.7%
56.5%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 98.3Defence101.7 · 97.5Shooting49.5% · 51.6%3-point %31.0% · 32.7%Ball care15.7% · 16.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 24.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Esgueira   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Esgueira wins
8
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Oliveirense v Esgueira100-77
15/03/25Esgueira v Oliveirense78-66
17/12/24Esgueira v Oliveirense88-96 OT
16/11/24Oliveirense v Esgueira93-77
27/01/24Esgueira v Oliveirense69-78
20/01/24Oliveirense v Esgueira91-73
30/09/23Esgueira v Oliveirense62-74
17/12/22Esgueira v Oliveirense77-73
01/10/22Oliveirense v Esgueira80-71
03/04/21Esgueira v Oliveirense68-82
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AVasco Da Gama84-98
21/02/26HBraga76-97
14/02/26ACA Queluz92-84
31/01/26AGalitos Barreiro75-88
24/01/26HOvarense76-79
10/01/26HFC Porto76-67
03/01/26ABenfica72-81
28/12/25HVitoria91-103
20/12/25AImortal84-102
06/12/25HSporting CP95-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HBraga87-77
14/02/26AGalitos Barreiro90-76
07/02/26HOvarense82-97
01/02/26AFC Porto62-85
24/01/26HBenfica92-95
10/01/26HVitoria84-76
03/01/26AImortal97-90
28/12/25HSporting CP76-86
20/12/25HCA Queluz88-76
06/12/25AVasco Da Gama87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game85.488.082.8
Allowed / game90.191.189.1
Point differential-4.8-3.1-6.4
Avg total175.5179.1171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%67%43%
Points / game85.289.679.6
Allowed / game82.783.381.9
Point differential+2.5+6.2-2.3
Avg total167.9172.9161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1715288%96.676.7+19.9
2 Sporting CP1714382%87.977.5+10.5
3 FC Porto1712571%91.682.8+8.8
4 Ovarense1712571%83.679.3+4.3
5 Oliveirense169756%85.282.7+2.5
6 Braga1771041%80.182.2-2.1
7 Esgueira1661038%85.490.1-4.8
8 Imortal1761135%86.386.6-0.4
9 Vitoria1761135%82.290.6-8.5
10 CA Queluz1751229%83.488.8-5.4
11 Vasco Da Gama1751229%83.296.7-13.5
12 Galitos Barreiro1741324%82.493.9-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira2117262993
Oliveirense2524251488
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