Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 107-74

31-18 26-18 24-19 26-19

Position#1

Record25-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game92.7

Allowed / game76.6

Benfica 🏆

Lusitania

Position#10

Record12-19

FormLLLWL

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game83.9

LPB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Benfica v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

99-75

+24

H11/03

LPB

Oliveirense

68-70

-2

A18/03

LPB

Ovarense

91-75

+16

H22/03

LPB

Lusitania

#10

91-75

+16

A26/03

LPB

Sporting CP

99-86

+13

H01/04

LPB

FC Porto

89-92

-3

A08/04

LPB

Oliveirense

98-81

+17

H15/04

LPB

Ovarense

115-66

115

+49

A22/04

LPB

Sporting CP

96-80

+16

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

Imortal

75-74

A30/04

Taca de Portugal

27-16

33-24

14-22

25-13

16-16

21-22

15-16

16-16

25-18

23-15

23-24

20-18

31-9

17-26

25-15

18-25

21-24

25-19

23-17

30-26

38-22

20-22

19-27

12-21

26-17

28-15

24-21

20-28

28-10

32-15

29-18

26-23

27-19

18-23

24-16

27-22

18-27

25-8

21-21

11-18

169.5Avg total

92.1Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	92.7	76.6	169.3	+16.1	81%
Season at home (15)	93.1	76.3	169.4	+16.7	87%
Season away (16)	92.4	76.9	169.2	+15.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	92.1	77.4	169.5	+14.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	94.6	78.6	173.2	+16.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	91.0	78.0	169.0	+13.0	100%
vs Similar (4)	70.5	81.2	151.8	-10.8	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	92.1	77.4	169.5	+14.8	73%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

69-73

-4

A05/03

LPB

Sporting CP

56-89

-33

H12/03

LPB

Ovarense

66-72

-6

H18/03

LPB

FC Porto

72-94

-22

A22/03

LPB

Benfica

75-91

-16

H26/03

LPB

Oliveirense

71-72

-1

H02/04

LPB

Sporting CP

59-98

-39

A08/04

LPB

Ovarense

67-72

-5

A15/04

LPB

FC Porto

97-92

H22/04

LPB

Imortal

77-82

-5

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

13-10

13-15

25-29

18-19

17-24

11-19

14-19

14-27

18-25

20-14

12-13

16-20

17-32

18-22

17-22

20-18

9-31

26-17

15-25

25-18

11-26

20-17

20-19

20-10

19-15

19-28

11-25

10-30

18-14

9-16

21-24

19-18

32-18

16-26

24-21

25-27

17-14

16-25

26-21

18-22

154.4Avg total

70.9Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	77.8	83.9	161.7	-6.1	39%
Season at home (16)	79.4	80.4	159.9	-1.0	56%
Season away (15)	76.1	87.7	163.7	-11.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	70.9	83.5	154.4	-12.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	83.2	157.4	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	77.0	85.5	162.5	-8.5	30%
vs Similar (7)	79.7	78.6	158.3	+1.1	43%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	81.0	167.5	+5.5	100%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	18.8	43.3	+5.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.4	17.9	44.3	+8.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	17.8	43.5	+7.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	19.0	46.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	25.9	18.3	44.2	+7.6	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.3	41.9	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.9	38.0	-3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.2	23.1	42.4	-3.9	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.9	21.9	38.7	-5.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	18.5	45.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	18.9	43.1	+5.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	16.6	41.2	+8.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.9	38.3	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.7	37.4	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.9	36.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.4	38.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	35%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	15.4	35.4	+4.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

60-40

+20

H11/03

LPB

Oliveirense

37-38

-1

A18/03

LPB

Ovarense

48-33

+15

H22/03

LPB

Lusitania

#10

48-35

+13

A26/03

LPB

Sporting CP

46-43

H01/04

LPB

FC Porto

58-44

+14

A08/04

LPB

Oliveirense

54-32

+22

H15/04

LPB

Ovarense

60-25

+35

A22/04

LPB

Sporting CP

45-42

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

Imortal

43-35

A30/04

Taca de Portugal

86.6Avg total

49.9Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	38.3	84.4	+7.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	39.8	85.2	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.7	36.9	83.5	+9.8	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.9	36.7	86.6	+13.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.0	35.6	87.6	+16.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	48.0	38.3	86.3	+9.7	82%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

26-25

A05/03

LPB

Sporting CP

28-43

-15

H12/03

LPB

Ovarense

38-39

-1

H18/03

LPB

FC Porto

35-54

-19

A22/03

LPB

Benfica

35-48

-13

H26/03

LPB

Oliveirense

31-43

-12

H02/04

LPB

Sporting CP

38-43

-5

A08/04

LPB

Ovarense

27-30

-3

A15/04

LPB

FC Porto

48-44

H22/04

LPB

Imortal

33-39

-6

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

74.7Avg total

33.9Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.6	79.7	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	40.7	81.4	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	40.5	78.0	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	40.8	74.7	-6.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	39.8	75.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	38.0	42.6	80.6	-4.6	35%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.9	37.3	74.1	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	36.5	83.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.3	40.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	18.4	40.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.7	41.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.8	22.8	37.5	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.8	18.5	41.3	+4.2	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.9	42.5	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.8	40.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.6	21.6	41.3	-2.0	45%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	14.0	36.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	20.3	43.3	+2.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	25.0	54.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.8	17.5	32.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.8	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	21.5	39.1	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.1	35%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	30.5	47.5	-13.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	39.6	82.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	40.6	84.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	38.6	80.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	40.7	82.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.0	85.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.0	44.0	93.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	29.5	40.2	69.8	-10.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.1	39.1	83.2	+5.0	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.4	81.7	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	41.5	81.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	43.4	81.6	-5.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	42.7	79.7	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	43.4	82.2	-4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	38.7	42.8	81.5	-4.0	35%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.9	41.3	84.1	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	44.5	84.0	-5.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 78.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	18.8	52.8%	52.4%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.8	35.5%	32.3%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	16.3	11.6	71.2%	70.4%	11.6

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
26/03/23	Lusitania v Benfica	75-91
17/12/22	Lusitania v Benfica	77-87
01/10/22	Benfica v Lusitania	111-85
26/03/22	Benfica v Lusitania	131-72
11/12/21	Lusitania v Benfica	58-76
05/03/21	Benfica v Lusitania	93-89
14/11/20	Lusitania v Benfica	69-82
14/12/19	Lusitania v Benfica	60-103
02/05/19	Benfica v Lusitania	113-76
04/04/19	Lusitania v Benfica	76-91

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/23	A	Imortal	75-74
29/04/23	A	Sporting CP	96-80
22/04/23	A	Ovarense	115-66
15/04/23	H	Oliveirense	98-81
08/04/23	A	FC Porto	89-92
01/04/23	H	Sporting CP	99-86
26/03/23	A	Lusitania	91-75
22/03/23	H	Ovarense	91-75
18/03/23	A	Oliveirense	68-70
11/03/23	H	FC Porto	99-75

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/23	A	Imortal	77-82
22/04/23	H	FC Porto	97-92
15/04/23	A	Ovarense	67-72
08/04/23	A	Sporting CP	59-98
02/04/23	H	Oliveirense	71-72
26/03/23	H	Benfica	75-91
22/03/23	A	FC Porto	72-94
18/03/23	H	Ovarense	66-72
12/03/23	H	Sporting CP	56-89
05/03/23	A	Oliveirense	69-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	81%
Home	WWWWW	87%
Away	LLWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	81%	87%	75%
Points / game	92.7	93.1	92.4
Allowed / game	76.6	76.3	76.9
Point differential	+16.1	+16.7	+15.5
Avg total	169.3	169.4	169.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	80%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	0% (2)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Lusitania

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	39%
Home	LLLLW	56%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	39%	56%	20%
Points / game	77.8	79.4	76.1
Allowed / game	83.9	80.4	87.7
Point differential	-6.1	-1.0	-11.6
Avg total	161.7	159.9	163.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	3%	6%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	62% (8)	25% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	31	25	6	81%	92.7	76.6	+16.1
2	FC Porto	31	25	6	81%	88.5	78.4	+10.1
3	Sporting CP	31	24	7	77%	90.8	78.5	+12.3
4	Oliveirense	31	17	14	55%	76.5	77.6	-1.2
5	CD Povoa	31	15	16	48%	74.7	74.9	-0.3
6	Vitoria	31	15	16	48%	88.6	89.4	-0.8
7	Ovarense	31	14	17	45%	76.5	81.1	-4.6
8	Esgueira	31	14	17	45%	77.1	82.1	-5.0
9	Imortal	31	12	19	39%	78.5	80.2	-1.6
10	Lusitania	31	12	19	39%	77.8	83.9	-6.1
11	CAB Madeira	31	11	20	35%	79.9	83.7	-3.8
12	Sangalhos	31	2	29	6%	71.3	86.3	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	31	26	24	26	107
Lusitania	18	18	19	19	74

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Benfica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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