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Vitoria vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 90-82
22-20 21-22 28-15 19-25
Position#7
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
vs
Lusitania
Portugal
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense (Guimarães)
Other2024
Meetings · Vitoria v Lusitania
28 Oct 2023
VITO75
LUSI70
14 Oct 2023
VITO90
LUSI82
22 Oct 2022
VITO82
LUSI89
03 Jan 2022
VITO75
LUSI73
24 Oct 2020
VITO71
LUSI81
12 Oct 2019
VITO68
LUSI69
08 Dec 2018
VITO96
LUSI100
20 Jan 2018
VITO83
LUSI86
19 Dec 2016
VITO77
LUSI68
25 Mar 2016
VITO89
LUSI84
21 Nov 2015
VITO69
LUSI75
21 Dec 2014
VITO88
LUSI68
14 May 2014
VITO84
LUSI75
04 May 2014
VITO67
LUSI85
03 May 2014
VITO91
LUSI76
02 Mar 2014
VITO95
LUSI93
13 Apr 2013
VITO88
LUSI70
01 Apr 2012
VITO84
LUSI77
08 Jan 2011
VITO87
LUSI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#11
W
106-82
106
82
+24
no box
H01/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
no box
H08/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
A15/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A22/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
101-99
101
99
+2
no box
H06/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
82-119
82
119
-37
no box
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
101-112
101
112
-11
no box
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
79-76
79
76
+3
66avg 62
H23/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-107
66
107
-41
46avg 62
A04/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
75avg 62
H08/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
32-20
17-26
31-16
17-16
30-24
24-26
25-26
19-25
23-24
26-17
23-18
25-19
22-18
15-19
24-25
22-13
27-27
28-38
24-21
25-29
17-24
25-31
15-35
32-33
15-35
28-23
26-21
28-16
20-18
13-24
18-18
17-28
22-25
10-25
17-29
18-20
23-28
27-21
21-23
184.1Avg total
89.7Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.794.4184.1-4.760%
Last 5 (5)83.4101.2184.6-17.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.4101.4185.8-17.012%
vs Similar (15)88.288.0176.2+0.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)93.583.3176.8+10.283%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
59-98
59
98
-39
no box
A08/04
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
A15/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
97-92
97
92
+5
no box
H22/04
LPB
Imortal
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A29/04
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
no box
A06/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
65-99
65
99
-34
no box
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
no box
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
-2avg 50
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
71avg 50
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 50
H07/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
19-28
11-25
10-30
18-14
9-16
21-24
19-18
32-18
16-26
24-21
25-27
17-14
16-25
26-21
18-22
18-31
18-26
19-24
19-26
22-19
14-29
11-24
18-27
18-27
27-15
21-28
7-23
17-20
16-14
15-27
18-19
17-28
14-23
24-23
25-20
22-18
21-18
12-28
27-21
164.2Avg total
74.0Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.090.2164.2-16.210%
Last 5 (5)73.290.2163.4-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.887.1162.9-11.322%
vs Similar (5)78.675.6154.2+3.060%
vs Weaker (1)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
VitoriaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#11
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H01/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/04
LPB
Imortal
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A15/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H06/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A10/05
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H23/09
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A04/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/10
LPB
92.2Avg total
46.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.788.1+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.544.191.6+3.469%-
Last 30 away (14)41.043.184.1-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)46.046.292.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.451.294.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.849.091.8-6.212%-
vs Similar (15)43.840.884.6+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)49.041.090.0+8.083%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/04
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A15/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/04
LPB
Imortal
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/04
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A06/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/10
LPB
79.4Avg total
37.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.180.2-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.581.6+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)36.841.878.6-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.479.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.279.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.842.780.4-4.939%-
vs Similar (5)38.235.874.0+2.440%-
vs Weaker (1)52.040.092.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.016.7
40.7%
51.1%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.7
34.1%
32.1%29.0
🏀 Free throws26.015.7
60.3%
69.0%15.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.7
56.2%
51.1%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
32.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
69.0%12.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLWLLWWWWW
Lusitania
LLLLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#12
-16.2
Net rating
-12.7
95.1
Offensive rating
99.2
111.3
Defensive rating
111.9
45.0%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
22.3%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.1%
3-point %
33.3%
54.4%
Assist %
55.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 99.2Defence111.3 · 111.9Shooting45.0% · 53.7%3-point %34.1% · 33.3%Ball care19.4% · 22.3%Off. rebounds30.3% · 20.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Vitoria   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vitoria wins
7
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Lusitania v Vitoria90-86 OT
22/10/22Vitoria v Lusitania82-89
03/01/22Vitoria v Lusitania75-73
16/10/21Lusitania v Vitoria80-71
24/01/21Lusitania v Vitoria87-70
24/10/20Vitoria v Lusitania71-81
04/01/20Lusitania v Vitoria79-92
12/10/19Vitoria v Lusitania68-69
05/03/19Lusitania v Vitoria84-91
08/12/18Vitoria v Lusitania96-100
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HSporting CP89-92
04/10/23ABenfica66-107
23/09/23HOvarense79-76
14/05/23HFC Porto101-112
10/05/23AFC Porto82-119
06/05/23HEsgueira101-99
22/04/23ASangalhos86-81
15/04/23AImortal91-84
08/04/23HCD Povoa96-92
01/04/23HCAB Madeira106-82
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HOvarense82-85
30/09/23AGalomar80-94
23/09/23HImortal66-80
14/05/23HSporting CP73-93
10/05/23ASporting CP65-99
06/05/23ABenfica74-107
29/04/23AImortal77-82
22/04/23HFC Porto97-92
15/04/23AOvarense67-72
08/04/23ASporting CP59-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Lusitania
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP110100%101.067.0+34.0
2 FC Porto110100%92.060.0+32.0
3 Esgueira110100%87.074.0+13.0
4 Oliveirense110100%78.071.0+7.0
5 Ovarense110100%92.091.0+1.0
6 CD Povoa1010%91.092.0-1.0
7 Benfica1010%71.078.0-7.0
8 Galomar1010%74.087.0-13.0
9 Imortal1010%60.092.0-32.0
10 Portimonense1010%67.0101.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria2221281990
Lusitania2022152582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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