Sporting CP vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 95-71

24-15 32-20 12-20 27-16

Position#2

Record13-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game91.5

Allowed / game79.2

Sporting CP 🏆

Ovarense

Position#8

Record10-7

FormWWLWL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game80.9

LPBRound 18

Other2022-23

Meetings · Sporting CP v Ovarense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ovarense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CP Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sangalhos

#12

95-83

+12

A03/12

LPB

Braga

#16

108-56

108

+52

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

93-90

A14/12

LPB

Imortal

91-96

-5

H17/12

LPB

Oliveirense

86-79

A22/12

LPB

CD Povoa

86-73

+13

H30/12

LPB

Vitoria

90-95

-5

A04/01

LPB

Esgueira

89-42

+47

H07/01

LPB

FC Porto

97-84

+13

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Ovarense

79-71

A15/01

Taca da Liga

20-21

29-24

19-13

27-25

31-16

23-10

24-14

30-16

24-28

25-19

13-16

31-27

30-24

20-28

17-17

24-27

26-20

23-19

8-19

29-21

28-18

22-23

15-17

21-15

24-20

24-26

22-26

20-23

26-11

22-12

14-9

27-10

21-16

26-19

20-21

30-28

35-14

12-16

20-17

12-24

168.3Avg total

91.4Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	91.5	79.2	170.7	+12.2	76%
Season at home (8)	89.9	76.0	165.9	+13.9	75%
Season away (9)	92.9	82.1	175.0	+10.8	78%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	76.9	168.3	+14.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	73.0	161.2	+15.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	85.4	92.1	177.6	-6.7	43%
vs Similar (3)	89.0	90.3	179.3	-1.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	91.9	78.2	170.1	+13.6	88%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

63-91

-28

A03/12

LPB

CD Povoa

60-65

-5

A08/12

LPB

Barreirense

#15

111-69

111

+42

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

#11

85-93

-8

H17/12

LPB

Vitoria

76-97

-21

A22/12

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

108-60

108

+48

H28/12

LPB

Esgueira

87-70

+17

A04/01

LPB

Benfica

75-96

-21

H07/01

LPB

Benfica

77-76

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

71-79

-8

H15/01

Taca da Liga

9-28

17-23

18-22

19-18

17-17

16-23

14-6

13-19

33-18

24-27

29-16

25-8

20-21

21-18

23-26

21-28

21-23

18-30

17-21

20-23

23-15

26-11

34-12

25-22

24-20

25-18

25-14

13-18

15-25

19-21

13-32

28-18

18-17

23-19

22-23

14-17

14-35

16-12

17-20

24-12

160.9Avg total

81.3Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	80.9	80.9	161.8	-0.1	59%
Season at home (9)	87.6	83.2	170.8	+4.3	67%
Season away (8)	73.4	78.4	151.8	-5.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	79.6	160.9	+1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	76.2	159.8	+7.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	73.4	85.2	158.5	-11.8	31%
vs Similar (6)	85.3	82.2	167.5	+3.2	67%
vs Weaker (9)	89.6	74.9	164.4	+14.7	78%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sporting CPOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	21.0	45.5	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.2	20.4	44.6	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.6	21.5	46.1	+3.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.5	18.8	45.3	+7.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	15.8	42.6	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	26.4	47.6	-5.3	14%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.3	20.0	45.3	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	25.0	19.1	44.1	+5.9	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.1	22.3	39.4	-5.2	15%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.7	16.7	39.3	+6.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.3	42.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.4	20.4	42.7	+2.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.9	19.1	42.0	+3.7	71%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	24.0	43.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.8	41.3	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.2	38.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	20.8	39.4	-2.3	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.1	67%	-

Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sangalhos

#12

49-45

A03/12

LPB

Braga

#16

54-26

+28

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

49-47

A14/12

LPB

Imortal

50-52

-2

H17/12

LPB

Oliveirense

49-39

+10

A22/12

LPB

CD Povoa

50-41

H30/12

LPB

Vitoria

48-46

A04/01

LPB

Esgueira

48-23

+25

H07/01

LPB

FC Porto

47-35

+12

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Ovarense

47-30

+17

A15/01

Taca da Liga

87.5Avg total

49.1Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	41.3	88.0	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.2	40.6	86.8	+5.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	47.0	41.8	88.8	+5.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.1	38.4	87.5	+10.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	35.0	83.0	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	44.0	45.6	89.6	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.7	44.0	88.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	47.6	40.6	88.2	+7.0	71%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

26-51

-25

A03/12

LPB

CD Povoa

33-40

-7

A08/12

LPB

Barreirense

#15

57-45

+12

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

#11

41-39

H17/12

LPB

Vitoria

39-53

-14

A22/12

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

49-26

+23

H28/12

LPB

Esgueira

49-38

+11

A04/01

LPB

Benfica

34-46

-12

H07/01

LPB

Benfica

41-36

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

30-47

-17

H15/01

Taca da Liga

82.0Avg total

39.9Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	40.2	80.6	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	38.4	79.6	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	41.8	81.6	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	42.1	82.0	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	38.6	79.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.6	43.2	78.8	-7.5	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.8	39.8	80.7	+1.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.2	36.1	81.3	+9.1	67%	-

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	16.9	34.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	22.3	40.1	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	18.0	39.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.1	17.9	39.1	+3.2	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	22.4	45.7	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.8	23.1	41.8	-4.3	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.2	16.9	40.1	+6.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.1	45.7	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.5	22.7	47.2	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.9	21.7	44.6	+1.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	21.6	46.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.6	24.3	47.9	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	28.3	51.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.2	19.7	42.9	+3.5	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	46%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	22.7	44.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.8	22%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	41.0	85.1	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.9	42.3	85.2	+0.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.9	40.1	84.9	+4.8	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	38.5	80.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.0	78.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.4	46.6	88.0	-5.1	29%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.3	46.3	90.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.3	37.6	81.9	+6.6	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	40.4	82.0	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	43.8	89.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	37.5	75.6	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.5	78.9	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	37.6	80.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.8	42.0	79.8	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.5	42.3	86.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	44.3	38.8	83.1	+5.6	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 71.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers29.3 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	14.7	36.7%	52.4%	29.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	10.0	38.0%	32.3%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	11.7	61.4%	70.4%	11.7

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sporting CP wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
15/01/23	Ovarense v Sporting CP	71-79
29/10/22	Ovarense v Sporting CP	72-94
17/12/21	Sporting CP v Ovarense	94-63
02/10/21	Ovarense v Sporting CP	69-88
03/04/21	Ovarense v Sporting CP	92-97
03/01/21	Sporting CP v Ovarense	93-80
02/01/21	Sporting CP v Ovarense	89-58
12/02/20	Sporting CP v Ovarense	75-50
11/01/20	Sporting CP v Ovarense	108-56
19/10/19	Ovarense v Sporting CP	70-93

Sporting CPlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/01/23	A	Ovarense	79-71
14/01/23	A	FC Porto	97-84
07/01/23	H	Esgueira	89-42
04/01/23	A	Vitoria	90-95
30/12/22	H	CD Povoa	86-73
22/12/22	A	Oliveirense	86-79
17/12/22	H	Imortal	91-96
14/12/22	A	Benfica	93-90
10/12/22	A	Braga	108-56
03/12/22	A	Sangalhos	95-83

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/01/23	H	Sporting CP	71-79
14/01/23	A	Benfica	77-76
07/01/23	H	Benfica	75-96
04/01/23	A	Esgueira	87-70
28/12/22	H	Sangalhos	108-60
22/12/22	A	Vitoria	76-97
17/12/22	H	CAB Madeira	85-93
10/12/22	A	Barreirense	111-69
08/12/22	A	CD Povoa	60-65
03/12/22	A	FC Porto	63-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	76%
Home	WLLWW	75%
Away	LWWWL	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	76%	75%	78%
Points / game	91.5	89.9	92.9
Allowed / game	79.2	76.0	82.1
Point differential	+12.2	+13.9	+10.8
Avg total	170.7	165.9	175.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	50%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ovarense

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	59%
Home	WWLWL	67%
Away	WLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	59%	67%	50%
Points / game	80.9	87.6	73.4
Allowed / game	80.9	83.2	78.4
Point differential	-0.1	+4.3	-5.0
Avg total	161.8	170.8	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	16	15	1	94%	89.6	74.3	+15.2
2	Benfica	16	14	2	88%	93.2	77.2	+16.0
3	Sporting CP	17	13	4	76%	91.5	79.2	+12.2
4	Ovarense	17	10	7	59%	80.9	80.9	-0.1
5	Oliveirense	16	9	7	56%	79.8	79.4	+0.4
6	Imortal	17	7	10	41%	74.6	77.4	-2.8
7	Vitoria	17	7	10	41%	85.9	89.3	-3.4
8	Esgueira	17	7	10	41%	76.0	81.5	-5.5
9	Lusitania	16	6	10	38%	78.4	84.9	-6.5
10	CD Povoa	17	6	11	35%	70.8	73.7	-2.9
11	CAB Madeira	17	4	13	24%	78.5	85.1	-6.6
12	Sangalhos	15	1	14	7%	68.9	85.5	-16.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sporting CP	24	32	12	27	95
Ovarense	15	20	20	16	71

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Sporting CP vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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