Sporting CP vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 91-77

19-19 28-17 23-28 21-13

Position#2

Record24-7

FormLWLWL

Points / game90.8

Allowed / game78.5

Sporting CP 🏆

Ovarense

Position#8

Record14-17

FormLLLWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game81.1

LPB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Sporting CP v Ovarense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ovarense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CP Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

86-82

H05/03

LPB

Lusitania

#10

89-56

+33

A12/03

LPB

FC Porto

71-72

-1

A19/03

LPB

Oliveirense

94-70

+24

H22/03

LPB

Ovarense

78-70

A25/03

LPB

Benfica

86-99

-13

A01/04

LPB

Lusitania

#10

98-59

+39

H08/04

LPB

FC Porto

106-110 OT

106

110

-4

H15/04

LPB

Oliveirense

87-79

A22/04

LPB

Benfica

80-96

-16

H29/04

Taca de Portugal

27-26

25-18

13-21

21-17

24-17

19-11

19-14

27-14

18-13

18-21

15-23

20-15

23-16

31-21

14-11

26-22

18-21

20-13

18-18

22-18

24-21

19-25

17-23

26-30

15-19

28-19

25-11

30-10

27-34

16-19

25-24

30-21

22-20

21-19

28-20

16-20

19-27

23-18

16-24

22-27

166.8Avg total

87.5Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	90.8	78.5	169.3	+12.3	77%
Season at home (15)	91.7	75.9	167.6	+15.9	80%
Season away (16)	89.9	80.9	170.9	+9.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	87.5	79.3	166.8	+8.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	88.6	180.0	+2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.4	90.6	176.0	-5.2	40%
vs Similar (3)	85.7	85.3	171.0	+0.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	88.8	75.0	163.8	+13.8	85%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

71-67

H18/02

LPB

FC Porto

74-96

-22

A04/03

LPB

Oliveirense

72-73

-1

H11/03

LPB

Lusitania

#10

72-66

A18/03

LPB

Benfica

75-91

-16

A22/03

LPB

Sporting CP

70-78

-8

H25/03

LPB

FC Porto

86-95

-9

H01/04

LPB

Oliveirense

63-71

-8

A08/04

LPB

Lusitania

#10

72-67

H15/04

LPB

Benfica

66-115

115

-49

H22/04

LPB

24-18

17-12

9-24

21-13

20-21

18-23

16-31

20-21

19-15

7-18

20-19

26-21

25-18

14-20

13-12

20-16

18-25

15-23

24-23

18-20

21-18

13-20

18-18

18-22

20-23

20-24

20-27

26-21

16-21

16-19

16-13

15-18

14-18

16-9

24-21

18-19

10-28

15-32

18-29

23-26

154.0Avg total

72.1Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	76.5	81.1	157.6	-4.6	45%
Season at home (16)	81.0	82.0	163.0	-1.0	56%
Season away (15)	71.7	80.2	151.9	-8.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	81.9	154.0	-9.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	85.2	156.6	-13.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	70.5	84.2	154.8	-13.7	20%
vs Similar (6)	80.2	77.5	157.7	+2.7	67%
vs Weaker (2)	92.0	73.0	165.0	+19.0	50%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sporting CPOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	19.7	43.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.6	25.2	49.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	18.6	42.2	+5.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.1	21.8	38.9	-4.7	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	17.5	39.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	18.4	40.9	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	18.5	41.4	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	80%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	19.7	36.3	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.1	18.7	41.8	+4.4	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	21.1	38.5	-3.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	23.1	40.9	-5.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	20.0	35.1	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.8	21.9	38.6	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	19.3	36.5	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	16.0	35.5	+3.5	50%	-

Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

52-44

H05/03

LPB

Lusitania

#10

43-28

+15

A12/03

LPB

FC Porto

36-34

A19/03

LPB

Oliveirense

54-37

+17

H22/03

LPB

Ovarense

38-34

A25/03

LPB

Benfica

43-46

-3

A01/04

LPB

Lusitania

#10

43-38

H08/04

LPB

FC Porto

43-53

-10

H15/04

LPB

Oliveirense

43-39

A22/04

LPB

Benfica

42-45

-3

H29/04

Taca de Portugal

83.5Avg total

43.7Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.2	38.1	84.3	+8.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	38.9	84.8	+7.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.5	37.4	83.9	+9.1	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	39.8	83.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	44.2	87.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	47.0	43.4	90.4	+3.6	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.3	39.7	78.0	-1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.8	37.4	84.1	+9.4	85%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

41-30

+11

H18/02

LPB

FC Porto

38-44

-6

A04/03

LPB

Oliveirense

26-33

-7

H11/03

LPB

Lusitania

#10

39-38

A18/03

LPB

Benfica

33-48

-15

A22/03

LPB

Sporting CP

34-38

-4

H25/03

LPB

FC Porto

40-47

-7

H01/04

LPB

Oliveirense

32-40

-8

A08/04

LPB

Lusitania

#10

30-27

H15/04

LPB

Benfica

25-60

-35

H22/04

LPB

74.3Avg total

33.8Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	41.4	77.6	-5.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.2	39.1	74.3	-3.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	43.7	80.9	-6.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	40.5	74.3	-6.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	42.4	74.6	-10.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	33.9	43.7	77.6	-9.9	15%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.3	36.8	76.2	+2.5	83%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	32.5	70.0	+5.0	50%	-

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.9	38.3	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	23.2	38.0	-8.4	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	22.9	42.5	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.7	39.5	-3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.3	21.6	38.9	-4.3	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	14.0	42.0	+14.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	20.7	44.6	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	19.3	43.5	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	22.2	45.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	19.4	43.4	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.6	46.4	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	24.0	47.6	-0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	21.7	46.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.3	19.6	43.0	+3.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	18.6	35.9	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	26.5	53.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.8	82.2	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	38.4	80.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	41.1	84.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	38.3	81.3	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	42.0	89.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	47.2	85.6	-8.8	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.7	41.7	86.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.1	37.6	79.8	+4.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.0	79.3	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	43.3	85.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	36.7	72.9	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	41.4	79.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.8	82.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.7	40.5	77.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.8	40.7	81.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	54.5	40.5	95.0	+14.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 71.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers29.3 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	14.7	36.7%	52.4%	29.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	10.0	38.0%	32.3%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	11.7	61.4%	70.4%	11.7

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sporting CP wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
25/03/23	Ovarense v Sporting CP	70-78
20/01/23	Sporting CP v Ovarense	95-71
15/01/23	Ovarense v Sporting CP	71-79
29/10/22	Ovarense v Sporting CP	72-94
17/12/21	Sporting CP v Ovarense	94-63
02/10/21	Ovarense v Sporting CP	69-88
03/04/21	Ovarense v Sporting CP	92-97
03/01/21	Sporting CP v Ovarense	93-80
02/01/21	Sporting CP v Ovarense	89-58
12/02/20	Sporting CP v Ovarense	75-50

Sporting CPlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/23	H	Benfica	80-96
22/04/23	A	Oliveirense	87-79
15/04/23	H	FC Porto	106-110 OT
08/04/23	H	Lusitania	98-59
01/04/23	A	Benfica	86-99
25/03/23	A	Ovarense	78-70
22/03/23	H	Oliveirense	94-70
19/03/23	A	FC Porto	71-72
12/03/23	A	Lusitania	89-56
05/03/23	H	Benfica	86-82

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/23	H	Benfica	66-115
15/04/23	H	Lusitania	72-67
08/04/23	A	Oliveirense	63-71
01/04/23	H	FC Porto	86-95
25/03/23	H	Sporting CP	70-78
22/03/23	A	Benfica	75-91
18/03/23	A	Lusitania	72-66
11/03/23	H	Oliveirense	72-73
04/03/23	A	FC Porto	74-96
18/02/23	H	FC Porto	71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	77%
Home	WWWWL	80%
Away	WLWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	77%	80%	75%
Points / game	90.8	91.7	89.9
Allowed / game	78.5	75.9	80.9
Point differential	+12.3	+15.9	+9.0
Avg total	169.3	167.6	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	53%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Ovarense

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	45%
Home	LLLWL	56%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	45%	56%	33%
Points / game	76.5	81.0	71.7
Allowed / game	81.1	82.0	80.2
Point differential	-4.6	-1.0	-8.5
Avg total	157.6	163.0	151.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	19%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	83% (6)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	31	25	6	81%	92.7	76.6	+16.1
2	FC Porto	31	25	6	81%	88.5	78.4	+10.1
3	Sporting CP	31	24	7	77%	90.8	78.5	+12.3
4	Oliveirense	31	17	14	55%	76.5	77.6	-1.2
5	CD Povoa	31	15	16	48%	74.7	74.9	-0.3
6	Vitoria	31	15	16	48%	88.6	89.4	-0.8
7	Ovarense	31	14	17	45%	76.5	81.1	-4.6
8	Esgueira	31	14	17	45%	77.1	82.1	-5.0
9	Imortal	31	12	19	39%	78.5	80.2	-1.6
10	Lusitania	31	12	19	39%	77.8	83.9	-6.1
11	CAB Madeira	31	11	20	35%	79.9	83.7	-3.8
12	Sangalhos	31	2	29	6%	71.3	86.3	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sporting CP	19	28	23	21	91
Ovarense	19	17	28	13	77

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Sporting CP vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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