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Sporting CP vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 100-91
24-17 23-22 25-31 28-21
Position#3
Record10-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game78.0
Sporting CP 🏆
Portugal
vs
Ovarense
Portugal
Position#5
Record9-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.3
PortugalLPBRound 16· Pavilhão João Rocha
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sporting CP v Ovarense
24 Oct 2026
SCP71
OVAR70
01 Nov 2025
SCP78
OVAR64
08 Mar 2025
SCP100
OVAR91
10 May 2024
SCP81
OVAR87
20 Jan 2024
SCP86
OVAR91
06 May 2023
SCP91
OVAR77
20 Jan 2023
SCP95
OVAR71
17 Dec 2021
SCP94
OVAR63
03 Jan 2021
SCP93
OVAR80
02 Jan 2021
SCP89
OVAR58
12 Feb 2020
SCP75
OVAR50
11 Jan 2020
SCP108
OVAR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#9
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 74
H21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
55avg 74
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 74
H04/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 74
A14/01
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 74
A16/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
61avg 74
A25/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
91avg 74
H02/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 74
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
103-78
103
78
+25
107avg 74
A15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
89avg 74
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
20-30
16-31
33-12
22-22
13-19
12-24
17-16
17-20
21-21
24-11
20-17
18-14
23-15
23-23
16-34
28-15
21-14
13-24
17-22
19-25
22-17
21-21
16-20
15-18
14-21
27-25
23-15
25-13
23-25
18-22
23-9
29-18
21-21
24-26
29-13
23-28
28-16
24-14
24-29
166.4Avg total
85.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.778.0162.7+6.767%
Season at home (8)88.877.1165.9+11.688%
Season away (7)80.079.0159.0+1.043%
Last 10 (10)85.980.5166.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)92.480.8173.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.088.2158.2-18.20%
vs Similar (7)79.477.1156.6+2.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.276.6161.8+8.671%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
84avg 74
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
71avg 74
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 74
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 74
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 74
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
61avg 74
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 74
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 74
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 74
H15/02
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
94-68
94
68
+26
87avg 74
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
22-15
24-18
25-26
8-15
21-24
19-18
19-10
23-22
27-18
12-19
24-25
27-23
27-13
16-26
22-19
14-19
25-12
15-16
24-20
12-23
26-17
22-12
13-8
19-26
21-18
8-20
27-18
25-18
21-26
17-25
14-19
17-20
19-21
21-24
26-6
24-24
16-17
21-13
33-14
158.7Avg total
82.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.477.3156.6+2.164%
Season at home (8)81.279.5160.8+1.862%
Season away (6)76.874.3151.2+2.567%
Last 10 (10)82.676.1158.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)80.473.8154.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.283.2161.4-4.938%
vs Similar (5)76.472.6149.0+3.860%
vs Weaker (11)84.675.1159.7+9.591%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +6.2+6.2
Sporting CPOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H04/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A14/01
LPB
Imortal
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A16/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H02/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A01/03
Taca da Liga
81.4Avg total
42.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.280.1-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.340.279.5-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.740.180.9+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.981.4+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.484.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.448.284.6-11.80%-
vs Similar (7)40.339.679.9+0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.438.779.1+1.653%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H21/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H04/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#10
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H15/02
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/03
Taca da Liga
79.3Avg total
41.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.679.3+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.138.177.3+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)42.138.981.1+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.379.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.040.381.3+0.754%-
vs Similar (5)33.434.067.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker (11)42.538.881.4+3.764%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.3
56.2%
51.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws26.616.6
62.4%
69.2%16.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.1
52.9%
51.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.9
33.8%
32.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.213.2
65.3%
69.2%13.2
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
WWWWLWLWLW
Ovarense
WWLLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#5
+6.3
Net rating
+9.5
108.7
Offensive rating
111.8
102.5
Defensive rating
102.3
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.6%
3-point %
33.8%
57.3%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 111.8Defence102.5 · 102.3Shooting53.4% · 52.0%3-point %32.6% · 33.8%Ball care16.7% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.3% · 32.4%Free throws0.42 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Sporting CP   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sporting CP wins
3
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Ovarense v Sporting CP77-86
13/05/24Ovarense v Sporting CP93-91 OT
10/05/24Sporting CP v Ovarense81-87
20/01/24Sporting CP v Ovarense86-91
09/12/23Ovarense v Sporting CP79-91
30/09/23Ovarense v Sporting CP81-85
06/05/23Sporting CP v Ovarense91-77
25/03/23Ovarense v Sporting CP70-78
20/01/23Sporting CP v Ovarense95-71
15/01/23Ovarense v Sporting CP71-79
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ACA Queluz99-87
15/02/25ACA Queluz103-78
09/02/25HGalomar89-69
02/02/25HEsgueira93-87 OT
25/01/25AFC Porto78-83
16/01/25AImortal79-75
14/01/25AImortal80-86
04/01/25HOliveirense82-69
29/12/24ABenfica64-81
21/12/24HVitoria92-90
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HEsgueira94-68
15/02/25HCD Povoa83-71
09/02/25AFC Porto77-88
02/02/25AGalitos Barreiro75-82
26/01/25AGalomar73-60
25/01/25AGalomar78-67
19/01/25AEsgueira92-81
11/01/25HCA Queluz86-84
04/01/25HEsgueira81-89 OT
21/12/24HImortal87-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%88%43%
Points / game84.788.880.0
Allowed / game78.077.179.0
Point differential+6.7+11.6+1.0
Avg total162.7165.9159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%62%67%
Points / game79.481.276.8
Allowed / game77.379.574.3
Point differential+2.1+1.8+2.5
Avg total156.6160.8151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1615194%90.475.6+14.9
2 FC Porto1513287%88.678.1+10.5
3 Sporting CP1510567%84.778.0+6.7
4 Ovarense149564%79.477.3+2.1
5 Oliveirense169756%85.980.0+5.9
6 Galitos Barreiro168850%78.077.7+0.3
7 Esgueira167944%82.287.5-5.3
8 Imortal167944%78.485.2-6.8
9 Vitoria156940%81.383.7-2.3
10 CA Queluz1641225%82.190.0-7.9
11 CD Povoa1631319%73.281.7-8.4
12 Galomar1521313%73.382.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sporting CP24232528100
Ovarense1722312191
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