Ovarense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 75-96

15-25 19-21 13-32 28-18

Position#8

Record10-6

FormWLLWW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game80.0

Ovarense

Benfica 🏆

Position#1

Record13-2

FormWLLWL

Points / game93.1

Allowed / game77.4

LPBRound 17

Other2022-23

Meetings · Ovarense v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOvarense

Date

Competition

Imortal

66-65

no box

A05/11

LPB

Lusitania

#10

84-81

no box

H19/11

LPB

Oliveirense

85-83

no box

H26/11

LPB

FC Porto

63-91

-28

no box

A03/12

LPB

CD Povoa

60-65

-5

no box

A08/12

LPB

Barreirense

#15

111-69

111

+42

no box

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

#11

85-93

-8

no box

H17/12

LPB

Vitoria

76-97

-21

no box

A22/12

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

108-60

108

+48

no box

H28/12

LPB

Esgueira

87-70

+17

no box

A04/01

LPB

19-19

10-23

22-12

15-11

27-10

13-26

14-25

30-20

25-17

19-24

19-27

22-15

9-28

17-23

18-22

19-18

17-17

16-23

14-6

13-19

33-18

24-27

29-16

25-8

20-21

21-18

23-26

21-28

21-23

18-30

17-21

20-23

23-15

26-11

34-12

25-22

24-20

25-18

25-14

13-18

159.9Avg total

82.5Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	81.2	80.0	161.2	+1.2	62%
Season at home (8)	89.1	81.6	170.8	+7.5	75%
Season away (8)	73.4	78.4	151.8	-5.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	77.4	159.9	+5.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	77.8	171.2	+15.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	73.5	84.7	158.2	-11.3	36%
vs Similar (7)	85.9	83.4	169.3	+2.4	57%
vs Weaker (11)	86.9	73.6	160.5	+13.3	73%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBenfica

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

89-78

+11

no box

A27/11

LPB

Esgueira

95-82

+13

no box

H30/11

LPB

VEF Riga

#40

84-71

+13

81avg 74

H06/12

Champions League

FC Porto

97-93

no box

H11/12

Taca de Portugal

Sporting CP

90-93

-3

no box

H14/12

LPB

Lusitania

#10

87-77

+10

no box

A17/12

LPB

Limoges

#28

59-79

-20

45avg 74

H20/12

Champions League

FC Porto

86-87

-1

no box

H23/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

107-78

107

+29

no box

A28/12

LPB

Darussafaka

#25

76-89

-13

67avg 74

H04/01

Champions League

25-23

21-23

20-7

23-25

19-18

23-18

32-24

21-22

27-22

15-16

19-17

23-16

28-22

17-28

23-21

29-22

28-24

19-25

16-13

27-31

32-17

15-25

26-18

14-17

17-17

23-15

5-25

14-22

25-23

22-24

12-17

27-23

26-19

24-16

31-22

26-21

16-27

19-20

22-25

19-17

169.7Avg total

87.0Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	93.1	77.4	170.5	+15.7	87%
Season at home (8)	90.4	76.2	166.6	+14.1	75%
Season away (7)	96.1	78.7	174.9	+17.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	82.7	169.7	+4.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	82.0	165.0	+1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	74.6	82.8	157.4	-8.2	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	88.1	74.1	162.2	+14.0	86%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OvarenseBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.4	43.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.5	20.9	38.5	-3.4	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	18.7	40.9	+3.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.8	16.7	37.5	+4.1	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	20.0	43.5	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	21.5	45.9	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	18.6	41.1	+3.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	21.2	45.5	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.5	19.1	43.6	+5.3	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.2	40.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.7	21.6	40.4	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	17.8	40.3	+4.6	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.0	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.0	18.7	38.8	+1.3	48%	-

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Imortal

29-42

-13

A05/11

LPB

Lusitania

#10

40-36

H19/11

LPB

Oliveirense

44-41

H26/11

LPB

FC Porto

26-51

-25

A03/12

LPB

CD Povoa

33-40

-7

A08/12

LPB

Barreirense

#15

57-45

+12

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

#11

41-39

H17/12

LPB

Vitoria

39-53

-14

A22/12

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

49-26

+23

H28/12

LPB

Esgueira

49-38

+11

A04/01

LPB

81.8Avg total

40.7Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	39.0	79.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	36.1	78.8	+6.5	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	41.5	80.6	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	41.1	81.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	40.2	87.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.3	42.5	78.8	-6.3	27%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.6	39.6	81.1	+2.0	86%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.3	34.5	77.8	+8.7	64%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

46-46

A27/11

LPB

Esgueira

42-36

H30/11

LPB

VEF Riga

#40

42-38

H06/12

Champions League

FC Porto

45-50

-5

H11/12

Taca de Portugal

Sporting CP

47-49

-2

H14/12

LPB

Lusitania

#10

47-42

A17/12

LPB

Limoges

#28

40-32

H20/12

Champions League

FC Porto

47-47

H23/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

50-35

+15

A28/12

LPB

Darussafaka

#25

35-47

-12

H04/01

Champions League

86.3Avg total

44.1Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	39.2	82.6	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	40.9	84.4	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	37.5	80.7	+5.8	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	42.2	86.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.6	84.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	41.6	42.0	83.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.5	37.9	82.4	+6.7	76%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.5	21.4	45.9	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	17.9	37.2	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	17.8	43.4	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	16.5	39.0	+5.9	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	16.0	22.4	38.4	-6.4	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	23.2	44.5	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.7	19.6	37.4	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	23.9	45.1	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.4	18%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.0	18.3	39.4	+2.7	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	40.8	82.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.8	44.6	90.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	37.6	75.8	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	36.3	78.1	+5.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	37.6	84.0	+8.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.2	42.2	79.4	-5.0	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.3	43.9	88.1	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.6	39.1	82.7	+4.5	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	36.4	77.9	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	37.5	77.8	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	35.4	78.1	+7.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	40.5	83.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.4	80.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	33.0	40.8	73.8	-7.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	42.5	35.5	78.0	+7.0	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 78.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	18.8	52.8%	52.4%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.8	35.5%	32.3%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	16.3	11.6	71.2%	70.4%	11.6

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ovarense wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
21/10/22	Benfica v Ovarense	97-72
06/05/22	Benfica v Ovarense	96-65
12/02/22	Benfica v Ovarense	86-64
22/12/21	Ovarense v Benfica	79-86
08/03/21	Ovarense v Benfica	76-91
04/12/20	Benfica v Ovarense	92-73
07/03/20	Ovarense v Benfica	81-90
04/12/19	Benfica v Ovarense	74-70
27/04/19	Benfica v Ovarense	90-61
31/03/19	Ovarense v Benfica	80-57

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/01/23	A	Esgueira	87-70
28/12/22	H	Sangalhos	108-60
22/12/22	A	Vitoria	76-97
17/12/22	H	CAB Madeira	85-93
10/12/22	A	Barreirense	111-69
08/12/22	A	CD Povoa	60-65
03/12/22	A	FC Porto	63-91
26/11/22	H	Oliveirense	85-83
19/11/22	H	Lusitania	84-81
05/11/22	A	Imortal	66-65

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/01/23	H	Darussafaka	76-89
28/12/22	A	CAB Madeira	107-78
23/12/22	H	FC Porto	86-87
20/12/22	H	Limoges	59-79
17/12/22	A	Lusitania	87-77
14/12/22	H	Sporting CP	90-93
11/12/22	H	FC Porto	97-93
06/12/22	H	VEF Riga	84-71
30/11/22	H	Esgueira	95-82
27/11/22	A	Sporting CP	89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	62%
Home	LWWLW	75%
Away	WLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	81.2	89.1	73.4
Allowed / game	80.0	81.6	78.4
Point differential	+1.2	+7.5	-5.0
Avg total	161.2	170.8	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	38%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	87%
Home	WWWLL	75%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	87%	75%	100%
Points / game	93.1	90.4	96.1
Allowed / game	77.4	76.2	78.7
Point differential	+15.7	+14.1	+17.4
Avg total	170.5	166.6	174.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	62%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	15	14	1	93%	88.9	74.7	+14.3
2	Benfica	15	13	2	87%	93.1	77.4	+15.7
3	Sporting CP	16	12	4	75%	91.6	81.6	+10.1
4	Ovarense	16	10	6	62%	81.2	80.0	+1.2
5	Oliveirense	15	8	7	53%	79.8	79.5	+0.3
6	Esgueira	16	7	9	44%	78.1	81.1	-2.9
7	Vitoria	16	7	9	44%	85.9	89.2	-3.4
8	Imortal	15	6	9	40%	74.3	77.7	-3.4
9	CD Povoa	16	6	10	38%	70.9	72.1	-1.2
10	Lusitania	15	5	10	33%	77.6	84.8	-7.2
11	CAB Madeira	15	3	12	20%	78.3	86.0	-7.7
12	Sangalhos	14	1	13	7%	69.0	86.0	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ovarense	15	19	13	28	75
Benfica	25	21	32	18	96

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Ovarense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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