FC Porto vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 72-71

13-18 21-18 23-15 15-20

Position#3

Record19-5

FormLWLLL

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game76.1

FC Porto 🏆

Sporting CP

Position#2

Record20-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.5

Allowed / game78.1

LPB

Other2022-23

Meetings · FC Porto v Sporting CP

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sporting CP winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC Porto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

74-86

-12

H31/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Sporting CP

74-80

-6

A04/02

LPB

Cholet

83-95

-12

A08/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Sangalhos

#12

91-76

+15

H11/02

LPB

Lusitania

#10

78-82

-4

A15/02

LPB

Ovarense

67-71

-4

A18/02

LPB

Ovarense

96-74

+22

H04/03

LPB

Karhu Basket

80-81

-1

H08/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Benfica

75-99

-24

A11/03

LPB

Karhu Basket

65-75

-10

A15/03

FIBA Europe Cup

23-24

17-19

13-23

21-20

13-20

19-16

13-21

29-23

18-28

21-25

19-22

25-20

31-27

13-13

22-16

22-17

14-26

14-18

28-21

18-24

12-17

24-9

13-21

21-20

23-18

31-16

21-20

18-22

21-14

24-23

17-22

16-27

24-33

22-14

13-25

19-24

9-18

20-18

17-15

160.2Avg total

78.3Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	87.2	76.1	163.3	+11.1	79%
Season at home (12)	93.7	74.8	168.4	+18.9	92%
Season away (12)	80.8	77.5	158.2	+3.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	81.9	160.2	-3.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	80.0	156.6	-3.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	84.7	88.8	173.4	-4.1	33%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	76.2	81.5	157.8	-5.2	50%
vs Weaker (15)	88.3	73.0	161.3	+15.3	87%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CP Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

97-84

+13

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Ovarense

79-71

A15/01

Taca da Liga

Ovarense

95-71

+24

H20/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

99-96

A28/01

LPB

FC Porto

80-74

H04/02

LPB

CD Povoa

89-64

+25

A12/02

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

#11

93-84

A15/02

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

98-64

+34

H18/02

LPB

Benfica

86-82

H05/03

LPB

Lusitania

#10

89-56

+33

A12/03

LPB

21-16

26-19

20-21

30-28

35-14

12-16

20-17

12-24

24-15

32-20

12-20

27-16

29-21

24-23

20-25

26-27

20-13

16-19

21-13

23-29

22-18

24-15

25-14

18-17

29-19

23-16

22-21

19-28

23-20

26-12

30-23

19-9

27-26

25-18

13-21

21-17

24-17

19-11

19-14

27-14

165.1Avg total

90.5Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	91.5	78.1	169.5	+13.4	83%
Season at home (12)	89.8	74.9	164.8	+14.9	83%
Season away (12)	93.1	81.2	174.3	+11.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	90.5	74.6	165.1	+15.9	100%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	70.0	161.0	+21.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	85.2	88.5	173.7	-3.3	50%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	84.5	82.5	167.0	+2.0	50%
vs Weaker (20)	90.9	76.5	167.4	+14.5	90%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoSporting CP

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.1	42.8	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.6	41.9	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.4	41.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	16.8	19.8	36.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	20.0	44.6	+4.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	24.4	19.1	43.5	+5.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	24.8	20.6	45.4	+4.2	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	17.9	43.3	+7.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.7	25.3	48.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (20)	25.1	18.9	44.0	+6.2	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.0	40.7	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.1	41.5	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.2	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	16.9	39.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	14.4	37.8	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.8	17.7	41.5	+6.2	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	60%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

40-43

-3

H31/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Sporting CP

32-36

-4

A04/02

LPB

Cholet

39-53

-14

A08/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Sangalhos

#12

56-47

H11/02

LPB

Lusitania

#10

36-43

-7

A15/02

LPB

Ovarense

30-41

-11

A18/02

LPB

Ovarense

44-38

H04/03

LPB

Karhu Basket

39-36

H08/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Benfica

40-60

-20

A11/03

LPB

Karhu Basket

28-42

-14

A15/03

FIBA Europe Cup

82.3Avg total

38.4Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	41.0	82.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	39.0	83.6	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	42.7	82.1	-3.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	43.9	82.3	-5.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	43.4	79.6	-7.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.4	45.4	86.9	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	34.8	37.0	71.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.8	38.7	82.5	+5.1	73%	-

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

47-35

+12

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Ovarense

47-30

+17

A15/01

Taca da Liga

Ovarense

56-35

+21

H20/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

53-44

A28/01

LPB

FC Porto

36-32

H04/02

LPB

CD Povoa

46-33

+13

A12/02

Taca de Portugal

CAB Madeira

#11

52-35

+17

A15/02

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

49-32

+17

H18/02

LPB

Benfica

52-44

H05/03

LPB

Lusitania

#10

43-28

+15

A12/03

LPB

82.9Avg total

48.1Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.1	39.1	86.2	+8.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	46.3	37.2	83.6	+9.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	47.6	40.3	87.9	+7.3	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.1	34.8	82.9	+13.3	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	34.4	82.8	+14.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	46.5	43.0	89.5	+3.5	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	41.5	38.5	80.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (20)	47.5	38.8	86.3	+8.7	75%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	17.2	35.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	16.0	40.2	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	17.8	21.5	39.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.9	14.9	36.8	+7.1	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.8	22.2	38.0	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.4	18.7	39.0	+1.7	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.8	43.3	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	19.1	41.6	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	22.2	44.9	+0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.6	36.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.1	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.6	43.9	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	23.6	21.8	45.3	+1.8	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.8	23.3	46.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	21.0	27.0	48.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.1	18.9	42.0	+4.1	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	38.6	81.6	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	37.6	83.0	+7.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	38.0	77.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.6	77.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.4	40.8	82.2	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	40.0	43.2	83.2	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.5	34.3	78.8	+10.1	93%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	39.8	82.8	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.2	39.3	79.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	44.9	40.1	84.9	+4.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	39.8	82.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	35.6	78.2	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.7	45.5	84.2	-6.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	43.0	44.0	87.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	43.4	37.6	81.0	+5.8	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 71.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers29.3 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	14.7	36.7%	52.4%	29.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	10.0	38.0%	32.3%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	11.7	61.4%	70.4%	11.7

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Sporting CP wins

Date	Game	Score
04/02/23	Sporting CP v FC Porto	80-74
14/01/23	FC Porto v Sporting CP	84-97
19/11/22	FC Porto v Sporting CP	91-89
26/05/22	Sporting CP v FC Porto	80-95
24/05/22	FC Porto v Sporting CP	74-71
22/05/22	FC Porto v Sporting CP	87-68
07/05/22	Sporting CP v FC Porto	66-58
30/04/22	FC Porto v Sporting CP	70-71
13/04/22	Sporting CP v FC Porto	66-76
22/01/22	Sporting CP v FC Porto	82-76

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/23	A	Karhu Basket	65-75
11/03/23	A	Benfica	75-99
08/03/23	H	Karhu Basket	80-81
04/03/23	H	Ovarense	96-74
18/02/23	A	Ovarense	67-71
15/02/23	A	Lusitania	78-82
11/02/23	H	Sangalhos	91-76
08/02/23	A	Cholet	83-95
04/02/23	A	Sporting CP	74-80
31/01/23	H	Chemnitz	74-86

Sporting CPlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/23	A	Lusitania	89-56
05/03/23	H	Benfica	86-82
18/02/23	H	Sangalhos	98-64
15/02/23	A	CAB Madeira	93-84
12/02/23	A	CD Povoa	89-64
04/02/23	H	FC Porto	80-74
28/01/23	A	Lusitania	99-96
20/01/23	H	Ovarense	95-71
15/01/23	A	Ovarense	79-71
14/01/23	A	FC Porto	97-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	79%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WLLLL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	79%	92%	67%
Points / game	87.2	93.7	80.8
Allowed / game	76.1	74.8	77.5
Point differential	+11.1	+18.9	+3.2
Avg total	163.3	168.4	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	83%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (1)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Sporting CP

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	WLWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	83%	83%	83%
Points / game	91.5	89.8	93.1
Allowed / game	78.1	74.9	81.2
Point differential	+13.4	+14.9	+11.8
Avg total	169.5	164.8	174.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	24	20	4	83%	91.5	78.1	+13.4
2	Benfica	25	20	5	80%	91.6	76.0	+15.6
3	FC Porto	24	19	5	79%	87.2	76.1	+11.1
4	Oliveirense	25	15	10	60%	76.6	76.0	+0.6
5	Ovarense	25	13	12	52%	77.6	79.9	-2.4
6	CD Povoa	25	12	13	48%	74.1	74.8	-0.7
7	Lusitania	25	11	14	44%	78.8	83.3	-4.5
8	Imortal	25	10	15	40%	77.5	79.8	-2.4
9	Vitoria	25	10	15	40%	87.3	89.7	-2.4
10	Esgueira	25	10	15	40%	76.2	82.0	-5.8
11	CAB Madeira	25	8	17	32%	79.1	84.2	-5.1
12	Sangalhos	25	1	24	4%	70.1	86.7	-16.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FC Porto	13	21	23	15	72
Sporting CP	18	18	15	20	71

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FC Porto vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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