Lusitania vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 66-72

18-25 20-14 12-13 16-20

Position#10

Record11-13

FormWWWLL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game83.8

Lusitania

Ovarense 🏆

Position#8

Record12-12

FormLLWLL

Points / game77.8

Allowed / game80.5

LPB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Lusitania v Ovarense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ovarense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Esgueira

#11

85-73

+12

H14/01

Taca de Portugal

Esgueira

92-84

A21/01

LPB

Sporting CP

96-99

-3

H28/01

LPB

Ovarense

88-81

H04/02

LPB

Oliveirense

83-68

+15

H07/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

80-69

+11

A11/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

82-78

H15/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

85-81

H01/03

LPB

Oliveirense

69-73

-4

A05/03

LPB

Sporting CP

56-89

-33

H12/03

LPB

31-17

30-16

6-20

18-20

24-20

27-19

22-27

19-18

21-29

23-24

25-20

27-26

18-23

25-14

18-24

27-20

22-15

14-15

19-15

28-23

17-19

15-15

29-20

19-15

17-22

26-14

18-14

21-28

27-18

17-22

20-16

21-25

13-10

13-15

25-29

18-19

17-24

11-19

14-19

14-27

161.1Avg total

81.6Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	79.4	83.8	163.2	-4.4	46%
Season at home (12)	80.2	80.0	160.2	+0.2	67%
Season away (12)	78.6	87.6	166.2	-9.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	79.5	161.1	+2.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	78.0	152.4	-3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	76.8	85.1	161.9	-8.4	33%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	85.2	79.0	164.2	+6.2	67%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	81.0	167.5	+5.5	100%

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ovarense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

77-76

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

71-79

-8

H15/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

71-95

-24

A20/01

LPB

Imortal

71-68

H28/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

81-88

-7

A04/02

LPB

Benfica

76-86

-10

H10/02

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

52-69

-17

A14/02

LPB

FC Porto

71-67

H18/02

LPB

FC Porto

74-96

-22

A04/03

LPB

Oliveirense

72-73

-1

H11/03

LPB

18-17

23-19

22-23

14-17

14-35

16-12

17-20

24-12

15-24

20-32

20-12

16-27

12-21

24-13

20-20

15-14

23-18

14-25

24-18

20-27

13-18

13-21

22-16

28-31

12-15

15-23

9-16

16-15

24-18

17-12

9-24

21-13

20-21

18-23

16-31

20-21

19-15

7-18

20-19

26-21

151.3Avg total

71.6Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	77.8	80.5	158.3	-2.7	50%
Season at home (12)	83.5	79.8	163.2	+3.8	67%
Season away (12)	72.1	81.2	153.3	-9.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	71.6	79.7	151.3	-8.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	78.2	147.2	-9.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	72.3	82.7	155.0	-10.4	33%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	85.2	82.2	167.3	+3.0	67%
vs Weaker (4)	87.8	67.5	155.2	+20.2	75%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaOvarense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	23.6	42.9	-4.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	19.5	23.7	43.2	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	18.5	45.0	+8.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	19.4	38.8	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	14.5	35.8	+6.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.2	38.9	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.0	33.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.7	14.8	37.5	+7.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	23.1	42.2	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	19.8	36.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	19.4	33.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.1	21.2	39.2	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	17.2	39.8	+5.2	75%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Esgueira

#11

61-33

+28

H14/01

Taca de Portugal

Esgueira

51-39

+12

A21/01

LPB

Sporting CP

44-53

-9

H28/01

LPB

Ovarense

43-37

H04/02

LPB

Oliveirense

36-30

H07/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

32-34

-2

A11/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

43-36

H15/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

44-40

H01/03

LPB

Oliveirense

26-25

A05/03

LPB

Sporting CP

28-43

-15

H12/03

LPB

77.8Avg total

40.8Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	41.4	81.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	40.1	80.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	42.9	81.8	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	35.6	70.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	38.0	43.5	81.5	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.5	37.0	76.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	36.5	83.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Ovarense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

41-36

A14/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

30-47

-17

H15/01

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

35-56

-21

A20/01

LPB

Imortal

36-34

H28/01

LPB

Lusitania

#10

37-43

-6

A04/02

LPB

Benfica

26-39

-13

H10/02

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

27-38

-11

A14/02

LPB

FC Porto

41-30

+11

H18/02

LPB

FC Porto

38-44

-6

A04/03

LPB

Oliveirense

26-33

-7

H11/03

LPB

73.7Avg total

33.7Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	40.3	78.5	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	37.7	75.7	+0.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	42.6	81.0	-4.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	40.0	73.7	-6.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	36.8	68.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	35.2	42.2	77.4	-6.9	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.0	40.3	80.3	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.8	31.8	75.5	+12.0	75%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.8	39.7	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	21.4	42.4	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	48%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	23.8	19.8	43.7	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	14.0	36.5	+8.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.9	40.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.2	36.4	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.0	21.7	39.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	24.0	18.5	42.5	+5.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	14.2	36.2	+7.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.8	40.9	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.9	42.2	-1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	30.5	47.5	-13.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	18.9	36.5	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.2	23.3	44.5	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	41.5	80.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	40.2	79.6	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	43.0	81.9	-4.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	42.5	83.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.4	82.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	38.0	41.2	79.1	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	45.7	42.0	87.7	+3.7	83%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	44.5	84.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.6	79.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	42.4	86.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	37.1	73.8	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	39.7	77.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	41.4	78.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.1	40.6	77.6	-3.5	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	45.2	41.8	87.0	+3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.0	35.8	79.8	+8.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Ovarense wins

Date	Game	Score
04/02/23	Lusitania v Ovarense	88-81
19/11/22	Ovarense v Lusitania	84-81
23/01/22	Ovarense v Lusitania	79-66
09/10/21	Lusitania v Ovarense	79-77
27/02/21	Ovarense v Lusitania	87-97
07/11/20	Lusitania v Ovarense	75-69
01/12/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	76-70
16/05/19	Lusitania v Ovarense	77-86
11/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	86-69
09/05/19	Ovarense v Lusitania	68-63

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/23	H	Sporting CP	56-89
05/03/23	A	Oliveirense	69-73
01/03/23	H	CAB Madeira	85-81
15/02/23	H	FC Porto	82-78
11/02/23	A	CAB Madeira	80-69
07/02/23	H	Oliveirense	83-68
04/02/23	H	Ovarense	88-81
28/01/23	H	Sporting CP	96-99
21/01/23	A	Esgueira	92-84
14/01/23	H	Esgueira	85-73

Ovarenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/23	H	Oliveirense	72-73
04/03/23	A	FC Porto	74-96
18/02/23	H	FC Porto	71-67
14/02/23	A	Oliveirense	52-69
10/02/23	H	Benfica	76-86
04/02/23	A	Lusitania	81-88
28/01/23	H	Imortal	71-68
20/01/23	A	Sporting CP	71-95
15/01/23	H	Sporting CP	71-79
14/01/23	A	Benfica	77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	46%
Home	WWWWL	67%
Away	WLLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	67%	25%
Points / game	79.4	80.2	78.6
Allowed / game	83.8	80.0	87.6
Point differential	-4.4	+0.2	-9.0
Avg total	163.2	160.2	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	8%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	67% (6)	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Ovarense

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	50%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	77.8	83.5	72.1
Allowed / game	80.5	79.8	81.2
Point differential	-2.7	+3.8	-9.2
Avg total	158.3	163.2	153.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	25%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	80% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	24	20	4	83%	91.5	78.1	+13.4
2	Benfica	25	20	5	80%	91.6	76.0	+15.6
3	FC Porto	24	19	5	79%	87.2	76.1	+11.1
4	Oliveirense	25	15	10	60%	76.6	76.0	+0.6
5	Ovarense	24	12	12	50%	77.8	80.5	-2.7
6	CD Povoa	25	12	13	48%	74.1	74.8	-0.7
7	Lusitania	24	11	13	46%	79.4	83.8	-4.4
8	Imortal	25	10	15	40%	77.5	79.8	-2.4
9	Vitoria	25	10	15	40%	87.3	89.7	-2.4
10	Esgueira	25	10	15	40%	76.2	82.0	-5.8
11	CAB Madeira	25	8	17	32%	79.1	84.2	-5.1
12	Sangalhos	25	1	24	4%	70.1	86.7	-16.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	18	20	12	16	66
Ovarense	25	14	13	20	72

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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