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St. Francis (PA) vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-74
33-28 31-46
Position#359
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game90.6
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#84
Record4-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game83.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Francis (PA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Francis (PA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#368
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H06/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A18/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
66-102
66
102
-36
A04/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
63-104
63
104
-41
A07/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H12/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A19/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
57-94
57
94
-37
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-32
42-36
28-25
30-30
23-38
48-30
20-20
26-23
39-34
29-36
44-45
22-57
29-53
34-51
34-43
32-31
32-43
30-36
28-36
29-58
139.7Avg total
63.7Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)62.890.6153.4-27.80%
Season at home (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
Season away (4)62.094.8156.8-32.80%
Last 10 (10)63.776.0139.7-12.340%
Last 5 (5)62.890.6153.4-27.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)62.880.8143.5-18.023%
vs Similar (11)68.367.9136.2+0.436%
vs Weaker (5)87.069.8156.8+17.2100%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A21/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
A04/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
121-56
121
56
+65
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
A19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-43
53-38
27-35
30-41
42-34
45-53
36-23
28-38
57-27
64-29
25-27
38-47
49-51
36-43
38-38
51-51
29-29
39-39
36-30
32-45
169.7Avg total
86.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.883.9173.6+5.950%
Season at home (2)94.565.5160.0+29.050%
Season away (6)88.290.0178.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)86.982.8169.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)86.091.4177.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)73.173.6146.7-0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.668.1145.7+9.567%
This opponent (St. Francis (PA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.6-6.61st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.6-6.61st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: -0.8-0.8
St. Francis (PA)Troy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Francis (PA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#368
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H01/03
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H06/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
D
20-20
20
20
+0
A11/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H12/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A19/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A24/11
NCAA
67.2Avg total
30.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.668.5-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.830.468.2+7.367%-
Last 30 away (18)31.337.468.8-6.122%-
Last 10 (10)30.336.967.2-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.444.077.4-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.039.871.8-7.815%-
vs Similar (11)30.829.760.5+1.155%-
vs Weaker (5)42.433.876.2+8.660%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A21/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A04/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
38.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.530.966.4+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.629.470.0+11.283%-
Last 30 away (18)32.231.964.1+0.339%-
Last 10 (10)38.033.771.7+4.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.070.4+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)32.432.865.1-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.129.466.5+7.767%-
This opponent (St. Francis (PA)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Francis (PA) wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25ABelmont57-94
19/11/25ALehigh62-79
12/11/25HMount St. Mary's66-74
07/11/25ATCU63-104
04/11/25AOklahoma66-102
18/03/25AAlabama State68-70
11/03/25ACentral Connecticut State46-43
08/03/25ALIU Sharks71-68
06/03/25HWagner58-55
01/03/25HChicago State80-71 OT
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25HToledo68-75
21/11/25AUSC106-107 OT
19/11/25ASan Diego State108-107 OT
17/11/25ACS Northridge85-94
15/11/25ALoyola Marymount63-74
12/11/25HPensacola Christian121-56
08/11/25AFurman64-61
04/11/25AKent State103-97 OT
21/03/25AKentucky57-76
10/03/25HArkansas State94-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Francis (PA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.866.062.0
Allowed / game90.674.094.8
Point differential-27.8-8.0-32.8
Avg total153.4140.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game89.894.588.2
Allowed / game83.965.590.0
Point differential+5.9+29.0-1.8
Avg total173.6160.0178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %38%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State64267%79.771.5+8.2
2 LIU Sharks74357%73.079.7-6.7
3 New Haven Chargers84450%66.865.2+1.5
4 Mercyhurst Lakers73443%69.364.7+4.6
5 Stonehill73443%71.071.7-0.7
6 Le Moyne62433%76.777.7-1.0
7 Fairleigh Dickinson61517%72.882.5-9.7
8 Wagner5050%68.279.4-11.2
9 Chicago State7070%66.087.7-21.7
10 St. Francis (PA)5050%62.890.6-27.8
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall65183%84.078.0+6.0
2 Texas State86275%76.462.4+14.0
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 James Madison85362%78.175.6+2.5
5 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
6 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
7 Appalachian State74357%70.069.3+0.7
8 Arkansas State74357%78.682.1-3.6
9 Troy84450%89.883.9+5.9
10 Old Dominion83538%75.176.5-1.4
11 Georgia Southern83538%79.883.1-3.4
12 Georgia State71614%63.974.6-10.7
13 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
14 Louisiana Lafayette71614%58.775.9-17.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Francis (PA)333164
Troy284674
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