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St. Marys (CA) vs Portland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 78-57
42-27 36-30
Position#16
Record13-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#253
Record7-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game81.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v Portland
13 Jan 2027
ST. v PORT
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
ST. 78
PORT57
19 Feb 2025
ST. 79
PORT66
11 Jan 2024
ST. 95
PORT52
07 Jan 2023
ST. 85
PORT43
28 Jan 2021
ST. v PORT
upcoming
30 Jan 2020
ST. 86
PORT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Merced
#656
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
71-96
71
96
-25
A28/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-26
56-16
33-31
37-34
31-20
46-46
34-51
37-45
27-24
43-37
32-37
35-31
38-30
50-45
28-27
35-31
33-33
45-40
34-25
38-20
140.1Avg total
75.2Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.563.6142.1+14.987%
Season at home (9)83.360.7144.0+22.7100%
Season away (6)71.368.0139.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)75.264.9140.1+10.380%
Last 5 (5)73.663.8137.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.361.0123.3+1.367%
vs Similar (5)72.270.4142.6+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)74.062.0136.1+12.090%
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortlandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
L
80-86 OT
80
86
-6
H23/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H23/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A02/12
NCAA
Lewis &. Clark State
#412
W
104-87
104
87
+17
H06/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A22/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H28/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
37-34
34-36
32-40
42-35
51-38
31-51
41-43
53-45
51-42
39-36
49-42
41-51
28-43
23-36
38-43
23-32
39-35
44-40
41-52
160.6Avg total
78.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.681.6162.2-1.047%
Season at home (11)86.578.5165.0+7.964%
Season away (4)64.590.0154.5-25.50%
Last 10 (10)78.082.6160.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)73.082.0155.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.982.8156.7-8.835%
vs Similar (8)80.578.2158.8+2.262%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: -0.5-0.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +7.7+7.72nd half: -0.5-0.5
St. Marys (CA)Portland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Merced
#656
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A28/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A31/12
NCAA
63.4Avg total
33.0Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.829.764.5+5.177%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.228.765.9+8.588%-
Last 30 away (13)31.731.062.7+0.762%-
Last 10 (10)33.030.463.4+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.463.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.030.766.7+5.367%-
vs Similar (5)32.234.466.6-2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.028.663.6+6.481%-
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H23/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A02/12
NCAA
Lewis &. Clark State
#412
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H06/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H28/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/12
NCAA
75.9Avg total
36.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.876.4-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.237.977.1+1.358%-
Last 30 away (11)34.640.575.1-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.775.9-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.073.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.938.673.5-3.735%-
vs Similar (8)39.036.575.5+2.562%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Portland wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25APepperdine72-45
29/12/25ALoyola Marymount78-73
23/12/25HNorthern Iowa63-58
20/12/25HFlorida Atlantic88-75
14/12/25ABoise State67-68
07/12/25ADavidson70-61
28/11/25AVanderbilt71-96
27/11/25HVirginia Tech77-66
27/11/25AWichita State70-65
23/11/25HCalifornia Merced96-42
Portlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HSanta Clara85-92
28/12/25HWashington State62-67
22/12/25AUC Santa Barbara61-79
18/12/25AOregon69-94
14/12/25HKent State88-78
06/12/25HLewis &. Clark State104-87
02/12/25AStanford72-94
27/11/25HLong Beach State93-73
23/11/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)66-76
23/11/25HNorthern Colorado80-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %87%100%67%
Points / game78.583.371.3
Allowed / game63.660.768.0
Point differential+14.9+22.7+3.3
Avg total142.1144.0139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%89%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portland
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %47%64%0%
Points / game80.686.564.5
Allowed / game81.678.590.0
Point differential-1.0+7.9-25.5
Avg total162.2165.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga1615194%92.268.6+23.6
2 St. Marys (CA)1513287%78.563.6+14.9
3 Seattle1612475%78.366.7+11.6
4 Santa Clara1511473%81.570.9+10.5
5 Loyola Marymount1610662%78.667.9+10.7
6 San Francisco159660%75.368.5+6.7
7 Pacific159660%74.568.2+6.3
8 Oregon State158753%72.474.0-1.6
9 Portland157847%80.681.6-1.0
10 Washington State167944%74.475.8-1.4
11 San Diego Toreros146843%74.476.9-2.6
12 Pepperdine1551033%71.375.2-3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)423678
Portland273057
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