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St. Marys (CA) vs Portland Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#105
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#268
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game93.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v Portland
13 Jan 2027
ST. v PORT
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
ST. 78
PORT57
19 Feb 2025
ST. 79
PORT66
11 Jan 2024
ST. 95
PORT52
07 Jan 2023
ST. 85
PORT43
28 Jan 2021
ST. v PORT
upcoming
30 Jan 2020
ST. 86
PORT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Portland win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H26/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H19/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
W
105-64
105
64
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Nevada
#212
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
37-42
40-39
43-28
42-36
44-31
29-36
41-23
35-32
36-44
26-37
24-26
33-39
44-38
45-26
60-38
35-42
44-37
42-24
42-37
151.4Avg total
80.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.576.5170.0+17.075%
Season at home (3)93.070.0163.0+23.0100%
Season away (1)95.096.0191.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)80.670.8151.4+9.870%
Last 5 (5)84.873.8158.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.566.0133.5+1.550%
vs Similar (5)73.272.4145.6+0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.766.5146.2+13.287%
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortlandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#9
L
48-89
48
89
-41
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H28/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A07/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A08/03
NCAA
Willamette
#468
W
133-89
133
89
+44
H03/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#80
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#347
L
56-130
56
130
-74
H09/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#102
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A10/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#140
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-36
27-53
32-36
55-38
44-38
33-30
25-29
49-39
29-29
36-53
72-30
61-59
43-46
42-43
30-60
26-70
40-36
33-30
36-31
33-38
163.5Avg total
78.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.093.6180.6-6.640%
Season at home (4)90.5100.5191.0-10.025%
Season away (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.684.9163.5-6.350%
Last 5 (5)87.093.6180.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.577.6148.2-7.135%
vs Similar (10)73.378.4151.7-5.140%
vs Weaker (1)56.0130.0186.0-74.00%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -5.8-5.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -5.8-5.8
St. Marys (CA)Portland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H26/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H19/03
NCAA
Illinois State
#301
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#292
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H05/11
NCAA
Nevada
#212
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#111
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H14/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
36.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.068.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.130.868.9+7.376%-
Last 30 away (13)33.933.667.5+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.970.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.669.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.535.068.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)35.635.070.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)36.731.167.8+5.670%-
This opponent (Portland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#9
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A26/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A07/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Willamette
#468
W
72-30
72
30
+42
H03/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#80
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#347
L
30-60
30
60
-30
H09/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#102
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#140
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/11
NCAA
74.3Avg total
37.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.036.671.5-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.738.177.8+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)29.634.964.4-5.329%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.174.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.684.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.534.266.7-1.647%-
vs Similar (10)34.138.172.2-4.030%-
vs Weaker (1)30.060.090.0-30.00%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Portland wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllinois (Chi.)84-61
08/11/26ANevada95-96 OT
05/11/26HNorth Dakota St105-64
03/11/26HIllinois State90-85 OT
19/03/26HTexas A&M50-63
10/03/26HSanta Clara71-76
01/03/26HGonzaga70-59
26/02/26HSanta Clara86-67
22/02/26AWashington State83-67
19/02/26ASeattle72-70
Portlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEast Texas A&M88-94 OT
10/11/26AHawaii73-66
09/11/26HBethesda56-130
07/11/26HUT Arlington85-89
03/11/26HWillamette133-89
08/03/26ASan Francisco65-82
07/03/26AWashington State74-68
06/03/26HPepperdine77-68
28/02/26HSan Diego Toreros87-74
26/02/26AGonzaga48-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.593.095.0
Allowed / game76.570.096.0
Point differential+17.0+23.0-1.0
Avg total170.0163.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%33%100%
Portland
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%25%100%
Points / game87.090.573.0
Allowed / game93.6100.566.0
Point differential-6.6-10.0+7.0
Avg total180.6191.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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