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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs Denver Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-88
43-37 49-51
Position#42
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game70.1
St. Thomas (Minn.) 🏆
USA
vs
Denver
USA
Position#239
Record8-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game84.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver
04 Jan 2026
ST. 92
DENV88
06 Mar 2025
ST. 80
DENV62
18 Jan 2025
ST. 74
DENV62
02 Mar 2024
ST. 83
DENV58
05 Jan 2023
ST. 81
DENV71
24 Feb 2022
ST. 80
DENV91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H22/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A23/11
NCAA
Lawrence University Vikings
#510
W
87-52
87
52
+35
H30/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H12/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/12
NCAA
North Central Rams
#600
W
105-59
105
59
+46
H28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
44-36
37-33
43-55
36-34
40-32
41-20
46-32
37-40
37-42
47-23
41-42
35-31
45-25
46-25
34-34
41-38
51-40
55-36
50-23
151.2Avg total
83.5Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.770.1150.8+10.773%
Season at home (8)86.064.9150.9+21.1100%
Season away (7)74.776.0150.7-1.343%
Last 10 (10)83.567.7151.2+15.880%
Last 5 (5)89.063.4152.4+25.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)72.771.3144.0+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)80.273.9154.1+6.468%
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
59-101
59
101
-42
A27/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#515
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Alaska-Anchorage
#514
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H12/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
86-105
86
105
-19
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado Springs
#516
W
129-93
129
93
+36
H17/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A22/12
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
32-64
48-43
45-46
37-43
42-50
46-29
49-30
45-31
52-30
28-51
58-54
60-38
69-55
40-40
46-39
38-42
47-48
41-28
46-46
174.0Avg total
89.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.384.6168.9-0.250%
Season at home (7)95.180.7175.9+14.471%
Season away (9)75.987.6163.4-11.733%
Last 10 (10)89.684.4174.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)94.688.2182.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.280.0151.2-8.828%
vs Similar (7)76.780.4157.1-3.757%
vs Weaker (3)87.072.3159.3+14.767%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
St. Thomas (Minn.)Denver
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H22/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Lawrence University Vikings
#510
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H07/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/12
NCAA
North Central Rams
#600
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H28/12
NCAA
72.0Avg total
40.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.433.072.4+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.530.873.3+11.788%-
Last 30 away (14)35.935.571.4+0.464%-
Last 10 (10)40.431.672.0+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.830.675.4+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.832.067.8+3.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.633.773.4+5.973%-
This opponent (Denver) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A27/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#515
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H10/12
NCAA
Alaska-Anchorage
#514
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H12/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado Springs
#516
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H17/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A22/12
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H31/12
NCAA
79.2Avg total
41.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.871.8-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.735.272.9+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)32.838.170.9-5.419%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.279.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.738.370.9-5.622%-
vs Similar (7)34.935.970.7-1.057%-
vs Weaker (3)38.331.369.7+7.067%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
3
Denver wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver80-62
08/02/25Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)76-79
19/01/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver74-62
03/03/24St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver83-58
10/02/24Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)94-77
04/02/23Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)57-68
06/01/23St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver81-71
25/02/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v Denver80-91
22/12/21Denver v St. Thomas (Minn.)75-74
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HNorth Central Rams105-59
21/12/25HUC Riverside92-78
13/12/25AUNC Asheville80-59
12/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)80-56
07/12/25HWeber State88-65
04/12/25AMontana State74-82
30/11/25HLawrence University Vikings87-52
23/11/25APortland76-66
22/11/25ACS Fullerton80-88
22/11/25HNorthern Colorado73-72
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HUMKC87-74
22/12/25ATulsa85-90
20/12/25ANorthern Colorado86-79
17/12/25HColorado Springs129-93
13/12/25HCS Fullerton86-105
12/12/25HAlaska-Anchorage97-61
10/12/25HColorado Christian95-59
06/12/25AIdaho State79-93
04/12/25HEast. Washington93-89
27/11/25AWyoming59-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%100%43%
Points / game80.786.074.7
Allowed / game70.164.976.0
Point differential+10.7+21.1-1.3
Avg total150.8150.9150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%71%33%
Points / game84.395.175.9
Allowed / game84.680.787.6
Point differential-0.2+14.4-11.7
Avg total168.9175.9163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1511473%80.770.1+10.7
2 North Dakota St1712571%80.970.1+10.9
3 South Dakota Coyotes168850%82.182.2-0.1
4 Denver168850%84.384.6-0.2
5 South Dakota St.178947%76.072.0+4.0
6 North Dakota1881044%75.375.1+0.2
7 Nebraska O.1771041%76.177.6-1.5
8 Oral Roberts1751229%73.176.4-3.3
9 UMKC1641225%71.881.4-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)434992
Denver375188
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