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Stanford vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 66-78
34-38 32-40
Position#103
Record14-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.2
Stanford
USA
vs
California 🏆
USA
Position#79
Record14-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stanford v California
24 Jan 2026
STAN66
CALI78
12 Mar 2025
STAN78
CALI73
22 Feb 2025
STAN66
CALI61
07 Mar 2024
STAN80
CALI58
28 Jan 2023
STAN75
CALI46
01 Feb 2022
STAN57
CALI50
10 Mar 2021
STAN58
CALI76
07 Feb 2021
STAN76
CALI70
11 Mar 2020
STAN51
CALI63
02 Jan 2020
STAN68
CALI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stanford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A10/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
50-80
50
80
-30
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
42-46
40-25
36-35
33-35
44-33
33-38
55-42
17-22
23-25
35-34
45-42
24-31
45-37
34-41
21-29
45-47
50-43
19-35
31-45
143.7Avg total
71.6Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.572.2148.6+4.374%
Season at home (13)78.272.2150.3+6.069%
Season away (6)72.872.2145.0+0.783%
Last 10 (10)71.672.1143.7-0.570%
Last 5 (5)69.876.8146.6-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.178.9148.0-9.844%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.869.2143.0+4.667%
vs Weaker (5)78.265.4143.6+12.880%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dominican Penguins
#431
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H10/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
97-50
97
50
+47
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
65-40
37-37
42-33
50-23
47-27
28-16
46-40
34-48
36-42
27-31
45-40
33-43
27-41
37-37
38-41
30-37
26-34
54-37
30-41
147.9Avg total
76.0Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.870.5149.3+8.374%
Season at home (16)79.167.4146.5+11.888%
Season away (3)77.087.0164.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)76.071.9147.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)69.476.4145.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.781.5146.2-16.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.973.9152.7+5.057%
vs Weaker (10)84.368.8153.1+15.590%
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
StanfordCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A14/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A10/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H17/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.167.4+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.631.768.3+4.974%-
Last 30 away (11)30.135.665.7-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)32.434.466.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.437.669.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.239.472.7-6.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.931.864.7+1.160%-
vs Weaker (5)37.826.664.4+11.280%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dominican Penguins
#431
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H20/12
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/01
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.368.7+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.431.968.3+4.460%-
Last 30 away (10)30.539.069.5-8.50%-
Last 10 (10)35.834.069.8+1.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.073.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.241.570.7-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.432.166.6+2.343%-
vs Weaker (10)37.533.070.5+4.560%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Stanford wins
3
California wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Stanford v California78-73
23/02/25Stanford v California66-61
07/12/24California v Stanford81-89
14/03/24California v Stanford76-87 OT
08/03/24Stanford v California80-58
27/01/24California v Stanford73-71
29/01/23Stanford v California75-46
07/01/23California v Stanford92-70
27/02/22California v Stanford53-39
02/02/22Stanford v California57-50
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HDuke50-80
15/01/26HNorth Carolina95-90
10/01/26AVirginia55-70
08/01/26AVirginia Tech69-68
03/01/26HLouisville80-76
31/12/25HNotre Dame40-47
28/12/25HCS Northridge88-80
21/12/25AColorado77-68
18/12/25HUT Arlington76-60
14/12/25ASan Jose State86-82
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HNorth Carolina84-78
15/01/26HDuke56-71
10/01/26AVirginia Tech75-78
08/01/26AVirginia60-84
03/01/26HNotre Dame72-71
31/12/25HLouisville70-90
21/12/25HColumbia74-56
20/12/25HMorgan State97-50
13/12/25HNorthwestern St.79-70
10/12/25HDominican Penguins93-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stanford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL74%
HomeWLWWL69%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %74%69%83%
Points / game76.578.272.8
Allowed / game72.272.272.2
Point differential+4.3+6.0+0.7
Avg total148.6150.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
California
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW74%
HomeWLWLW88%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19163
Win %74%88%0%
Points / game78.879.177.0
Allowed / game70.567.487.0
Point differential+8.3+11.8-10.0
Avg total149.3146.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1918195%85.765.3+20.5
2 Clemson2117481%77.165.1+12.0
3 Miami (FL)2016480%85.069.3+15.7
4 North Carolina2016480%82.570.0+12.5
5 Virginia2016480%82.369.9+12.4
6 SMU Mustangs2015575%87.277.0+10.2
7 Louisville1914574%87.869.6+18.2
8 California1914574%78.870.5+8.3
9 Stanford1914574%76.572.2+4.3
10 Virginia Tech2115671%81.574.6+6.9
11 NC State2014670%85.371.8+13.4
12 Syracuse2012860%75.769.0+6.7
13 Wake Forest2011955%80.376.5+3.8
14 Notre Dame2011955%72.970.1+2.8
15 Georgia Tech2011955%75.073.2+1.7
16 Boston College2091145%68.268.2+0.1
17 Pittsburgh2081240%72.771.2+1.4
18 Florida State2081240%81.380.5+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stanford343266
California384078
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