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Stanford vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 88-65
40-30 48-35
Position#127
Record10-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#230
Record8-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game61.3
Allowed / game62.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stanford v Virginia
06 Jan 2027
STAN v VIRG
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
STAN88
VIRG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stanford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#103
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H27/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H01/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H04/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H18/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H22/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A01/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
44-32
33-32
38-46
43-34
47-63
38-26
39-37
47-31
42-50
39-30
35-38
19-36
42-40
41-43
30-42
30-38
38-45
25-30
45-29
150.1Avg total
74.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.471.1147.5+5.367%
Season at home (11)77.068.0145.0+9.073%
Season away (4)74.879.5154.2-4.850%
Last 10 (10)74.275.9150.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)68.874.2143.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.176.2145.3-7.130%
vs Similar (15)78.476.9155.3+1.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.060.2137.2+16.8100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#150
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#284
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H29/11
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A05/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H22/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
50-70
50
70
-20
H04/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
36-34
34-21
33-20
35-39
34-48
28-30
23-33
18-21
41-20
30-21
32-43
32-28
31-30
29-39
41-28
27-32
23-38
32-35
29-40
125.7Avg total
62.6Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)61.362.4123.7-1.153%
Season at home (10)62.758.7121.4+4.070%
Season away (5)58.669.8128.4-11.220%
Last 10 (10)62.663.1125.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)61.266.8128.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)54.666.1120.7-11.523%
vs Similar (13)64.961.7126.6+3.277%
vs Weaker (4)67.051.8118.8+15.2100%
This opponent (Stanford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -1.1-1.1
StanfordVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#103
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H04/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A07/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H22/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H09/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.370.4+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.730.667.4+6.171%-
Last 30 away (13)35.439.074.4-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.767.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.466.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.137.572.6-2.450%-
vs Similar (15)38.034.572.5+3.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)32.627.059.6+5.660%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#150
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H27/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
18-21
18
21
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/12
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H04/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/01
NCAA
60.0Avg total
30.3Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.827.756.5+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (19)28.726.955.7+1.847%-
Last 30 away (11)28.829.157.9-0.345%-
Last 10 (10)30.329.760.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.031.061.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)25.629.655.2-4.023%-
vs Similar (13)29.328.557.8+0.854%-
vs Weaker (4)37.219.056.2+18.2100%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stanford wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HVirginia Tech70-59
04/01/25APittsburgh68-83
01/01/25AClemson71-85
22/12/24HOregon61-76
18/12/24HMerrimack Warriors74-68
07/12/24ACalifornia89-81
04/12/24HUtah Valley State77-63
01/12/24HCal Poly90-97
27/11/24HGrand Canyon71-78
24/11/24ASanta Clara71-69
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25ACalifornia61-75
04/01/25HLouisville50-70
31/12/24HNC State70-67
22/12/24HAmerican University63-58
19/12/24HMemphis62-64
13/12/24HBethune-Cookman59-41
07/12/24ASMU Mustangs51-63
05/12/24AFlorida69-87
29/11/24HHoly Cross67-41
27/11/24HManhattan74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stanford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW67%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %67%73%50%
Points / game76.477.074.8
Allowed / game71.168.079.5
Point differential+5.3+9.0-4.8
Avg total147.5145.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL53%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %53%70%20%
Points / game61.362.758.6
Allowed / game62.458.769.8
Point differential-1.1+4.0-11.2
Avg total123.7121.4128.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1614288%80.459.6+20.8
2 Clemson1713476%77.666.7+10.9
3 Pittsburgh1612475%81.469.7+11.7
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%84.172.7+11.4
5 Wake Forest1511473%69.164.9+4.1
6 Louisville1712571%77.870.2+7.6
7 Florida State1611569%77.869.7+8.1
8 Stanford1510567%76.471.1+5.3
9 North Carolina1610662%84.478.4+6.0
10 NC State159660%72.366.7+5.6
11 Boston College169756%71.272.8-1.5
12 California158753%77.675.8+1.8
13 Virginia158753%61.362.4-1.1
14 Georgia Tech168850%75.971.9+4.0
15 Syracuse168850%75.977.6-1.8
16 Notre Dame167944%75.171.5+3.6
17 Virginia Tech156940%70.373.3-2.9
18 Miami (FL)1541127%77.575.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stanford404888
Virginia303565
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