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Stephen F. Austin vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 56-46
28-19 28-27
Position#12
Record13-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game65.1
vs
Position#287
Record8-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v Incarnate Word
12 Jan 2026
STEP56
INCA46
04 Jan 2025
STEP49
INCA55
18 Jan 2020
STEP80
INCA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A29/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#587
W
103-55
103
55
+48
H21/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
75-48
75
48
+27
A30/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A31/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A03/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-26
28-40
29-26
44-34
47-37
49-39
25-34
44-26
51-22
52-33
39-30
36-18
37-31
37-33
37-31
36-32
38-34
26-32
43-28
42-39
139.8Avg total
77.3Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.065.1144.1+13.981%
Season at home (8)86.965.6152.5+21.2100%
Season away (8)71.164.5135.6+6.662%
Last 10 (10)77.362.5139.8+14.880%
Last 5 (5)74.261.6135.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.576.2143.8-8.825%
vs Similar (4)61.065.8126.8-4.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.866.5145.3+12.488%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
117-55
117
55
+62
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A09/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
65-23
52-32
34-32
37-35
33-34
34-40
26-38
57-46
37-31
28-38
39-33
51-33
39-32
40-38
36-32
37-24
29-44
38-36
19-28
32-35
144.7Avg total
76.3Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.272.1151.3+7.250%
Season at home (8)91.265.6156.9+25.6100%
Season away (8)67.278.5145.8-11.20%
Last 10 (10)76.368.4144.7+7.950%
Last 5 (5)72.067.0139.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.076.2142.2-10.212%
vs Similar (10)66.771.3138.0-4.630%
vs Weaker (12)85.064.5149.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
Stephen F. AustinIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A29/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H18/12
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#587
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H21/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A30/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A31/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A06/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H10/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
37.9Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.068.8+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.732.670.3+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)34.033.367.3+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)37.929.967.8+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)38.830.869.6+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.537.970.4-5.425%-
vs Similar (4)30.828.859.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.431.568.9+5.982%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
65-23
65
23
+42
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A11/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
35.7Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.167.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.231.872.0+8.585%-
Last 30 away (17)29.434.163.5-4.824%-
Last 10 (10)35.732.768.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.433.866.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.836.566.2-6.838%-
vs Similar (10)29.332.061.3-2.720%-
vs Weaker (12)40.931.872.7+9.283%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stephen F. Austin wins
2
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HHouston Christian85-67
06/01/26AMcNeese State64-66
03/01/26ASE Louisiana73-63
31/12/25ANorthwestern St.74-64
30/12/25AEast Texas A&M75-48
21/12/25HDallas Univ.103-55
18/12/25HTexas A&M-CC69-60
07/12/25HLouisiana Monroe96-76
04/12/25HUTRGV73-60
29/11/25AUT Arlington61-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ALamar51-63
06/01/26AUTRGV67-80
03/01/26HHouston Christian73-56
30/12/25HSE Louisiana79-70
21/12/25HNorthern Arizona90-66
16/12/25ATCU65-69
09/12/25ANew Orleans83-84
06/12/25ANicholls State67-74
02/12/25HMcNeese State71-67
26/11/25HTexas Lutheran117-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%100%62%
Points / game79.086.971.1
Allowed / game65.165.664.5
Point differential+13.9+21.2+6.6
Avg total144.1152.5135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%88%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.291.267.2
Allowed / game72.165.678.5
Point differential+7.2+25.6-11.2
Avg total151.3156.9145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1613381%84.268.4+15.9
2 Stephen F. Austin1613381%79.065.1+13.9
3 Texas A&M-CC168850%76.068.2+7.8
4 Incarnate Word168850%79.272.1+7.2
5 Lamar168850%70.867.1+3.6
6 Nicholls State168850%76.475.2+1.1
7 UTRGV145936%74.370.6+3.7
8 New Orleans1761135%75.881.4-5.6
9 SE Louisiana1651131%65.169.4-4.4
10 Northwestern St.1651131%72.978.0-5.1
11 Houston Christian1651131%69.175.4-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin282856
Incarnate Word192746
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