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Stephen F. Austin vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 66-68
34-34 32-34
Position#175
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#42
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game63.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v Tarleton
29 Nov 2023
STEP66
TARL68
15 Feb 2023
STEP65
TARL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
59-64 OT
59
64
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
69-113
69
113
-44
A04/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
H08/03
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
62-67 OT
62
67
-5
A10/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
96-70
96
70
+26
A14/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
49-79
49
79
-30
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-24
48-34
21-27
33-27
36-55
33-58
28-31
34-31
54-22
42-46
31-22
23-32
48-36
48-34
33-39
53-37
38-32
54-36
26-32
23-47
150.8Avg total
76.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.271.3151.5+8.867%
Season at home (4)80.872.8153.5+8.075%
Season away (2)79.068.5147.5+10.550%
Last 10 (10)76.574.3150.8+2.250%
Last 5 (5)77.072.0149.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.871.8139.5-4.025%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.075.7150.7-0.760%
vs Weaker (16)79.866.8146.6+13.075%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#333
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
L
70-72 OT
70
72
-2
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
50-80
50
80
-30
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
93-52
93
52
+41
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
0-0
31-28
0-0
43-42
0-0
27-34
0-0
31-38
0-0
37-33
0-0
27-31
0-0
19-43
0-0
31-37
0-0
44-38
0-0
38-27
0-0
49-32
0-0
44-20
0-0
33-46
0-0
30-40
0-0
37-35
0-0
29-24
0-0
29-24
0-0
30-16
123.1Avg total
63.5Scored
59.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.863.7132.5+5.267%
Season at home (2)76.046.0122.0+30.0100%
Season away (4)65.272.5137.8-7.250%
Last 10 (10)63.559.6123.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)72.660.4133.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.567.2132.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.471.6138.0-5.144%
vs Weaker (9)76.749.8126.4+26.9100%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.1+3.1
Stephen F. AustinTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H27/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
21-27
21
27
-6
H02/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A04/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H08/03
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H06/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A10/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H19/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H22/11
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.7Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.167.5+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.827.964.7+8.871%-
Last 30 away (13)35.935.371.2+0.654%-
Last 10 (10)34.732.066.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.267.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.531.863.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.035.869.8-1.840%-
vs Weaker (16)39.128.167.2+11.181%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#217
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H19/03
CBI
Virginia
#66
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/11
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#499
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.930.564.3+3.462%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.126.863.9+10.387%-
Last 30 away (14)30.434.464.8-4.136%-
Last 10 (9)34.034.868.8-0.867%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.073.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.233.061.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.532.064.5+0.556%-
vs Weaker (8)39.025.964.9+13.188%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Stephen F. Austin wins
1
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
16/02/23Stephen F. Austin v Tarleton65-60
09/01/22Tarleton v Stephen F. Austin77-71 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HUtah State49-79
20/11/23HDrake92-68
19/11/23HLoyola Marymount86-76
14/11/23ANorthwestern St.96-70
10/11/23AMiddle Tenn. St.62-67 OT
06/11/23HNorth American Stallions96-68
08/03/23HUtah Tech76-80 OT
04/03/23AUtah Valley State69-113
02/03/23HSam Houston St.59-64 OT
27/02/23HCalifornia Baptist80-58
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HCSU Bakersfield59-40
20/11/23AAustin Peay66-59
15/11/23ABradley63-86
12/11/23HNorth Texas-Dallas93-52
10/11/23AFlorida International82-65
07/11/23AVirginia50-80
19/03/23HRadford70-72 OT
10/03/23AUtah Valley State58-72
08/03/23HUTRGV74-70
04/03/23HNew Mexico State20-0

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game80.280.879.0
Allowed / game71.372.868.5
Point differential+8.8+8.0+10.5
Avg total151.5153.5147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%50%
Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game68.876.065.2
Allowed / game63.746.072.5
Point differential+5.2+30.0-7.2
Avg total132.5122.0137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State86275%79.958.8+21.1
2 Stephen F. Austin64267%80.271.3+8.8
3 Lamar74357%83.776.0+7.7
4 New Orleans63350%82.075.5+6.5
5 Incarnate Word73443%77.677.1+0.4
6 Nicholls State83538%75.580.4-4.9
7 TX A&M Commerce83538%68.174.0-5.9
8 Texas A&M-CC62433%78.369.5+8.8
9 SE Louisiana72529%73.977.3-3.4
10 UTRGV72529%73.980.1-6.3
11 Northwestern St.71614%75.178.3-3.1
12 Houston Christian5050%70.695.0-24.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist65183%69.861.3+8.5
2 Tarleton64267%68.863.7+5.2
3 Utah Valley State64267%70.066.5+3.5
4 UT Arlington63350%75.776.7-1.0
5 Abilene Christian63350%67.870.8-3.0
6 Utah Tech63350%70.876.5-5.7
7 Southern Utah52340%78.274.6+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin343266
Tarleton343468
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