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Stephen F. Austin vs UT Arlington Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#86
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game61.2
vs
Position#77
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v UT Arlington
09 Dec 2026
STEP v UT A
upcoming
06 Jan 2024
STEP92
UT A73
18 Feb 2023
STEP70
UT A75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H21/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H24/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A28/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H11/03
NCAA
Lyon
#518
W
120-61
120
61
+59
H03/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#513
W
89-32
89
32
+57
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#296
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#211
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
42-44
23-31
50-46
42-16
35-40
28-26
48-42
32-39
28-19
25-42
34-34
62-26
58-35
46-17
43-15
35-29
41-42
30-39
42-33
144.7Avg total
78.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.861.2152.0+29.575%
Season at home (3)95.758.0153.7+37.767%
Season away (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.965.8144.7+13.170%
Last 5 (5)84.464.2148.6+20.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)63.367.3130.7-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)77.365.8143.0+11.592%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A27/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A14/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#426
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H03/11
NCAA
Portland
#272
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A07/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#104
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A09/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#347
W
116-65
116
65
+51
A10/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#216
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-40
29-28
29-28
36-32
25-33
39-24
29-24
40-39
29-33
36-34
42-22
47-34
46-43
43-42
27-27
35-44
57-32
59-33
45-24
40-53
142.9Avg total
76.0Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.270.8159.0+17.480%
Season at home (2)87.066.5153.5+20.5100%
Season away (3)89.073.7162.7+15.367%
Last 10 (10)76.066.9142.9+9.170%
Last 5 (5)88.270.8159.0+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.872.2136.0-8.420%
vs Similar (13)64.766.8131.5-2.146%
vs Weaker (11)79.669.0148.6+10.682%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +4.1+4.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +4.1+4.1
Stephen F. AustinUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
42-16
42
16
+26
A28/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H11/03
NCAA
Lyon
#518
W
62-26
62
26
+36
H03/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#513
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#296
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Rice
#211
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H14/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
36.2Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.529.166.6+8.480%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.729.867.4+7.972%-
Last 30 away (12)37.228.265.4+9.192%-
Last 10 (10)36.229.966.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.670.2+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)31.331.763.0-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.929.466.4+7.580%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A14/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#426
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Portland
#272
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#104
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A09/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#347
W
57-32
57
32
+25
A10/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#216
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H15/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
35.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.931.263.0+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.827.860.7+5.062%-
Last 30 away (17)31.133.764.8-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)35.630.666.2+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.429.673.0+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.236.265.4-7.020%-
vs Similar (13)27.430.658.0-3.238%-
vs Weaker (11)37.530.467.8+7.173%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Stephen F. Austin wins
4
UT Arlington wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRice78-81 OT
12/11/26AAbilene Christian76-71
07/11/26HTexas Lutheran89-32
03/11/26HLyon120-61
11/03/26HMcNeese State59-76
10/03/26HTexas A&M-CC60-58
03/03/26AIncarnate Word76-68
28/02/26AHouston Christian77-56
24/02/26HNew Orleans73-77
21/02/26HNicholls State81-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUTRGV85-77
10/11/26ABethesda116-65
09/11/26AHawaii62-71
07/11/26APortland89-85
03/11/26HNorth Texas-Dallas89-56
14/03/26AUtah Valley State65-67
13/03/26HSouthern Utah69-63
08/03/26AAbilene Christian64-57
06/03/26ATarleton65-60
27/02/26ACalifornia Baptist56-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game90.895.776.0
Allowed / game61.258.071.0
Point differential+29.5+37.7+5.0
Avg total152.0153.7147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game88.287.089.0
Allowed / game70.866.573.7
Point differential+17.4+20.5+15.3
Avg total159.0153.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State330100%86.075.7+10.3
2 UT Arlington54180%88.270.8+17.4
3 Tarleton43175%81.270.5+10.8
4 Southern Utah53260%96.869.6+27.2
5 Abilene Christian31233%71.083.7-12.7
6 Utah Tech41325%80.587.2-6.8
7 California Baptist41325%66.877.0-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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