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Tarleton vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 60-65
0-0 28-29 0-0 32-36
Position#255
Record14-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#150
Record15-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tarleton v UT Arlington
05 Mar 2026
TARL60
UT A65
04 Jan 2025
TARL77
UT A74
15 Mar 2024
TARL84
UT A87
04 Jan 2024
TARL78
UT A76
29 Dec 2022
TARL70
UT A63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
L
55-83
55
83
-28
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A27/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-35
0-0
23-48
0-0
30-29
0-0
29-36
0-0
30-28
0-0
25-28
0-0
33-34
0-0
29-25
0-0
32-26
0-0
27-47
0-0
22-26
0-0
36-32
0-0
44-36
0-0
34-38
0-0
32-32
0-0
40-48
0-0
28-35
0-0
44-44
0-0
29-40
0-0
38-42
135.7Avg total
64.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.973.3148.2+1.647%
Season at home (15)78.069.1147.1+8.967%
Season away (15)71.877.6149.4-5.827%
Last 10 (10)64.471.3135.7-6.930%
Last 5 (5)70.875.4146.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.286.5157.7-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.273.1143.3-2.940%
vs Weaker (6)88.368.5156.8+19.883%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H30/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
77-87 OT
77
87
-10
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A07/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H21/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
20-24
0-0
51-40
0-0
45-23
0-0
35-38
0-0
31-35
0-0
37-33
0-0
34-33
0-0
38-39
0-0
31-42
0-0
29-39
0-0
27-24
0-0
36-43
0-0
29-34
0-0
44-44
0-0
33-26
0-0
30-24
0-0
32-27
0-0
22-39
0-0
27-40
0-0
29-28
139.0Avg total
68.1Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.667.4138.0+3.254%
Season at home (13)74.462.2136.6+12.269%
Season away (15)67.371.9139.2-4.540%
Last 10 (10)68.170.9139.0-2.830%
Last 5 (5)61.865.8127.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.277.7141.8-13.517%
vs Similar ◀ (15)66.066.7132.7-0.747%
vs Weaker (8)81.868.6150.4+13.175%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
TarletonUT Arlington
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H31/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A27/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A01/03
NCAA
63.3Avg total
31.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.770.8+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.532.170.7+6.460%-
Last 30 away (15)33.737.270.9-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.163.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)31.033.864.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.841.276.0-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.132.264.3-0.153%-
vs Weaker (6)45.337.783.0+7.767%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H22/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H30/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A06/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A07/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A13/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H21/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A27/02
NCAA
61.7Avg total
30.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.431.462.8+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.427.862.2+6.562%-
Last 30 away (17)29.134.163.2-4.941%-
Last 10 (10)30.930.861.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)29.630.259.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.037.565.5-9.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)28.530.659.1-2.147%-
vs Weaker (8)37.630.468.0+7.275%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tarleton wins
3
UT Arlington wins
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26ACalifornia Baptist67-82
27/02/26AUtah Valley State72-79
21/02/26HUtah Tech72-80
20/02/26HSouthern Utah78-74
17/02/26HAbilene Christian65-62 OT
14/02/26AAbilene Christian59-73
08/02/26ASouthern Utah62-59
06/02/26ACalifornia Baptist55-56
31/01/26HUtah Tech59-65
30/01/26HUtah Valley State55-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ACalifornia Baptist56-68
21/02/26HUtah Valley State54-66
20/02/26HUtah Tech63-50
14/02/26HSouthern Utah73-78
13/02/26AAbilene Christian63-67
07/02/26AUtah Valley State60-81
06/02/26AUtah Tech84-87 OT
31/01/26HCalifornia Baptist77-87 OT
30/01/26HSouthern Utah80-61
22/01/26HTarleton71-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %47%67%27%
Points / game74.978.071.8
Allowed / game73.369.177.6
Point differential+1.6+8.9-5.8
Avg total148.2147.1149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %10%13%7%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL54%
HomeWLLWL69%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %54%69%40%
Points / game70.674.467.3
Allowed / game67.462.271.9
Point differential+3.2+12.2-4.5
Avg total138.0136.6139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%54%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2922776%80.167.0+13.1
2 California Baptist2921872%72.168.1+4.1
3 Utah Tech31181358%76.173.7+2.4
4 UT Arlington28151354%70.667.4+3.2
5 Tarleton30141647%74.973.3+1.6
6 Abilene Christian29131645%71.071.7-0.8
7 Southern Utah29101934%76.479.3-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tarleton02803260
UT Arlington02903665
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