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UTRGV vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 57-55
26-27 31-28
Position#186
Record10-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game71.8
UTRGV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#363
Record2-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#335
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H26/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
52-84
52
84
-32
H07/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H19/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#555
W
106-56
106
56
+50
H21/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
88-44
88
44
+44
H31/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A04/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
56-46
24-22
44-43
23-46
29-38
41-31
31-29
34-28
44-45
43-23
63-33
44-18
44-26
43-30
33-34
38-36
37-43
26-41
48-38
146.7Avg total
78.6Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.471.8153.1+9.662%
Season at home (9)83.864.1147.9+19.789%
Season away (7)78.381.6159.9-3.329%
Last 10 (10)78.668.1146.7+10.570%
Last 5 (5)83.864.4148.2+19.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.680.4146.1-14.80%
vs Similar (6)69.784.8154.5-15.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.463.3149.7+23.1100%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#225
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
33-37
26-36
31-41
31-45
48-38
25-39
28-26
32-38
40-43
20-27
48-40
26-49
36-39
23-41
33-34
24-38
37-45
24-38
43-37
140.1Avg total
64.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)63.678.8142.4-15.212%
Season at home (6)64.075.2139.2-11.233%
Season away (10)63.381.0144.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)64.076.1140.1-12.110%
Last 5 (5)62.877.6140.4-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)61.978.2140.1-16.310%
vs Similar (9)71.474.6146.0-3.156%
vs Weaker (1)98.085.0183.0+13.0100%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: -11.8-11.82nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -0.3-0.3
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: -11.8-11.82nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -0.3-0.3
UTRGVTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#335
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H07/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H19/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#555
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H31/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A04/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A11/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
35.7Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.769.6+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.630.365.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)34.139.173.3-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)35.730.666.3+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.829.668.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.937.468.3-6.621%-
vs Similar (6)35.340.275.5-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.227.667.8+12.6100%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H18/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H04/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A11/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
26.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.336.866.1-7.620%-
Last 30 at home (12)29.235.264.3-6.025%-
Last 30 away (18)29.337.967.3-8.617%-
Last 10 (10)26.338.164.4-11.810%-
Last 5 (5)23.438.662.0-15.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)27.438.065.5-10.610%-
vs Similar (9)31.033.964.9-2.933%-
vs Weaker (1)50.040.090.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTRGV wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
No previous meetings.
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ATexas A&M-CC74-79
07/01/25ASE Louisiana75-79
04/01/25ANew Orleans76-64
31/12/24HDallas Christian88-44
21/12/24HCBS Ambassadors106-56
19/12/24HSouthern Utah78-73
14/12/24HNorthern New Mexico72-60
07/12/24HLamar52-84
06/12/24HStephen F. Austin68-65
26/11/24HLe Moyne97-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ANorthwestern St.67-75
07/01/25HNicholls State61-83
04/01/25HMcNeese State56-75
21/12/24ASouth Florida62-88
18/12/24HAbilene Christian68-67
15/12/24HSouth Alabama72-81
07/12/24AIncarnate Word53-65
06/12/24AHouston Christian79-83
30/11/24HIPFW57-77
26/11/24AStonehill65-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%89%29%
Points / game81.483.878.3
Allowed / game71.864.181.6
Point differential+9.6+19.7-3.3
Avg total153.1147.9159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game63.664.063.3
Allowed / game78.875.281.0
Point differential-15.2-11.2-17.7
Avg total142.4139.2144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1611569%77.765.1+12.6
2 Texas A&M-CC1711665%82.768.9+13.8
3 UTRGV1610662%81.471.8+9.6
4 Incarnate Word169756%77.368.0+9.3
5 Lamar169756%73.767.4+6.2
6 Nicholls State169756%73.969.4+4.6
7 SE Louisiana168850%72.369.6+2.8
8 Stephen F. Austin168850%65.263.4+1.8
9 Northwestern St.168850%72.370.8+1.6
10 Houston Christian1661038%67.271.2-4.1
11 TX A&M Commerce1621412%63.678.8-15.2
12 New Orleans1621412%66.986.4-19.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV263157
TX A&M Commerce272855
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