PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hottur vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 89-72
21-12 19-21 29-21 20-18
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game86.9
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#7
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game81.4
IcelandPremier leagueRound 8· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hottur v Stjarnan
14 Jan 2027
HOTT v STJA
upcoming
13 Feb 2025
HOTT83
STJA86
23 Nov 2023
HOTT89
STJA72
21 Nov 2022
HOTT89
STJA92
07 Mar 2021
HOTT93
STJA94
05 Oct 2017
HOTT66
STJA92
03 Dec 2015
HOTT64
STJA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
W
98-85
98
85
+13
no box
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
104-87
104
87
+17
106avg 78
A05/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H12/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
71-107
71
107
-36
57avg 78
A20/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 78
H26/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
109-102
109
102
+7
101avg 78
A02/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
76avg 78
H09/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 78
A17/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
21-20
17-21
20-17
15-22
21-24
30-19
32-20
22-19
11-16
25-23
21-22
29-24
21-16
25-26
29-21
24-17
14-16
15-21
27-19
15-32
23-26
19-23
14-26
22-24
15-20
25-29
21-11
28-26
28-18
24-25
29-33
23-23
17-10
12-21
31-21
28-16
24-26
9-17
8-21
172.2Avg total
86.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.686.9172.4-1.357%
Season at home (3)82.077.3159.3+4.767%
Season away (4)88.294.0182.2-5.850%
Last 10 (10)86.086.2172.2-0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.089.6172.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.088.5169.5-7.538%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.784.7166.3-3.017%
vs Weaker (10)87.080.5167.5+6.570%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
no box
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
H14/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 79
A05/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
59avg 79
H12/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
90-80
90
80
+10
79avg 79
A19/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 79
H26/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 79
A02/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
A09/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
87avg 79
H18/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
22-28
18-23
22-22
15-22
33-29
23-16
18-29
15-19
16-13
21-25
16-17
18-20
23-21
24-20
23-30
17-22
22-19
20-19
21-24
17-28
25-15
26-19
22-18
26-26
12-28
22-17
27-10
24-24
16-23
21-12
25-18
17-22
23-10
16-21
14-17
25-21
27-22
22-16
15-20
166.9Avg total
83.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.381.4167.7+4.971%
Season at home (3)85.381.3166.7+4.067%
Season away (4)87.081.5168.5+5.575%
Last 10 (10)83.483.5166.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)87.279.0166.2+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.188.2170.2-6.123%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.389.6178.9-0.250%
vs Weaker (5)98.084.6182.6+13.4100%
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
HotturStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A20/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A02/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H09/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/11
Premier league
85.3Avg total
42.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.883.3-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.741.179.8-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)42.144.386.4-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.685.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.644.288.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.344.384.6-4.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.744.782.3-7.00%-
vs Weaker (10)41.839.781.5+2.160%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H12/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A19/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H26/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A02/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A09/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H18/11
Premier league
83.8Avg total
40.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.887.9-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.743.184.8-1.435%-
Last 30 away (13)44.847.191.9-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.483.8-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.886.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.846.486.2-6.515%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.844.287.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker (5)52.042.494.4+9.680%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.8
50.6%
51.2%41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.8
32.6%
34.2%29.5
🏀 Free throws16.514.0
84.8%
74.4%14.0
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.2
51.0%
51.2%42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.0
32.6%
34.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.3%
74.4%14.2
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LWWLLWWLWL
Stjarnan
WWWWWLLLLL
#8
League position
#7
-4.6
Net rating
+6.5
107.5
Offensive rating
108.2
112.2
Defensive rating
101.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.6%
3-point %
32.6%
51.1%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 108.2Defence112.2 · 101.7Shooting49.9% · 50.1%3-point %32.6% · 32.6%Ball care17.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds33.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Hottur   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hottur wins
7
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
17/02/23Stjarnan v Hottur75-89 OT
21/11/22Hottur v Stjarnan89-92 OT
07/03/21Hottur v Stjarnan93-94
14/01/21Stjarnan v Hottur97-70
04/01/18Stjarnan v Hottur102-69
05/10/17Hottur v Stjarnan66-92
03/03/16Stjarnan v Hottur90-72
03/12/15Hottur v Stjarnan64-79
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23AValur69-80
09/11/23HKeflavik83-75
02/11/23AHamar109-102
26/10/23HThorl83-84
20/10/23ANjardvik71-107
12/10/23HBreidablik80-73
05/10/23AGrindavik104-87
30/03/23HIR Reykjavik79-80
23/03/23ABreidablik98-85
16/03/23HKeflavik84-89
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HHaukar89-79
09/11/23ATindastoll84-78 OT
02/11/23AValur86-77
26/10/23HKeflavik87-81
19/10/23AHamar90-80
12/10/23HThorl80-84
05/10/23ANjardvik88-91
14/04/23HValur68-74
11/04/23AValur89-96
07/04/23HValur73-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game85.682.088.2
Allowed / game86.977.394.0
Point differential-1.3+4.7-5.8
Avg total172.4159.3182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game86.385.387.0
Allowed / game81.481.381.5
Point differential+4.9+4.0+5.5
Avg total167.7166.7168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur75271%92.983.7+9.1
2 Njardvik75271%94.088.6+5.4
3 Stjarnan75271%86.381.4+4.9
4 Thorl75271%89.688.0+1.6
5 Tindastoll74357%89.085.0+4.0
6 Grindavik74357%95.091.1+3.9
7 Alftanes74357%82.179.9+2.3
8 Keflavik74357%89.789.7+0.0
9 Hottur74357%85.686.9-1.3
10 Haukar72529%97.393.9+3.4
11 Hamar7070%85.699.1-13.6
12 Breidablik7070%83.7103.4-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur2119292089
Stjarnan1221211872
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.