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Stjarnan vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 87-80
21-25 19-13 29-16 18-26
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game94.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 7· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stjarnan v Hottur
16 Oct 2026
STJA98
HOTT103
14 Nov 2024
STJA87
HOTT80
07 Mar 2024
STJA92
HOTT82
17 Feb 2023
STJA75
HOTT89
14 Jan 2021
STJA97
HOTT70
04 Jan 2018
STJA102
HOTT69
03 Mar 2016
STJA90
HOTT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 84
A14/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
94-113
94
113
-19
80avg 84
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#2
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 84
H28/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
96-80
96
80
+16
86avg 84
H04/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
95-81
95
81
+14
92avg 84
H04/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
83avg 84
A10/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
117-88
117
88
+29
112avg 84
H17/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
114-87
114
87
+27
110avg 84
A25/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
99avg 84
H31/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 84
A03/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
21-27
10-12
16-28
24-27
17-23
26-34
27-29
23-24
25-25
21-19
22-22
34-18
21-22
22-12
19-28
17-18
23-16
26-31
29-16
18-28
25-18
23-24
21-16
28-11
28-23
27-29
34-25
32-29
33-16
25-18
24-24
23-25
29-23
32-18
20-32
24-28
21-27
28-19
14-18
186.3Avg total
96.2Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)100.788.7189.3+12.083%
Season at home (3)105.389.0194.3+16.3100%
Season away (3)96.088.3184.3+7.767%
Last 10 (10)96.290.1186.3+6.170%
Last 5 (5)101.890.2192.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.388.5175.8-1.267%
vs Similar (12)83.987.8171.8-3.925%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)97.584.4181.9+13.291%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
58avg 72
A10/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 72
H14/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
54avg 72
A18/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
75avg 72
H22/04
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
108-80
108
80
+28
109avg 72
A03/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
120-115 OT
120
115
+5
114avg 72
H10/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
84-113
84
113
-29
61avg 72
A17/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
62avg 72
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
59-99
59
99
-40
38avg 72
A31/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
83-70
83
70
+13
76avg 72
H08/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-22
18-22
20-27
28-21
22-15
18-15
16-26
17-20
25-23
16-22
16-29
15-28
18-19
30-30
24-10
24-17
24-19
28-16
32-28
32-27
20-31
20-21
31-24
9-31
24-25
20-25
31-32
12-26
26-21
18-24
20-20
17-29
13-26
15-24
14-20
30-11
15-32
22-14
16-13
179.6Avg total
86.0Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.394.7183.0-6.350%
Season at home (3)93.092.0185.0+1.067%
Season away (3)83.797.3181.0-13.733%
Last 10 (10)86.093.6179.6-7.640%
Last 5 (5)84.497.6182.0-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)81.793.9175.6-12.225%
vs Similar (9)81.279.4160.7+1.856%
vs Weaker (4)99.085.0184.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
StjarnanHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H28/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H04/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H04/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A10/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H17/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A25/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H31/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A03/11
Premier league
94.3Avg total
49.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.643.690.1+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.743.390.1+3.453%-
Last 30 away (15)46.443.890.2+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)49.644.794.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)52.245.697.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.345.790.0-1.333%-
vs Similar (12)43.246.289.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)51.540.892.4+10.782%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H22/04
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H10/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A17/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A31/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/11
Premier league
87.4Avg total
40.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.585.4-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.185.0-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.085.9-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.687.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.651.891.4-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.948.189.1-7.231%-
vs Similar (9)40.039.879.8+0.256%-
vs Weaker (4)50.235.085.2+15.2100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.222.7
51.4%
53.7%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.9
35.7%
34.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.617.6
77.9%
75.6%17.6
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.818.0
43.1%
53.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.0
34.6%
34.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.316.5
77.5%
75.6%16.5
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
LWWWWWWWLL
Hottur
WLLLWWLLWL
#2
League position
#11
+7.5
Net rating
-8.7
115.2
Offensive rating
101.5
107.8
Defensive rating
110.2
52.3%
Effective FG%
46.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
34.6%
59.5%
Assist %
52.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 101.5Defence107.8 · 110.2Shooting52.3% · 46.9%3-point %35.7% · 34.6%Ball care15.0% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.8% · 27.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Stjarnan wins
2
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
07/03/24Stjarnan v Hottur92-82
23/11/23Hottur v Stjarnan89-72
17/02/23Stjarnan v Hottur75-89 OT
21/11/22Hottur v Stjarnan89-92 OT
07/03/21Hottur v Stjarnan93-94
14/01/21Stjarnan v Hottur97-70
04/01/18Stjarnan v Hottur102-69
05/10/17Hottur v Stjarnan66-92
03/03/16Stjarnan v Hottur90-72
03/12/15Hottur v Stjarnan64-79
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24ATindastoll87-92
31/10/24HGrindavik104-98
25/10/24AHaukar114-87
17/10/24HIR Reykjavik117-88
10/10/24AKR Basket87-86
04/10/24HValur95-81
04/04/24HBreidablik96-80
28/03/24HGrindavik91-90
19/03/24AKeflavik94-113
14/03/24AAlftanes77-86
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24HValur83-70
31/10/24ATindastoll59-99
24/10/24HNjardvik76-91
17/10/24AGrindavik84-113
10/10/24HKeflavik120-115 OT
03/10/24AHaukar108-80
22/04/24HValur97-103 OT
18/04/24AValur74-94
14/04/24HValur84-77
10/04/24AValur75-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game100.7105.396.0
Allowed / game88.789.088.3
Point differential+12.0+16.3+7.7
Avg total189.3194.3184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hottur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game88.393.083.7
Allowed / game94.792.097.3
Point differential-6.3+1.0-13.7
Avg total183.0185.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll65183%94.781.7+13.0
2 Stjarnan65183%100.788.7+12.0
3 Grindavik64267%98.785.3+13.3
4 Njardvik64267%90.086.2+3.8
5 Thorl64267%86.088.0-2.0
6 Alftanes63350%91.590.8+0.7
7 KR Basket63350%87.287.0+0.2
8 Keflavik63350%96.096.8-0.8
9 Hottur63350%88.394.7-6.3
10 Valur62433%90.092.3-2.3
11 IR Reykjavik6060%81.796.3-14.7
12 Haukar6060%82.098.8-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan2119291887
Hottur2513162680
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