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Stjarnan vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 92-82
24-18 22-32 25-14 21-18
Position#7
Record8-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#8
Record9-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game84.4
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stjarnan v Hottur
16 Oct 2026
STJA98
HOTT103
14 Nov 2024
STJA87
HOTT80
07 Mar 2024
STJA92
HOTT82
17 Feb 2023
STJA75
HOTT89
14 Jan 2021
STJA97
HOTT70
04 Jan 2018
STJA102
HOTT69
03 Mar 2016
STJA90
HOTT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Armann
#15
W
102-74
102
74
+28
103avg 80
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Breidablik
#11
W
97-73
97
73
+24
96avg 80
A14/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
84avg 80
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
85avg 80
A12/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
101-75
101
75
+26
98avg 80
H18/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 80
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
80avg 80
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 80
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 80
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
74avg 80
A14/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
27-14
27-22
29-22
28-22
28-14
19-20
22-17
16-31
30-27
26-22
20-21
33-31
24-22
23-22
12-23
42-8
18-28
20-16
21-23
24-19
19-23
20-22
21-15
22-25
21-25
32-26
14-21
17-20
29-26
24-16
11-23
20-22
20-19
12-15
19-20
28-25
18-19
18-29
19-28
175.1Avg total
89.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.385.7172.0+0.744%
Season at home (8)85.683.9169.5+1.838%
Season away (10)86.987.1174.0-0.250%
Last 10 (10)89.285.9175.1+3.340%
Last 5 (5)81.687.6169.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.387.9171.2-4.640%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.790.0175.7-4.323%
vs Weaker (6)96.384.7181.0+11.783%
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-83
71
83
-12
56avg 77
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 77
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 77
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
67avg 77
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
86-78
86
78
+8
78avg 77
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 77
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
93-123
93
123
-30
85avg 77
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
84avg 77
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 77
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 77
H15/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
12-25
22-16
19-22
22-14
19-24
26-24
17-20
22-14
22-25
17-13
17-21
13-22
14-25
25-18
19-13
22-12
27-15
19-14
18-37
24-21
28-35
11-13
22-19
21-29
15-25
31-37
26-32
33-23
24-22
13-22
22-22
22-20
26-13
22-20
23-27
26-23
23-23
16-24
18-22
170.2Avg total
83.6Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.284.4168.6-0.153%
Season at home (9)82.879.4162.2+3.356%
Season away (8)85.989.9175.8-4.050%
Last 10 (10)83.686.6170.2-3.050%
Last 5 (5)89.294.4183.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.692.2172.8-11.515%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.982.2166.1+1.650%
vs Weaker (8)89.183.2172.4+5.975%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
StjarnanHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Armann
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Breidablik
#11
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A14/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H18/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H09/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/02
Premier league
91.9Avg total
48.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.888.6+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.143.986.9-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)46.243.890.0+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)48.343.691.9+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.688.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.846.187.9-4.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.844.287.1-1.438%-
vs Weaker (6)53.741.395.0+12.383%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/02
Premier league
86.3Avg total
43.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.184.2-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.541.881.2-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.687.5-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.086.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.446.895.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.046.386.3-6.331%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.843.585.2-1.838%-
vs Weaker (8)42.138.180.2+4.062%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.421.8
49.1%
51.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.4
34.7%
34.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
74.4%14.1
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.3
48.3%
51.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.0
36.0%
34.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
74.4%12.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
LLLLWWLLWW
Hottur
LWWLLWLWWL
#7
League position
#8
+3.9
Net rating
-4.0
108.7
Offensive rating
103.4
104.8
Defensive rating
107.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.7%
3-point %
36.0%
56.8%
Assist %
52.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 103.4Defence104.8 · 107.4Shooting50.3% · 51.1%3-point %34.7% · 36.0%Ball care16.3% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Stjarnan wins
2
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
23/11/23Hottur v Stjarnan89-72
17/02/23Stjarnan v Hottur75-89 OT
21/11/22Hottur v Stjarnan89-92 OT
07/03/21Hottur v Stjarnan93-94
14/01/21Stjarnan v Hottur97-70
04/01/18Stjarnan v Hottur102-69
05/10/17Hottur v Stjarnan66-92
03/03/16Stjarnan v Hottur90-72
03/12/15Hottur v Stjarnan64-79
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24AHaukar83-101
09/02/24HTindastoll71-76
02/02/24HValur81-85
26/01/24AKeflavik89-97
21/01/24HValur84-79
18/01/24HHamar101-75
12/01/24AThorl92-98
05/01/24HNjardvik92-101
14/12/23ABreidablik97-73
10/12/23AArmann102-74
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HValur83-92
01/02/24HHamar93-80
25/01/24AThorl92-89
21/01/24HKeflavik93-123
18/01/24HNjardvik85-88
11/01/24ABreidablik86-78
04/01/24HGrindavik71-78
14/12/23HAlftanes78-73
10/12/23AHamar84-82
07/12/23ATindastoll71-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game86.385.686.9
Allowed / game85.783.987.1
Point differential+0.7+1.8-0.2
Avg total172.0169.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%12%10%
Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game84.282.885.9
Allowed / game84.479.489.9
Point differential-0.1+3.3-4.0
Avg total168.6162.2175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1815383%92.782.3+10.4
2 Keflavik1712571%96.591.2+5.2
3 Njardvik1712571%91.086.2+4.8
4 Grindavik1812667%93.688.6+5.1
5 Thorl1812667%91.289.1+2.1
6 Alftanes1810856%84.982.4+2.5
7 Hottur179853%84.284.4-0.1
8 Tindastoll189950%85.483.9+1.4
9 Stjarnan1881044%86.385.7+0.7
10 Haukar1851328%87.990.1-2.2
11 Breidablik1721512%85.199.1-14.0
12 Hamar180180%82.698.7-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan2422252192
Hottur1832141882
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