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Stoja vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-87
22-23 20-24 27-22 25-18
Position#13
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game91.1
Stoja 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#8
Record7-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game90.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 18· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stoja v Hermes
10 Feb 2024
STOJ94
HERM87
16 Apr 2023
STOJ105
HERM97
19 Nov 2022
STOJ79
HERM89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
72avg 67
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 67
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
79avg 67
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
75avg 67
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 67
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
64avg 67
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
48-90
48
90
-42
28avg 67
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
88-116
88
116
-28
75avg 67
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
59-91
59
91
-32
53avg 67
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 67
A04/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
14-18
25-23
22-19
24-21
17-19
17-16
21-13
16-34
19-22
18-18
29-19
20-29
22-25
17-20
18-17
12-26
11-8
22-21
21-21
17-25
25-27
20-21
18-15
10-25
10-25
16-17
12-23
20-30
15-31
20-31
33-24
24-19
12-17
9-25
14-30
16-31
17-25
15-28
22-12
162.4Avg total
72.6Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.091.1168.1-14.112%
Season at home (8)76.091.9167.9-15.912%
Season away (9)77.990.4168.3-12.611%
Last 10 (10)72.689.8162.4-17.210%
Last 5 (5)69.096.2165.2-27.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)84.396.2180.4-11.922%
vs Similar (6)75.583.5159.0-8.033%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.5164.2+5.267%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
100-73
100
73
+27
104avg 87
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
87avg 87
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
96avg 87
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 87
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
101-81
101
81
+20
101avg 87
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
87avg 87
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
109avg 87
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
107-116 OT
107
116
-9
no box
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
82avg 87
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 87
H04/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-7
19-17
38-20
15-29
26-32
26-23
19-26
18-22
29-22
29-23
16-22
19-12
20-23
30-17
17-32
24-23
27-23
19-25
24-18
31-15
29-10
16-33
26-25
21-27
32-16
26-17
28-23
20-28
23-20
18-28
31-23
27-28
23-20
23-23
24-32
15-16
24-24
19-27
15-26
13-21
185.0Avg total
93.5Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)90.890.6181.4+0.244%
Season at home (10)94.789.7184.4+5.050%
Season away (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)93.591.5185.0+2.040%
Last 5 (5)92.296.8189.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.196.7183.9-9.629%
vs Similar (10)94.989.9184.8+5.070%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)99.283.2182.4+15.969%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.3-9.3Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.3-9.3Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
StojaHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
20-50
20
50
-30
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A04/02
Prva Liga
82.2Avg total
33.7Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.247.888.9-6.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.645.888.4-3.240%-
Last 30 away (15)39.749.789.5-10.013%-
Last 10 (10)33.748.582.2-14.810%-
Last 5 (5)33.251.084.2-17.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.751.191.8-10.422%-
vs Similar (6)39.342.782.0-3.317%-
vs Weaker (6)44.542.887.3+1.750%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H04/02
Prva Liga
91.6Avg total
48.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.843.392.2+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.743.695.3+8.159%-
Last 30 away (13)45.143.088.1+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)48.643.091.6+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.690.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.048.392.3-4.314%-
vs Similar (10)46.744.090.7+2.770%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)53.140.293.2+12.977%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.321.9
49.4%
52.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.75.9
31.6%
32.9%17.7
🏀 Free throws15.410.4
67.5%
71.2%10.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.0
57.9%
52.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.113.4
40.5%
32.9%40.2
🏀 Free throws18.213.5
74.2%
71.2%13.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
LLLLLLLLWL
Hermes
LLLWLWLWLW
#13
League position
#8
-21.9
Net rating
+4.2
91.1
Offensive rating
115.5
113.1
Defensive rating
111.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
59.3%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
21.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.6%
3-point %
40.5%
60.8%
Assist %
71.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 115.5Defence113.1 · 111.4Shooting48.8% · 59.3%3-point %31.6% · 40.5%Ball care21.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds22.3% · 22.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Stoja   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stoja wins
2
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Hermes v Stoja85-93
14/05/23Hermes v Stoja121-78
16/04/23Stoja v Hermes105-97 OT
19/02/23Hermes v Stoja79-82
19/11/22Stoja v Hermes79-89
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24AOsijek70-96
28/01/24HCrikvenica59-91
24/01/24AJazine88-116
20/01/24HKK Zagreb48-90
14/01/24HMarsonia80-88
23/12/23APodstrana66-76
16/12/23HKvarner77-91
09/12/23AOmis82-93
02/12/23HGorica79-69
26/11/23ASamobor77-88
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HKastela71-98
24/01/24HSamobor85-91
21/01/24HOsijek107-116 OT
13/01/24HCrikvenica106-84
21/12/23HJazine92-95
18/12/23HKK Zagreb101-81
10/12/23AMarsonia91-95
03/12/23HPodstrana93-79
25/11/23AKvarner89-103
19/11/23HOmis100-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %12%12%11%
Points / game77.076.077.9
Allowed / game91.191.990.4
Point differential-14.1-15.9-12.6
Avg total168.1167.9168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game90.894.784.3
Allowed / game90.689.792.0
Point differential+0.2+5.0-7.7
Avg total181.4184.4176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1817194%91.172.6+18.6
2 Osijek1816289%88.175.2+12.8
3 Gorica1813572%81.674.4+7.1
4 Kastela1811761%81.174.0+7.1
5 KK Zagreb1710759%81.073.2+7.8
6 Samobor1710759%84.183.2+0.9
7 Jazine1810856%87.686.6+1.0
8 Omis189950%77.779.7-2.1
9 Hermes167944%90.890.6+0.2
10 Marsonia1761135%79.685.7-6.1
11 Mladost1741324%77.886.1-8.3
12 Podstrana1741324%71.885.3-13.5
13 Crikvenica1831517%73.286.7-13.4
14 Stoja1721512%77.091.1-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja2220272594
Hermes2324221887
← all games of the day
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