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Stoja vs Osijek Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 80-90
21-33 15-25 28-17 16-15
Position#13
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game98.0
Stoja
Croatia
vs
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game71.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 4· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stoja v Osijek
28 Oct 2023
STOJ80
OSIJ90
12 Feb 2023
STOJ76
OSIJ94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
no box
A07/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
105-97 OT
105
97
+8
no box
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
98-72
98
72
+26
no box
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
78-121
78
121
-43
no box
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 60
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
117-122 OT
117
122
-5
no box
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 60
A21/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
34-38
15-12
19-22
26-18
23-15
25-23
16-34
29-18
25-19
26-15
18-20
27-14
28-29
19-15
21-17
22-23
18-25
23-21
16-22
27-26
26-22
22-29
30-21
25-37
13-29
19-25
21-30
22-21
16-25
17-30
15-21
22-16
23-25
25-26
12-15
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
188.3Avg total
92.4Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.398.0183.3-12.70%
Season at home (1)117.0122.0239.0-5.00%
Season away (2)69.586.0155.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)92.495.9188.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)87.8102.6190.4-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)85.298.6183.8-13.420%
vs Similar (8)82.281.5163.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (7)87.981.9169.7+6.071%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
99-96
99
96
+3
no box
A15/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
69-65
69
65
+4
no box
A23/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
67-51
67
51
+16
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
A28/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-74 OT
72
74
-2
no box
A07/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
86-63
86
63
+23
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
100-69
100
69
+31
102avg 89
H10/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
97-72
97
72
+25
96avg 89
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 89
A21/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
26-21
21-21
15-29
22-18
24-26
30-19
23-33
17-16
19-18
15-14
18-17
13-10
23-13
17-22
14-6
22-21
25-19
26-20
20-24
14-13
21-14
12-28
17-9
21-14
23-22
25-17
17-10
23-20
24-15
32-12
21-22
30-23
23-14
26-21
18-14
21-20
23-24
17-16
18-14
158.1Avg total
84.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.071.7163.7+20.3100%
Season at home (1)100.069.0169.0+31.0100%
Season away (2)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.174.0158.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)86.870.4157.2+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.085.2158.2-12.20%
vs Similar (5)69.272.2141.4-3.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.271.9158.2+14.385%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
StojaOsijek
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A07/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H22/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H26/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
93.1Avg total
46.4Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.345.688.9-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.542.687.1+1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)42.348.190.4-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)46.446.793.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.249.290.4-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)43.349.192.4-5.727%-
vs Similar (8)41.541.883.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker (7)45.442.487.9+3.043%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H10/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H10/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/10
Prva Liga
79.3Avg total
43.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.079.5+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.835.979.6+7.981%-
Last 30 away (14)39.040.479.4-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.279.3+6.990%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.880.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.844.680.4-8.840%-
vs Similar (5)36.035.671.6+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.437.081.3+7.480%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.0
48.8%
52.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.03.5
25.0%
32.9%10.5
🏀 Free throws20.516.0
78.0%
71.2%16.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀69%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.3 pts a game · 69% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.331.7
61.7%
52.9%63.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.7
28.8%
32.9%17.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.3
65.4%
71.2%11.3
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
LLLLWLWWWL
Osijek
WWWWLWWWWL
#13
League position
#2
-23.7
Net rating
+24.9
92.6
Offensive rating
114.3
116.3
Defensive rating
89.4
46.1%
Effective FG%
56.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
13.9%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.24
25.0%
3-point %
28.8%
59.2%
Assist %
62.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 114.3Defence116.3 · 89.4Shooting46.1% · 56.6%3-point %25.0% · 28.8%Ball care19.9% · 13.9%Off. rebounds23.1% · 28.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Stoja   ■ Osijek
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stoja wins
2
Osijek wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Stoja v Osijek76-94
12/11/22Osijek v Stoja109-82
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
14/10/23HJazine117-122 OT
08/10/23AKK Zagreb70-97
14/05/23AHermes78-121
11/05/23HJazine105-98
29/04/23ASamobor79-91
26/04/23HSonik Puntamika95-75
22/04/23HMladost98-72
16/04/23HHermes105-97 OT
07/04/23AJazine108-111 OT
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AKastela79-74
14/10/23AMladost97-72
10/10/23HHermes100-69
10/05/23HKvarner86-63
07/05/23AKastela72-74 OT
28/04/23AOmis93-84
26/04/23HDubrovnik67-51
23/04/23AKK Zagreb69-65
15/04/23AKvarner99-96
12/04/23HKastela79-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game85.3117.069.5
Allowed / game98.0122.086.0
Point differential-12.7-5.0-16.5
Avg total183.3239.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%100%0%
Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.0100.088.0
Allowed / game71.769.073.0
Point differential+20.3+31.0+15.0
Avg total163.7169.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek330100%92.071.7+20.3
2 Kvarner440100%93.874.5+19.2
3 KK Zagreb43175%82.562.5+20.0
4 Gorica43175%76.867.8+9.0
5 Hermes43175%86.585.5+1.0
6 Jazine32167%93.096.3-3.3
7 Samobor42250%80.582.5-2.0
8 Omis31233%68.373.3-5.0
9 Marsonia31233%77.085.7-8.7
10 Kastela41325%82.081.8+0.2
11 Mladost41325%82.891.8-9.0
12 Crikvenica41325%71.881.8-10.0
13 Stoja3030%85.398.0-12.7
14 Podstrana3030%65.093.7-28.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja2115281680
Osijek3325171590
← all games of the day
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