Sturt Sabres vs West Adelaide Bearcats Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jul 2024

Tip-off: 10:15

Final 100-81

33-21 22-18 29-23 16-19

Position#3

Record15-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game96.5

Allowed / game87.4

Sturt Sabres 🏆

West Adelaide Bearcats

Position#4

Record12-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game94.3

Allowed / game85.0

NBL1 CentralNBL1 Central - Quarter-finals

Other2024

Meetings · Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

West Adelaide Bearcats winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

98-58

+40

H25/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

111-98

111

+13

A01/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

94-92

H15/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

68-87

-19

A16/06

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

99-80

+19

A22/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

120-108

120

108

+12

H29/06

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

106-93

106

+13

A30/06

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

98-89

H06/07

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

104-75

104

+29

A13/07

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

85-106

106

-21

H20/07

NBL1 Central

19-12

24-16

28-18

27-12

25-24

29-25

31-17

26-32

28-34

22-18

23-25

21-15

27-22

18-15

14-28

9-22

21-21

25-25

25-11

28-23

36-26

22-15

26-37

36-30

15-19

23-31

33-23

35-20

23-27

23-14

22-26

30-22

16-17

32-23

29-17

27-18

20-30

31-28

16-16

18-32

186.9Avg total

98.3Scored

88.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	96.5	87.4	183.9	+9.1	79%
Season at home (10)	95.9	92.1	188.0	+3.8	70%
Season away (9)	97.1	82.2	179.3	+14.9	89%
Last 10 (10)	98.3	88.6	186.9	+9.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	102.6	94.2	196.8	+8.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	92.0	95.4	187.4	-3.4	40%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	86.3	90.8	177.2	-4.5	33%
vs Weaker (19)	100.3	81.3	181.6	+19.1	89%

This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

West Adelaide Bearcats Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South Adelaide Panthers

56-59

-3

A25/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

111-83

111

+28

H01/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

83-97

-14

A15/06

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

126-85

126

+41

H16/06

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

80-99

-19

H22/06

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

96-62

+34

A29/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

82-74

A05/07

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

81-50

+31

H07/07

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

97-94

A13/07

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

110-98

110

+12

H20/07

NBL1 Central

13-17

14-15

19-18

10-9

28-20

32-29

30-13

21-21

21-18

30-20

13-26

19-33

39-21

28-13

34-30

25-21

21-21

25-25

11-25

23-28

16-21

26-15

30-12

24-14

16-24

17-24

21-11

28-15

25-9

11-14

16-6

29-21

26-24

20-20

19-23

32-27

30-18

20-31

24-25

36-24

172.3Avg total

92.2Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	94.3	85.0	179.3	+9.3	63%
Season at home (10)	99.2	88.1	187.3	+11.1	70%
Season away (9)	88.8	81.6	170.3	+7.2	56%
Last 10 (10)	92.2	80.1	172.3	+12.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	75.6	168.8	+17.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	85.2	108.0	193.2	-22.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	83.0	84.2	167.2	-1.2	25%
vs Weaker (22)	97.0	83.8	180.8	+13.2	82%

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sturt SabresWest Adelaide Bearcats

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	23.3	46.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	23.6	47.9	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	22.9	44.0	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.8	45.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	25.6	45.6	-5.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.8	25.8	46.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.3	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	21.1	45.5	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	23.3	46.2	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.3	42.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.8	28.5	50.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	22.5	18.2	40.8	+4.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.4	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	22.2	46.3	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	21.4	46.6	+3.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	23.1	45.9	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	21.0	45.9	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	22.2	48.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	25.2	25.0	50.2	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	24.2	24.0	48.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.7	20.9	44.6	+2.7	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.3	44.8	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	23.1	45.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.6	42.9	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	26.2	45.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	21.8	22.8	44.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	23.3	21.5	44.8	+1.9	55%	-

Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

43-28

+15

H25/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

54-49

A01/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

50-52

-2

H15/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

45-37

A16/06

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

46-46

A22/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

58-41

+17

H29/06

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

38-50

-12

A30/06

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

46-41

H06/07

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

48-40

A13/07

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

51-58

-7

H20/07

NBL1 Central

92.1Avg total

47.9Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.8	45.5	92.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	49.4	45.1	94.4	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	46.0	89.9	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	44.2	92.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	46.0	94.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	45.2	50.6	95.8	-5.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	45.0	49.8	94.8	-4.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	47.8	42.8	90.6	+5.1	58%	-

This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

West Adelaide BearcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South Adelaide Panthers

27-32

-5

A25/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

60-49

+11

H01/06

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

51-38

+13

A15/06

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

67-34

+33

H16/06

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

46-46

H22/06

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

42-36

A29/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

33-48

-15

A05/07

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

36-23

+13

H07/07

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

46-44

A13/07

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

50-49

H20/07

NBL1 Central

85.7Avg total

45.8Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.2	44.5	90.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.0	44.2	91.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	44.7	90.1	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	39.9	85.7	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.8	54.8	95.5	-14.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	44.2	41.0	85.2	+3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	47.5	43.2	90.7	+4.3	64%	-

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	19.9	44.2	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	21.1	45.2	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.5	18.6	43.1	+5.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	21.8	46.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	23.8	49.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (19)	25.7	20.4	46.1	+5.3	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	19.7	43.5	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.4	37.4	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.8	26.0	47.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	23.1	18.7	41.9	+4.4	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	20.1	45.1	+4.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.3	19.9	43.2	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.9	20.3	47.2	+6.6	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	22.6	48.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	24.4	53.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	25.2	26.0	51.2	-0.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.2	21.7	40.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	26.8	18.1	44.8	+8.7	95%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	21.6	45.8	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.2	21.7	47.9	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	21.3	46.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	20.2	50.0	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	27.2	50.0	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	25.2	20.9	46.1	+4.3	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.3	40.0	89.3	+9.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.4	41.1	88.5	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	51.4	38.9	90.3	+12.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.4	44.4	94.8	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.4	48.2	102.6	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	46.8	44.8	91.6	+2.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.3	41.0	82.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	52.5	38.5	90.9	+14.0	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	41.9	88.5	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	50.0	41.4	91.4	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	42.5	85.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	40.2	86.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	35.6	87.4	+16.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.5	53.2	97.8	-8.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	38.8	43.2	82.0	-4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	48.3	39.6	88.0	+8.7	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sturt Sabres wins

West Adelaide Bearcats wins

Date	Game	Score
22/06/24	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	80-99
11/05/24	Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats	81-104
05/08/23	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	96-73
17/06/23	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	93-91
20/04/23	Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats	59-99
02/07/22	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	84-69
23/04/22	Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats	100-98 OT
07/08/21	Sturt Sabres v West Adelaide Bearcats	73-78
05/06/21	West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres	87-92

Sturt Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/07/24	H	Forestville Eagles	85-106
13/07/24	A	Eastern Mavericks	104-75
06/07/24	H	Southern Tigers	98-89
30/06/24	A	Woodville Warriors	106-93
29/06/24	H	Central Districts Lions	120-108
22/06/24	A	West Adelaide Bearcats	99-80
16/06/24	A	South Adelaide Panthers	68-87
15/06/24	H	Norwood Flames	94-92
01/06/24	A	Forestville Eagles	111-98
25/05/24	H	North Adelaide Rockets	98-58

West Adelaide Bearcatslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/07/24	H	Central Districts Lions	110-98
13/07/24	A	Forestville Eagles	97-94
07/07/24	H	North Adelaide Rockets	81-50
05/07/24	A	Norwood Flames	82-74
29/06/24	A	Southern Tigers	96-62
22/06/24	H	Sturt Sabres	80-99
16/06/24	H	Eastern Mavericks	126-85
15/06/24	A	Central Districts Lions	83-97
01/06/24	H	Woodville Warriors	111-83
25/05/24	A	South Adelaide Panthers	56-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres

NBL1 Central 2024

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	79%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	WLWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	79%	70%	89%
Points / game	96.5	95.9	97.1
Allowed / game	87.4	92.1	82.2
Point differential	+9.1	+3.8	+14.9
Avg total	183.9	188.0	179.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	63%	40%	89%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

West Adelaide Bearcats

NBL1 Central 2024

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	63%
Home	WWLWW	70%
Away	LLWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	63%	70%	56%
Points / game	94.3	99.2	88.8
Allowed / game	85.0	88.1	81.6
Point differential	+9.3	+11.1	+7.2
Avg total	179.3	187.3	170.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	South Adelaide Panthers	19	16	3	84%	88.6	81.6	+7.0
2	Sturt Sabres	19	15	4	79%	96.5	87.4	+9.1
3	Forestville Eagles	20	15	5	75%	99.2	84.6	+14.6
4	West Adelaide Bearcats	19	12	7	63%	94.3	85.0	+9.3
5	Central Districts Lions	19	9	10	47%	96.7	97.3	-0.6
6	Norwood Flames	18	8	10	44%	89.8	90.4	-0.7
7	Woodville Warriors	18	7	11	39%	84.1	90.8	-6.7
8	Eastern Mavericks	18	6	12	33%	81.5	90.2	-8.7
9	Southern Tigers	18	3	15	17%	80.1	90.4	-10.3
10	North Adelaide Rockets	18	2	16	11%	77.3	93.3	-16.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sturt Sabres	33	22	29	16	100
West Adelaide Bearcats	21	18	23	19	81

← all games of the day

Sturt Sabres vs West Adelaide Bearcats Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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