Sutor Montegranaro vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 93-91

24-26 27-27 25-23 17-15

Position#14

Record10-15

FormWLWWW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game84.4

Sutor Montegranaro 🏆

Varese

Position#2

Record20-5

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game76.1

Lega ARound 26

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Sutor Montegranaro v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#11

95-71

+24

H20/01

Lega A

Sassari

90-106

106

-16

A27/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

80-83

-3

A03/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

97-76

+21

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

87-89

-2

A24/02

Lega A

Venezia

88-64

+24

H03/03

Lega A

Reggiana

83-100

100

-17

A10/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

93-86

H17/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

85-71

+14

A24/03

Lega A

Biella

#17

86-73

+13

A01/04

Lega A

24-14

23-20

29-20

19-17

24-28

15-24

24-33

27-21

18-20

23-21

12-21

27-21

22-18

31-9

18-21

26-28

27-21

22-24

15-21

23-23

20-13

33-12

17-17

18-22

24-21

23-21

13-23

23-35

22-24

27-16

23-18

21-28

21-15

22-16

23-16

19-24

16-21

23-11

31-22

16-19

170.3Avg total

88.4Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	83.5	84.4	167.9	-0.9	40%
Season at home (12)	83.3	81.6	164.9	+1.8	42%
Season away (13)	83.6	87.0	170.6	-3.4	38%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	81.9	170.3	+6.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	78.8	165.8	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	78.6	93.1	171.7	-14.5	8%
vs Similar (16)	84.4	81.0	165.4	+3.4	50%
vs Weaker (2)	84.0	74.0	158.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

92-74

+18

H07/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Roma

81-71

+10

A09/02

Italian Cup

Siena

74-77

-3

H10/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

#16

78-61

+17

H17/02

Lega A

Cantu

60-67

-7

A24/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

74-62

+12

H03/03

Lega A

Biella

#17

92-82

+10

H10/03

Lega A

Sassari

75-76

-1

A17/03

Lega A

Reggiana

77-74

A24/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

81-58

+23

H01/04

Lega A

21-14

25-15

20-29

26-16

18-10

17-22

17-21

29-18

14-23

15-20

20-23

25-11

20-17

9-23

24-10

15-12

9-18

20-20

16-17

20-14

18-16

17-10

19-22

23-18

32-22

17-19

20-23

18-21

17-14

17-13

23-28

22-16

22-23

19-23

14-12

18-17

15-11

21-10

27-20

148.6Avg total

78.4Scored

70.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	83.4	76.1	159.5	+7.3	80%
Season at home (13)	85.5	75.2	160.7	+10.2	92%
Season away (12)	81.2	77.1	158.2	+4.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	70.2	148.6	+8.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	70.4	150.2	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	74.0	80.5	154.5	-6.5	50%
vs Similar (12)	78.2	75.9	154.2	+2.3	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	86.7	76.0	162.7	+10.7	93%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sutor MontegranaroVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	20.9	43.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.1	19.4	41.4	+2.7	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	20.5	35.0	-6.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	15.6	35.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	18.7	41.3	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.5	40.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	17.4	41.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	15.2	40.8	+10.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	22.4	41.7	-3.2	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.4	18.6	36.0	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	53%	-

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#11

47-34

+13

H20/01

Lega A

Sassari

39-52

-13

A27/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

41-41

A03/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

53-27

+26

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

49-45

A24/02

Lega A

Venezia

53-25

+28

H03/03

Lega A

Reggiana

47-42

A10/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

49-40

H17/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-31

+12

A24/03

Lega A

Biella

#17

39-32

A01/04

Lega A

82.9Avg total

46.0Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	40.6	82.1	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	38.9	80.1	+2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	42.3	84.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	36.9	82.9	+9.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	34.0	80.2	+12.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.2	44.4	83.6	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	43.9	38.2	82.1	+5.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	36.5	73.5	+0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

46-29

+17

H07/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Roma

35-32

A09/02

Italian Cup

Siena

29-43

-14

H10/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Bologna

#16

45-28

+17

H17/02

Lega A

Cantu

24-30

-6

A24/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

38-30

H03/03

Lega A

Biella

#17

55-40

+15

H10/03

Lega A

Sassari

35-35

A17/03

Lega A

Reggiana

44-39

A24/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

33-28

H01/04

Lega A

71.8Avg total

38.4Scored

33.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	38.3	78.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.0	38.2	80.2	+3.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	38.4	76.2	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	33.4	71.8	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	34.4	75.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.5	43.0	75.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.0	38.6	76.6	-0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.6	38.0	80.6	+4.6	60%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.3	39.3	-3.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.6	24.1	41.7	-6.5	17%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	21.0	46.5	+4.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.0	33.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.7	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.8	44.5	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	23.8	46.7	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	23.8	45.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	25.6	45.0	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.9	23.5	44.4	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.3	23.1	45.4	-0.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	16.5	38.0	+5.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	19.2	39.8	+1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	43.9	83.8	-4.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	42.7	81.6	-3.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	45.1	86.1	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	45.0	87.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	44.8	85.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.5	47.6	86.1	-9.1	8%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.1	41.9	82.1	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	37.5	84.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	37.1	78.4	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.8	37.7	79.5	+4.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.7	36.3	77.0	+4.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	36.8	76.8	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.0	74.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	37.5	79.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.2	37.3	77.6	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.9	36.3	78.2	+5.5	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
09/12/12	Varese v Sutor Montegranaro	106-88
29/01/12	Sutor Montegranaro v Varese	63-60
16/10/11	Varese v Sutor Montegranaro	101-88
12/05/11	Varese v Sutor Montegranaro	82-73
09/01/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Varese	107-77
28/02/10	Varese v Sutor Montegranaro	74-88
01/11/09	Sutor Montegranaro v Varese	73-85

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/13	A	Biella	86-73
24/03/13	A	Olimpia Milano	85-71
17/03/13	H	Brindisi	93-86
10/03/13	A	Reggiana	83-100
03/03/13	H	Venezia	88-64
24/02/13	A	Cremona	87-89
17/02/13	H	Caserta	97-76
03/02/13	A	Virtus Bologna	80-83
27/01/13	A	Sassari	90-106
20/01/13	H	Avellino	95-71

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/13	H	Virtus Roma	81-58
24/03/13	A	Reggiana	77-74
17/03/13	A	Sassari	75-76
10/03/13	H	Biella	92-82
03/03/13	H	Caserta	74-62
24/02/13	A	Cantu	60-67
17/02/13	H	Virtus Bologna	78-61
10/02/13	H	Siena	74-77
09/02/13	A	Virtus Roma	81-71
07/02/13	H	Olimpia Milano	92-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	40%
Home	LWWWW	42%
Away	LLLWW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	40%	42%	38%
Points / game	83.5	83.3	83.6
Allowed / game	84.4	81.6	87.0
Point differential	-0.9	+1.8	-3.4
Avg total	167.9	164.9	170.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	25%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WLLLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	80%	92%	67%
Points / game	83.4	85.5	81.2
Allowed / game	76.1	75.2	77.1
Point differential	+7.3	+10.2	+4.1
Avg total	159.5	160.7	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	62%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	25	20	5	80%	83.4	76.1	+7.3
3	Sassari	26	18	8	69%	87.4	82.9	+4.5
4	Virtus Roma	26	17	9	65%	77.7	74.8	+2.9
5	Olimpia Milano	26	16	10	62%	80.9	76.3	+4.6
6	Cantu	26	15	11	58%	74.0	68.2	+5.8
7	Siena	26	15	11	58%	75.8	70.8	+5.0
8	Reggiana	26	15	11	58%	77.7	73.2	+4.5
9	Venezia	26	14	12	54%	78.3	78.2	+0.2
10	Caserta	26	12	14	46%	71.2	75.9	-4.7
11	Cremona	26	11	15	42%	79.0	80.3	-1.3
12	Avellino	26	11	15	42%	75.6	81.0	-5.4
13	Sutor Montegranaro	25	10	15	40%	83.5	84.4	-0.9
14	Brindisi	26	10	16	38%	80.1	81.3	-1.2
15	Virtus Bologna	26	9	17	35%	73.9	78.6	-4.7
16	Pesaro	26	8	18	31%	73.0	78.0	-5.0
17	Biella	26	6	20	23%	71.6	82.8	-11.3
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sutor Montegranaro	24	27	25	17	93
Varese	26	27	23	15	91

← all games of the day

Sutor Montegranaro vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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