Virtus Bologna vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 84-66

25-17 14-19 25-10 20-20

Position#6

Record15-12

FormWLWLL

Points / game75.3

Allowed / game75.4

Virtus Bologna 🏆

Caserta

Position#15

Record11-16

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game79.0

Lega ARound 30

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

68-80

-12

H05/02

Lega A

Cremona

#11

80-83

-3

A11/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

77-82

-5

H16/02

Italian Cup

Teramo

#17

86-71

+15

H26/02

Lega A

Varese

63-86

-23

A04/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

77-72

H07/03

Lega A

Sassari

55-89

-34

A24/03

Lega A

Biella

#12

62-53

H01/04

Lega A

Venezia

66-71

-5

A09/04

Lega A

Treviso

#14

59-63

-4

A15/04

Lega A

19-27

19-11

17-17

13-25

20-17

22-21

19-16

19-29

14-31

20-14

24-19

19-18

21-15

23-24

19-18

23-14

12-23

15-20

17-24

19-19

18-22

19-17

23-18

17-15

16-23

14-28

12-22

13-16

20-9

15-15

14-23

13-6

15-20

18-5

16-15

17-31

12-20

11-8

15-19

21-16

144.3Avg total

69.3Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	75.3	75.4	150.7	-0.1	56%
Season at home (13)	77.5	70.6	148.2	+6.9	92%
Season away (14)	73.2	79.9	153.1	-6.7	21%
Last 10 (10)	69.3	75.0	144.3	-5.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	63.8	69.6	133.4	-5.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	70.3	73.3	143.7	-3.0	67%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	73.7	75.5	149.2	-1.8	55%
vs Weaker (6)	80.7	76.2	156.8	+4.5	50%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

78-80

-2

H05/02

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

77-76

A12/02

Lega A

Varese

87-91

-4

H26/02

Lega A

Pesaro

81-75

A04/03

Lega A

Cantu

58-75

-17

H07/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

89-95

-6

A18/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

80-90

-10

H25/03

Lega A

Cremona

#11

74-77

-3

H01/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

78-86

-8

A07/04

Lega A

Avellino

#10

76-67

H15/04

Lega A

16-17

27-24

10-13

25-26

21-20

17-15

19-22

20-19

23-16

24-23

16-21

24-31

17-11

22-14

24-27

18-23

18-15

6-17

15-20

19-23

16-17

12-25

32-30

29-23

15-18

20-23

27-15

18-34

19-22

20-20

19-18

16-17

20-22

17-24

24-20

17-20

–

159.0Avg total

77.8Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	77.5	79.0	156.5	-1.5	41%
Season at home (14)	78.9	78.4	157.4	+0.5	43%
Season away (13)	75.9	79.6	155.5	-3.7	38%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	81.2	159.0	-3.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	83.0	162.4	-3.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	76.3	80.9	157.1	-4.6	29%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	77.6	79.1	156.7	-1.5	41%
vs Weaker (1)	77.0	88.0	165.0	-11.0	0%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	17.4	36.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	20.7	37.4	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.0	18.0	31.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	17.3	37.7	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	19.1	36.9	-1.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.5	19.6	39.0	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	22.0	36.0	-8.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	16.3	33.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	14.6	30.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.6	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	19.7	35.4	-4.1	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	21.8	36.8	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	19%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

38-38

H05/02

Lega A

Cremona

#11

42-38

A11/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-45

-11

H16/02

Italian Cup

Teramo

#17

44-39

H26/02

Lega A

Varese

27-43

-16

A04/03

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

37-39

-2

H07/03

Lega A

Sassari

30-51

-21

A24/03

Lega A

Biella

#12

35-24

+11

H01/04

Lega A

Venezia

33-25

A09/04

Lega A

Treviso

#14

23-28

-5

A15/04

Lega A

71.3Avg total

34.3Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	37.0	74.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	34.6	72.6	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.8	39.8	76.6	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	37.0	71.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	33.4	65.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.0	38.0	70.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	37.0	36.2	73.2	+0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.2	37.8	80.0	+4.3	67%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

43-41

H05/02

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

38-35

A12/02

Lega A

Varese

47-39

H26/02

Lega A

Pesaro

39-25

+14

A04/03

Lega A

Cantu

24-32

-8

H07/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

28-42

-14

A18/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

35-41

-6

H25/03

Lega A

Cremona

#11

39-42

-3

H01/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

37-46

-9

A07/04

Lega A

74.8Avg total

36.7Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.3	39.6	75.9	-3.3	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	39.5	78.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.8	39.8	73.6	-6.0	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.7	38.1	74.8	-1.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	40.6	73.2	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.0	39.1	74.1	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	44.0	74.0	-14.0	0%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	21.4	38.9	-3.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.4	35.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	15.7	37.3	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.4	20.9	38.2	-3.5	35%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.5	16.3	35.8	+3.2	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.5	36.8	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	18.3	36.0	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.8	37.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	19.7	36.3	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.2	17.4	35.5	+0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	21.8	42.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.7	24.0	44.7	-3.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	21.0	51.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	37.9	74.6	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.9	36.0	72.9	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	40.1	76.6	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	38.0	73.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	36.2	68.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	35.3	73.7	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	35.5	38.2	73.8	-2.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.5	38.3	76.8	+0.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.2	40.3	80.5	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	40.2	78.5	-1.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.2	40.4	82.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.3	44.7	86.0	-3.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	44.0	87.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.3	41.7	83.0	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	39.5	39.7	79.2	-0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	44.0	91.0	+3.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
30/12/11	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	80-87
27/02/11	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	69-61
13/11/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	63-71
28/03/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	67-74
18/02/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	78-88
28/11/09	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	72-84
04/04/09	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	86-81
13/12/08	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	78-68

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/12	A	Treviso	59-63
09/04/12	A	Venezia	66-71
01/04/12	H	Biella	62-53
24/03/12	A	Sassari	55-89
07/03/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	77-72
04/03/12	A	Varese	63-86
26/02/12	H	Teramo	86-71
16/02/12	H	Olimpia Milano	77-82
11/02/12	A	Cremona	80-83
05/02/12	H	Olimpia Milano	68-80

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/12	H	Avellino	76-67
07/04/12	A	Teramo	78-86
01/04/12	H	Cremona	74-77
25/03/12	H	Virtus Roma	80-90
18/03/12	A	Olimpia Milano	89-95
07/03/12	H	Cantu	58-75
04/03/12	A	Pesaro	81-75
26/02/12	H	Varese	87-91
12/02/12	A	Casale Monferrato	77-76
05/02/12	H	Siena	78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	56%
Home	WLWWW	92%
Away	LLLLL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	56%	92%	21%
Points / game	75.3	77.5	73.2
Allowed / game	75.4	70.6	79.9
Point differential	-0.1	+6.9	-6.7
Avg total	150.7	148.2	153.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	31%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	100% (5)	17% (6)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	41%
Home	LLLLW	43%
Away	WWWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	41%	43%	38%
Points / game	77.5	78.9	75.9
Allowed / game	79.0	78.4	79.6
Point differential	-1.5	+0.5	-3.7
Avg total	156.5	157.4	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	25% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	91.0	85.0	+6.0
2	Siena	27	20	7	74%	81.1	71.9	+9.3
3	Cantu	28	18	10	64%	74.4	70.2	+4.2
4	Olimpia Milano	27	17	10	63%	77.3	73.6	+3.7
5	Sassari	27	17	10	63%	79.1	76.8	+2.3
6	Pesaro	27	17	10	63%	75.0	74.3	+0.7
7	Venezia	27	16	11	59%	76.0	74.3	+1.7
8	Virtus Bologna	27	15	12	56%	75.3	75.4	-0.1
9	Varese	27	14	13	52%	76.1	75.3	+0.8
10	Virtus Roma	28	13	15	46%	79.5	81.1	-1.5
11	Avellino	28	13	15	46%	77.7	80.9	-3.2
12	Treviso	27	12	15	44%	76.0	77.9	-1.9
13	Biella	28	12	16	43%	75.6	76.5	-0.9
14	Cremona	29	12	17	41%	71.9	76.3	-4.4
15	Caserta	27	11	16	41%	77.5	79.0	-1.5
16	Sutor Montegranaro	28	11	17	39%	77.6	78.9	-1.3
17	Teramo	28	10	18	36%	73.2	76.9	-3.7
18	Casale Monferrato	28	6	22	21%	72.9	76.3	-3.4
19	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	85.0	91.0	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	25	14	25	20	84
Caserta	17	19	10	20	66

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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